Virtus Roma vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2008

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 88-70

17-10 24-26 21-22 26-12

Position#2

Record6-5

FormLLWWW

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game83.7

Virtus Roma 🏆

Sutor Montegranaro

Position#12

Record7-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game80.0

Lega A

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

68-88

-20

H16/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

93-106

106

-13

A23/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

76-67

H27/11

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

80-86 OT

-6

H30/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#19

70-64

H04/12

Euroleague

Ferrara

67-73

-6

A07/12

Lega A

Joventut Badalona

#15

93-97

-4

A11/12

Euroleague

Treviso

96-75

+21

H14/12

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

74-69 OT

H18/12

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

91-90 OT

A21/12

Lega A

13-20

19-22

21-17

15-29

18-29

19-29

20-22

36-26

19-14

18-16

17-15

22-22

19-20

17-14

18-23

16-13

19-14

16-18

15-11

20-21

16-17

12-19

13-16

26-21

24-26

24-22

21-28

24-21

29-21

24-17

20-23

23-14

22-16

12-15

18-12

10-19

18-28

20-9

19-19

22-23

162.3Avg total

80.8Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.4	83.7	170.1	+2.6	55%
Season at home (5)	84.6	81.0	165.6	+3.6	60%
Season away (6)	87.8	86.0	173.8	+1.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	81.5	162.3	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	80.8	165.0	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.5	89.0	169.5	-8.5	50%
vs Similar (4)	87.5	77.5	165.0	+10.0	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	82.4	78.9	161.3	+3.5	62%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Udine

#16

73-70

H19/10

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

91-89

H26/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-75

A02/11

Lega A

Biella

70-66

H09/11

Lega A

Treviso

65-80

-15

A16/11

Lega A

Siena

62-88

-26

A23/11

Lega A

Avellino

#10

81-76

H30/11

Lega A

Cantu

85-82

H07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

93-89

A14/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

79-88

-9

H20/12

Lega A

15-9

21-19

14-16

23-26

22-21

26-24

19-25

24-19

20-20

17-18

22-24

18-13

17-20

18-17

17-13

18-16

15-21

13-11

18-24

19-24

12-28

17-13

13-29

20-18

16-19

14-12

26-21

25-24

13-23

23-21

20-13

29-25

25-19

20-20

17-34

31-16

14-21

22-26

16-22

27-19

157.9Avg total

77.6Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	76.8	80.0	156.8	-3.2	64%
Season at home (6)	79.8	78.5	158.3	+1.3	83%
Season away (5)	73.2	81.8	155.0	-8.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	80.3	157.9	-2.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	84.6	164.6	-4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	71.0	77.0	148.0	-6.0	60%
vs Similar (5)	83.4	85.0	168.4	-1.6	60%
vs Weaker (1)	73.0	70.0	143.0	+3.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.7	18.3	37.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	17.8	38.5	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.1	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	16.9	20.2	37.1	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (5)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	9.0	24.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.0	24.5	48.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.5	20.2	43.8	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.8	83%	-
Last 30 away (5)	16.6	15.6	32.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.8	14.2	30.0	+1.6	80%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	100%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

32-42

-10

H16/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

37-58

-21

A23/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

37-30

H27/11

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

36-34

H30/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#19

35-32

H04/12

Euroleague

Ferrara

28-36

-8

A07/12

Lega A

Joventut Badalona

#15

48-48

A11/12

Euroleague

Treviso

53-38

+15

H14/12

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

34-31

H18/12

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

38-37

A21/12

Lega A

76.4Avg total

37.8Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	41.1	37.3	78.3	+3.8	74%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.1	34.3	73.4	+4.8	78%	-
Last 30 away (10)	42.8	39.9	82.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.6	76.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	40.5	81.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.2	38.0	82.2	+6.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.2	36.5	76.7	+3.6	85%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Udine

