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Surrey 89ers vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-96
15-29 18-18 13-23 20-26
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game80.0
Surrey 89ers
United Kingdom
vs
Bristol Flyers 🏆
United Kingdom
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game67.3
United KingdomSLB· Surrey Sports Park
Other2025-26
Meetings · Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers
26 Mar 2027
SURR v BRIS
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
SURR93
BRIS80
04 Oct 2025
SURR66
BRIS96
15 Feb 2025
SURR83
BRIS89
30 Nov 2024
SURR84
BRIS88
12 Oct 2024
SURR69
BRIS92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Surrey 89ers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Surrey 89ersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form89ers
Date
Competition
London Lions
#2
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H12/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
A13/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A17/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
H19/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A23/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
H26/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A27/04
SLB
London Lions
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A02/05
SLB
London Lions
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
H05/05
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
94-80
94
80
+14
94avg 88
H27/09
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
19-13
26-18
14-24
28-14
20-18
21-23
13-18
21-21
20-19
17-26
26-25
21-31
22-15
21-29
23-20
25-29
22-15
21-27
20-33
18-20
24-22
26-23
25-22
23-9
15-18
17-14
12-26
10-29
20-15
24-20
22-17
15-23
24-24
21-20
9-19
23-18
24-22
24-16
23-24
171.1Avg total
84.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.080.0174.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)94.080.0174.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.786.4171.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)83.684.2167.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.983.9164.8-3.031%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.889.4176.1-2.643%
vs Weaker (3)79.076.3155.3+2.767%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
A20/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
55-84
55
84
-29
no box
A21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
H25/04
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H27/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
55-78
55
78
-23
no box
H02/05
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A05/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
78-60
78
60
+18
64avg 72
H19/09
SLB
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
90-78
90
78
+12
91avg 72
A23/09
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
60-72
60
72
-12
48avg 72
A26/09
SLB
Leicester Riders
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
65avg 72
H28/09
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
24-21
29-21
22-23
5-18
14-21
13-21
23-24
22-23
22-24
14-26
23-20
9-23
18-15
14-17
26-12
19-15
11-15
8-25
17-23
16-23
22-27
16-23
26-13
25-19
17-13
23-6
13-22
23-14
21-20
26-21
20-23
18-21
13-24
19-13
10-14
14-28
23-14
18-14
19-14
155.6Avg total
75.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.767.3138.0+3.367%
Season at home (2)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)60.072.0132.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)75.779.9155.6-4.250%
Last 5 (5)76.473.2149.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.876.8144.6-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.679.7158.2-1.158%
vs Weaker (4)78.570.2148.8+8.275%
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Surrey 89ersBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Surrey 89ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H12/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A13/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A17/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H19/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H26/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A27/04
SLB
London Lions
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A02/05
SLB
London Lions
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H05/05
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H27/09
SLB
82.3Avg total
42.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.183.8+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.981.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)44.341.285.5+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.082.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.079.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.241.282.5+0.062%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.142.487.5+2.657%-
vs Weaker (3)38.034.072.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H25/04
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H27/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H02/05
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/09
SLB
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A23/09
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A26/09
SLB
Leicester Riders
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/09
SLB
76.3Avg total
35.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.875.6-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.637.373.9-0.747%-
Last 30 away (13)37.040.877.8-3.846%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.576.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.679.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.339.674.9-4.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.440.077.4-2.633%-
vs Weaker (4)40.032.272.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Surrey 89erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Surrey 89ers: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.725.0
56.0%
52.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.3%
34.8%27.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.8%
72.0%14.8
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.4
49.7%
52.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.513.3
68.2%
72.0%13.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Surrey 89ers
WLLLWLLLWW
Bristol Flyers
WLWWLLWLLW
#7
League position
#6
+1.0
Net rating
+5.3
114.7
Offensive rating
100.0
113.7
Defensive rating
94.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.3%
3-point %
34.0%
58.0%
Assist %
67.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 100.0Defence113.7 · 94.7Shooting54.8% · 50.2%3-point %35.3% · 34.0%Ball care16.2% · 20.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Surrey 89ers   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Surrey 89ers wins
5
Bristol Flyers wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers87-86 OT
13/04/25Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers73-82
15/02/25Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers83-89 OT
30/11/24Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers84-88
12/10/24Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers69-92
05/10/24Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers86-79
Surrey 89erslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HManchester Basketball94-80
05/05/25HLondon Lions69-86
02/05/25ALondon Lions76-81
27/04/25ABristol Flyers86-87 OT
26/04/25HManchester Basketball93-87
23/04/25AManchester Basketball88-104
19/04/25HNewcastle Eagles87-95
17/04/25ALeicester Riders84-91
13/04/25ABristol Flyers82-73
12/04/25HLondon Lions88-80
Bristol Flyerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HLeicester Riders74-70
26/09/25ALondon Lions60-72
23/09/25AKapfenberg Bulls90-78
19/09/25HSheffield Sharks78-60
05/05/25ALeicester Riders80-86
02/05/25HLeicester Riders55-78
27/04/25HSurrey 89ers87-86 OT
25/04/25HCheshire Phoenix81-93
21/04/25ANewcastle Eagles55-84
20/04/25AManchester Basketball97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Surrey 89ers
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Bristol Flyers
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game70.776.060.0
Allowed / game67.365.072.0
Point differential+3.3+11.0-12.0
Avg total138.0141.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Surrey 89ers110100%94.080.0+14.0
2 London Lions330100%80.071.7+8.3
3 Newcastle Eagles32167%90.084.0+6.0
4 Sheffield Sharks32167%77.072.0+5.0
5 Bristol Flyers32167%70.767.3+3.3
6 Manchester Basketball21150%86.091.5-5.5
7 Cheshire Phoenix41325%87.591.2-3.8
8 Caledonia Gladiators2020%100.0108.5-8.5
9 Leicester Riders3030%69.082.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Surrey 89ers1518132066
Bristol Flyers2918232696
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