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Stonehill vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-82 (OT)
35-33 36-38 14-11
Position#283
Record5-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#363
Record2-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game81.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stonehill v Chicago State
10 Jan 2026
STON85
CHIC82
24 Jan 2025
STON75
CHIC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stonehill winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H26/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A30/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A02/12
NCAA
Vermont State - Johnson
#627
W
101-60
101
60
+41
H13/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A23/12
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H03/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
40-45
23-34
41-41
32-41
30-35
32-34
33-43
48-22
53-38
32-36
26-23
27-39
21-38
31-36
24-34
28-29
41-31
24-31
45-45
136.5Avg total
66.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)68.070.8138.8-2.831%
Season at home (5)78.864.6143.4+14.260%
Season away (11)63.173.5136.6-10.518%
Last 10 (10)66.570.0136.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)59.868.4128.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)60.576.5137.0-16.00%
vs Similar (17)64.469.2133.6-4.835%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)77.769.0146.7+8.767%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A28/11
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H01/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
53-95
53
95
-42
A07/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A20/12
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H03/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
42-53
26-46
38-41
47-34
38-28
13-45
40-50
35-28
49-47
28-40
27-36
29-52
29-26
35-41
37-38
29-37
26-37
21-31
42-39
145.2Avg total
66.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)65.781.9147.6-16.212%
Season at home (4)68.870.5139.2-1.825%
Season away (12)64.785.7150.3-21.08%
Last 10 (10)66.678.6145.2-12.020%
Last 5 (5)60.675.4136.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)65.380.0145.3-14.611%
vs Similar (1)84.075.0159.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -9.3-9.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -2.7-2.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -9.3-9.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -2.7-2.7
StonehillChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H21/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H26/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Vermont State - Johnson
#627
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H13/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A23/12
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A09/01
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.463.0-1.827%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.029.464.4+5.658%-
Last 30 away (18)27.734.462.1-6.86%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.763.8-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)28.434.262.6-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.835.262.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (17)28.933.162.0-4.124%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)35.530.766.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A28/11
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
13-45
13
45
-32
A07/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A20/12
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A08/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
29.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.737.767.3-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.534.667.2-2.127%-
Last 30 away (19)28.039.467.4-11.416%-
Last 10 (10)29.839.168.9-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)28.440.268.6-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.938.167.0-9.314%-
vs Similar (1)35.028.063.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Stonehill wins
0
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Stonehill v Chicago State75-73
12/01/25Chicago State v Stonehill52-68
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ACentral Connecticut State69-76
04/01/26AWagner69-60
03/01/26HNew Haven Chargers55-70
23/12/25ASyracuse48-77
17/12/25ANew Hampshire Wildcats58-59
13/12/25HVermont State - Johnson101-60
02/12/25ABryant University65-77
30/11/25AQuinnipiac62-76
26/11/25HUMass Lowell64-75
21/11/25HLafayette74-70
Chicago Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-70
04/01/26HLIU Sharks55-74
03/01/26HWagner72-79
20/12/25AIndiana58-78
17/12/25ABowling Green55-76
14/12/25ALoyola Chicago84-75
07/12/25AIllinois State53-95
01/12/25HSt. Xavier85-62
28/11/25AYoungstown State64-87
26/11/25AIPFW77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stonehill
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16511
Win %31%60%18%
Points / game68.078.863.1
Allowed / game70.864.673.5
Point differential-2.8+14.2-10.5
Avg total138.8143.4136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Chicago State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16412
Win %12%25%8%
Points / game65.768.864.7
Allowed / game81.970.585.7
Point differential-16.2-1.8-21.0
Avg total147.6139.2150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State159660%77.770.7+7.1
2 LIU Sharks169756%75.977.9-2.1
3 Mercyhurst Lakers1771041%66.766.6+0.1
4 Le Moyne1771041%73.974.9-1.1
5 New Haven Chargers1771041%64.567.3-2.8
6 Wagner156940%74.974.6+0.3
7 Stonehill1651131%68.070.8-2.8
8 Fairleigh Dickinson1751229%69.172.8-3.6
9 St. Francis (PA)1641225%69.182.8-13.7
10 Chicago State1621412%65.781.9-16.2
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Stonehill35361485
Chicago State33381182
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