#16

36-28

H19/10

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

48-45

H26/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-38

-1

A02/11

Lega A

Biella

35-37

-2

H09/11

Lega A

Treviso

28-32

-4

A16/11

Lega A

Siena

29-41

-12

A23/11

Lega A

Avellino

#10

30-31

-1

H30/11

Lega A

Cantu

36-44

-8

H07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

45-39

A14/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

36-47

-11

H20/12

Lega A

74.2Avg total

36.0Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	35.7	38.1	73.8	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	36.8	38.7	75.5	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (5)	34.4	37.4	71.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	40.4	75.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	31.8	35.8	67.6	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	28.0	64.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	32%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.3	17.2	36.6	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.5	23%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	17.9	21.5	39.5	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	17.0	25.4	42.4	-8.4	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.8	42.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	22.0	39.4	-4.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.5	42%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (10)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	28.5	47.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.2	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	23.2	20.4	43.5	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	24.3	21.5	45.8	+2.8	83%	-
Last 30 away (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.4	46.8	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	80%	-
vs Similar (5)	26.4	20.6	47.0	+5.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	26.0	49.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	39.8	40.2	80.0	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	38.1	37.2	75.3	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.4	42.8	84.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.5	79.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	48.5	88.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.2	39.5	82.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	38.8	39.1	77.8	-0.3	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	41.1	41.9	83.0	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	43.0	39.8	82.8	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (5)	38.8	44.4	83.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	42.1	83.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	44.2	89.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.8	42.6	86.4	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	42.0	79.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

No previous meetings.

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/08	A	NSB Napoli	91-90 OT
18/12/08	H	Petrol Olimpija	74-69 OT
14/12/08	H	Treviso	96-75
11/12/08	A	Joventut Badalona	93-97
07/12/08	A	Ferrara	67-73
04/12/08	H	Alba Berlin	70-64
30/11/08	H	Virtus Bologna	80-86 OT
27/11/08	H	Fenerbahce	76-67
23/11/08	A	Pesaro	93-106
16/11/08	H	Siena	68-88

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/08	H	Caserta	79-88
14/12/08	A	Pesaro	93-89
07/12/08	H	Cantu	85-82
30/11/08	H	Avellino	81-76
23/11/08	A	Siena	62-88
16/11/08	A	Treviso	65-80
09/11/08	H	Biella	70-66
02/11/08	A	Olimpia Milano	77-75
26/10/08	H	Fortitudo Bologna	91-89
19/10/08	H	Udine	73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	55%
Home	WWLLW	60%
Away	WLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	55%	60%	50%
Points / game	86.4	84.6	87.8
Allowed / game	83.7	81.0	86.0
Point differential	+2.6	+3.6	+1.8
Avg total	170.1	165.6	173.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	27%	40%	17%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	64%
Home	WWWWL	83%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	64%	83%	40%
Points / game	76.8	79.8	73.2
Allowed / game	80.0	78.5	81.8
Point differential	-3.2	+1.3	-8.6
Avg total	156.8	158.3	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (7)	100% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	11	11	0	100%	90.8	71.5	+19.3
2	Virtus Bologna	12	8	4	67%	78.6	74.3	+4.2
3	Teramo	11	7	4	64%	84.9	82.3	+2.6
4	Sutor Montegranaro	11	7	4	64%	76.8	80.0	-3.2
5	Treviso	12	7	5	58%	78.6	78.1	+0.5
6	Virtus Roma	11	6	5	55%	86.4	83.7	+2.6
7	Olimpia Milano	12	6	6	50%	76.1	74.1	+2.0
8	Cantu	12	6	6	50%	79.8	83.2	-3.5
9	Pesaro	11	5	6	45%	80.2	78.4	+1.8
10	Avellino	11	5	6	45%	75.4	74.5	+0.8
11	Caserta	11	5	6	45%	77.4	81.0	-3.6
12	Fortitudo Bologna	11	5	6	45%	74.6	80.6	-6.0
13	Biella	11	4	7	36%	83.5	83.5	+0.0
14	Udine	11	3	8	27%	81.0	85.9	-4.9
15	NSB Napoli	12	3	9	25%	74.6	79.5	-4.9
16	Ferrara	12	3	9	25%	69.4	76.4	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	17	24	21	26	88
Sutor Montegranaro	10	26	22	12	70

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature