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Nicholls State vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-61
39-33 34-28
Position#122
Record10-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#244
Record8-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nicholls State v Stephen F. Austin
19 Jan 2026
NICH62
STEP79
18 Jan 2025
NICH73
STEP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
110-66
110
66
+44
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
72-102
72
102
-30
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A04/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
47-36
28-27
39-37
38-33
35-37
53-30
57-36
29-43
43-59
35-32
36-37
33-36
33-32
38-24
45-37
33-39
38-41
40-30
48-52
151.4Avg total
77.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.870.1144.9+4.659%
Season at home (7)78.659.9138.4+18.771%
Season away (10)72.177.3149.4-5.250%
Last 10 (10)77.773.7151.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)75.872.0147.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.481.4149.9-13.022%
vs Similar (9)71.168.4139.6+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.263.8144.0+16.592%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A15/12
NCAA
Texas Wesleyan
#395
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A31/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A12/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
38-33
22-24
43-44
22-32
26-35
23-37
38-42
34-24
48-32
29-25
33-32
18-26
31-29
26-40
47-43
32-37
40-26
26-31
33-35
129.3Avg total
63.9Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)64.863.5128.4+1.347%
Season at home (9)69.662.3131.9+7.256%
Season away (8)59.564.9124.4-5.438%
Last 10 (10)63.965.4129.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)63.064.8127.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)57.465.3122.6-7.918%
vs Similar (10)66.273.4139.6-7.240%
vs Weaker (9)78.663.3141.9+15.289%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
Nicholls StateStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A14/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.067.8+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.029.565.5+6.562%-
Last 30 away (17)33.935.769.6-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)35.633.368.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.268.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.637.668.1-7.011%-
vs Similar (9)33.431.965.3+1.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.030.569.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A15/12
NCAA
Texas Wesleyan
#395
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A12/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H14/01
NCAA
56.5Avg total
26.2Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.030.060.0-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.728.261.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)26.331.858.1-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)26.230.356.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)26.231.858.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)25.230.155.3-4.927%-
vs Similar (10)28.332.160.4-3.830%-
vs Weaker (9)37.727.665.2+10.1100%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nicholls State wins
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
DateGameScore
06/02/20Stephen F. Austin v Nicholls State70-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AIncarnate Word88-82
11/01/25AMcNeese State71-80
07/01/25ATX A&M Commerce83-61
04/01/25ANorthwestern St.66-68
31/12/24ASeattle71-69
19/12/24AGonzaga72-102
11/12/24HSouthern-New O.110-66
07/12/24HNew Orleans73-70
06/12/24HSE Louisiana67-64
30/11/24ALouisiana Lafayette76-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HSE Louisiana59-66
12/01/25ALamar72-63
07/01/25HHouston Christian73-83
04/01/25HIncarnate Word49-55
31/12/24AAbilene Christian62-57
21/12/24HTexas Wesleyan82-56
15/12/24AOregon61-79
07/12/24ATexas A&M-CC48-67
06/12/24AUTRGV65-68
30/11/24ALouisiana Monroe68-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %59%71%50%
Points / game74.878.672.1
Allowed / game70.159.977.3
Point differential+4.6+18.7-5.2
Avg total144.9138.4149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game64.869.659.5
Allowed / game63.562.364.9
Point differential+1.3+7.2-5.4
Avg total128.4131.9124.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1712571%77.564.8+12.8
2 Texas A&M-CC1812667%82.268.7+13.5
3 UTRGV1711665%79.970.8+9.2
4 Nicholls State1710759%74.870.1+4.6
5 Incarnate Word179853%77.669.2+8.4
6 Lamar179853%73.067.5+5.5
7 SE Louisiana179853%71.968.9+3.0
8 Stephen F. Austin178947%64.863.5+1.3
9 Northwestern St.178947%71.870.9+0.9
10 Houston Christian1761135%66.771.5-4.8
11 New Orleans1841422%70.684.3-13.8
12 TX A&M Commerce1821611%63.680.5-16.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State393473
Stephen F. Austin332861
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