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Stony Brook vs William & Mary Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#273
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game64.7
vs
Position#159
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA· Island Federal Credit Union Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Stony Brook v William & Mary
21 Jan 2027
STON v WILL
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
STON76
WILL83
24 Feb 2024
STON75
WILL62
16 Feb 2023
STON71
WILL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stony Brook win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
William & Mary win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H03/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Old Westbury
#504
W
97-47
97
47
+50
H02/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-39
34-30
36-35
36-34
33-29
46-43
35-49
34-33
32-32
26-35
36-27
21-42
40-48
49-48
42-18
55-29
30-44
35-34
21-39
38-30
142.0Avg total
70.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.764.7138.3+9.033%
Season at home (1)97.047.0144.0+50.0100%
Season away (2)62.073.5135.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)70.271.8142.0-1.630%
Last 5 (5)73.471.8145.2+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.072.0137.0-7.033%
vs Similar (20)69.274.2143.4-5.040%
vs Weaker (4)84.859.2144.0+25.5100%
This opponent (William & Mary) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H27/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A09/03
NCAA
Bridgewater College (VA)
#362
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#235
W
104-73
104
73
+31
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-43
42-38
43-35
40-49
35-32
49-45
46-37
45-51
51-41
43-44
35-31
37-31
33-50
28-42
37-30
43-36
54-35
50-38
42-39
48-56
164.0Avg total
83.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.378.0169.3+13.367%
Season at home (2)92.069.5161.5+22.5100%
Season away (1)90.095.0185.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.780.3164.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)81.477.6159.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)82.484.2166.6-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.173.4158.4+11.771%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -0.5-0.5
Stony BrookWilliam & Mary
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Old Westbury
#504
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H02/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A12/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
32.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.567.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.130.267.3+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)30.936.467.3-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.068.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.269.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.827.359.2+4.550%-
vs Similar (20)33.037.170.2-4.145%-
vs Weaker (4)40.524.865.2+15.8100%-
This opponent (William & Mary) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H27/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Bridgewater College (VA)
#362
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#235
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A12/11
NCAA
78.5Avg total
41.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.077.9+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.735.377.0+6.587%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.778.7+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.378.5+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.077.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)40.541.181.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.434.575.9+6.988%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stony Brook wins
3
William & Mary wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26APrinceton59-69
07/11/26ANorthwestern65-78
02/11/26HOld Westbury97-47
07/03/26HCampbell89-96
03/03/26HTowson57-69
01/03/26AHofstra58-67
27/02/26AMonmouth69-82
21/02/26HHampton79-72
17/02/26HDrexel72-69
13/02/26ATowson57-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AFlorida Atlantic90-95
08/11/26HNorfolk State104-73
03/11/26HBridgewater College (VA)80-66
09/03/26AHofstra61-92
08/03/26HElon72-62
04/03/26HHampton94-85
28/02/26AN. Carolina A&T91-88
27/02/26HNortheastern84-77
20/02/26ACampbell83-84
14/02/26HElon78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stony Brook
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.797.062.0
Allowed / game64.747.073.5
Point differential+9.0+50.0-11.5
Avg total138.3144.0135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
William & Mary
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game91.392.090.0
Allowed / game78.069.595.0
Point differential+13.3+22.5-5.0
Avg total169.3161.5185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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