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Stephen F. Austin vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-78
0-0 39-34 0-0 42-44
Position#12
Record24-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#265
Record11-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Nicholls State
18 Jan 2027
STEP v NICH
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
STEP81
NICH78
01 Mar 2025
STEP70
NICH94
05 Feb 2020
STEP70
NICH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H27/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H31/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H07/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H10/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-41
0-0
43-38
0-0
45-24
0-0
34-38
0-0
43-41
0-0
45-40
0-0
37-32
0-0
32-35
0-0
48-23
0-0
37-35
0-0
31-19
0-0
36-41
0-0
46-34
0-0
38-40
0-0
36-34
0-0
38-36
0-0
25-19
0-0
41-38
0-0
37-16
0-0
41-52
145.0Avg total
77.4Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.665.3142.9+12.389%
Season at home (14)80.764.3145.0+16.4100%
Season away (13)74.266.4140.5+7.877%
Last 10 (10)77.467.6145.0+9.8100%
Last 5 (5)73.865.8139.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (3)62.366.0128.3-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)77.565.0142.5+12.592%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H17/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A24/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H27/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H07/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H10/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-45
0-0
40-45
0-0
24-45
0-0
38-34
0-0
32-28
0-0
29-39
0-0
29-39
0-0
33-41
0-0
34-24
0-0
38-44
0-0
34-20
0-0
27-38
0-0
38-39
0-0
38-44
0-0
30-55
0-0
42-37
0-0
46-30
0-0
45-53
0-0
29-35
0-0
39-37
147.7Avg total
70.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.976.7150.6-2.841%
Season at home (10)77.673.4151.0+4.250%
Season away (17)71.778.6150.3-6.935%
Last 10 (10)70.577.2147.7-6.730%
Last 5 (5)73.677.6151.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.884.3155.1-13.622%
vs Similar (20)71.272.8143.9-1.645%
vs Weaker (1)117.049.0166.0+68.0100%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +10.6+10.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.3-4.3
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +10.6+10.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.3-4.3
Stephen F. AustinNicholls State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H31/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H03/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
37-16
37
16
+21
A17/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
38.9Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.730.768.4+7.080%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.331.270.5+8.181%-
Last 30 away (14)35.930.266.1+5.679%-
Last 10 (10)38.928.367.2+10.690%-
Last 5 (5)35.024.459.4+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.046.081.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (3)31.327.058.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.929.867.7+8.288%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H27/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H10/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A14/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A17/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.967.7-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.134.969.0-0.855%-
Last 30 away (19)32.034.966.9-2.942%-
Last 10 (10)33.636.069.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.871.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.741.171.8-10.411%-
vs Similar (20)32.932.865.6+0.160%-
vs Weaker (1)50.023.073.0+27.0100%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Stephen F. Austin wins
2
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26ATexas A&M-CC78-68
14/02/26AUTRGV66-57
10/02/26HEast Texas A&M74-70
07/02/26HLamar84-74
03/02/26HMcNeese State67-60
31/01/26HSE Louisiana85-58
27/01/26HNorthwestern St.69-67
24/01/26ALamar88-81
20/01/26ANicholls State79-62
17/01/26ANew Orleans84-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26AHouston Christian68-72
14/02/26AIncarnate Word91-83
10/02/26HUTRGV72-92
07/02/26HTexas A&M-CC76-83
03/02/26ANorthwestern St.61-58
31/01/26AEast Texas A&M72-68
27/01/26HNew Orleans62-80
24/01/26ASE Louisiana61-67
20/01/26HStephen F. Austin62-79
17/01/26HLamar80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %89%100%77%
Points / game77.680.774.2
Allowed / game65.364.366.4
Point differential+12.3+16.4+7.8
Avg total142.9145.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%71%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayLWWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271017
Win %41%50%35%
Points / game73.977.671.7
Allowed / game76.773.478.6
Point differential-2.8+4.2-6.9
Avg total150.6151.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2724389%77.665.3+12.3
2 McNeese State2722581%81.366.8+14.5
3 UTRGV26151158%75.869.3+6.5
4 Texas A&M-CC27141352%73.368.3+5.0
5 New Orleans28131546%76.678.9-2.3
6 Lamar27121544%71.569.1+2.4
7 Nicholls State27111641%73.976.7-2.8
8 Incarnate Word27101737%75.274.9+0.3
9 Houston Christian28101836%67.472.8-5.4
10 Northwestern St.2891932%70.173.6-3.5
11 SE Louisiana2882029%64.570.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stephen F. Austin03904281
Nicholls State03404478
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