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Vaerlose vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-83
21-27 28-11 13-18 17-27
Position#7
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game80.2
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Svendborg 🏆
Denmark
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game77.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen (Vaerlose)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Svendborg
03 Jan 2027
VAER v SVEN
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VAER68
SVEN124
05 Jan 2025
VAER70
SVEN86
07 Mar 2024
VAER95
SVEN98
22 Oct 2023
VAER79
SVEN83
14 Oct 2022
VAER78
SVEN76
04 Mar 2022
VAER96
SVEN83
17 Jan 2021
VAER79
SVEN89
31 Oct 2019
VAER70
SVEN94
21 Oct 2018
VAER80
SVEN98
30 Dec 2014
VAER60
SVEN86
05 Mar 2014
VAER80
SVEN92
07 Nov 2013
VAER60
SVEN102
11 Mar 2013
VAER69
SVEN97
08 Nov 2012
VAER75
SVEN82
10 Oct 2012
VAER82
SVEN99
12 Mar 2012
VAER76
SVEN83
30 Nov 2011
VAER65
SVEN98
14 Mar 2011
VAER58
SVEN91
06 Feb 2011
VAER86
SVEN90
13 Oct 2010
VAER56
SVEN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 77
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 77
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
92avg 77
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 77
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 77
A14/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
17-19
28-26
11-12
27-20
28-20
6-14
18-21
20-7
30-16
23-24
31-13
15-22
22-19
23-20
19-25
17-25
17-19
15-20
20-23
23-19
17-33
19-29
23-19
15-17
29-18
20-23
12-12
29-20
20-19
29-21
24-23
23-19
16-19
19-22
27-18
13-21
20-12
22-18
24-19
161.5Avg total
83.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.880.2165.0+4.680%
Season at home (2)80.574.0154.5+6.5100%
Season away (3)87.784.3172.0+3.367%
Last 10 (10)83.278.3161.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)84.880.2165.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.094.4173.4-15.420%
vs Similar (13)77.581.5158.9-4.038%
vs Weaker (11)85.375.5160.7+9.864%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
98-101
98
101
-3
no box
A03/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
106-83
106
83
+23
no box
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
H13/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
A17/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 73
H14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
62avg 73
A19/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
87avg 73
H23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
80avg 73
A01/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
62avg 73
H13/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
15-32
28-16
27-26
25-29
34-10
24-21
23-23
31-19
18-24
19-22
15-17
8-29
21-17
26-27
34-26
18-27
17-28
26-16
21-19
25-11
18-24
17-20
20-22
15-24
18-12
18-12
22-19
31-13
15-20
24-20
23-12
17-23
20-13
29-15
21-15
11-31
23-28
20-26
31-25
171.6Avg total
87.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.677.0160.6+6.680%
Season at home (3)86.084.0170.0+2.067%
Season away (2)80.066.5146.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.684.0171.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)83.677.0160.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.795.6180.2-10.917%
vs Similar (6)88.587.0175.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.475.3169.6+19.191%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
VaerloseSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/10
Basketligaen
80.0Avg total
41.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.6-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.341.381.6-1.054%-
Last 30 away (17)36.939.476.2-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.180.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.480.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.449.089.4-8.640%-
vs Similar (13)37.240.077.2-2.838%-
vs Weaker (11)41.035.576.5+5.573%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A03/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H13/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A17/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A19/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H23/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H13/10
Basketligaen
84.9Avg total
40.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.986.3+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.640.587.1+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.845.685.4-5.836%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.184.9-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.549.089.5-8.525%-
vs Similar (6)43.843.086.8+0.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.137.483.5+8.782%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.423.2
53.5%
51.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.0
31.2%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
67.0%16.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.6
46.9%
51.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.6
38.7%
31.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
67.0%15.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WWWWLLLWWW
Svendborg
LWWWWLLWWL
#7
League position
#5
+5.2
Net rating
+9.1
104.2
Offensive rating
107.6
99.0
Defensive rating
98.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
21.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
38.7%
48.3%
Assist %
46.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.6Defence99.0 · 98.6Shooting51.2% · 52.0%3-point %31.2% · 38.7%Ball care21.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds33.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
7
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
16/02/22Svendborg v Vaerlose97-82
09/01/22Svendborg v Vaerlose108-70
17/01/21Vaerlose v Svendborg79-89
03/10/20Svendborg v Vaerlose116-72
30/11/19Svendborg v Vaerlose82-96
31/10/19Vaerlose v Svendborg70-94
21/10/18Vaerlose v Svendborg80-98
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack79-70
07/10/23HBears Academy85-78
28/09/23AAmager102-83
23/09/23HCopenhagen76-70
14/09/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-100
28/04/23ACopenhagen69-87
22/04/23AAmager79-86
12/04/23HHolbaek-Stenhus104-60
04/04/23ACopenhagen79-75
02/04/23HBears Academy77-74
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HBakken Bears85-110
01/10/23AHolbaek-Stenhus87-66
23/09/23HBears Academy93-65
19/09/23ACopenhagen73-67
14/09/23HHorsens80-77
20/04/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-90
17/04/23ABakken Bears89-99
13/04/23HBakken Bears83-82
08/04/23HHerlev Wolfpack106-83
03/04/23AHorsens98-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game84.880.587.7
Allowed / game80.274.084.3
Point differential+4.6+6.5+3.3
Avg total165.0154.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game83.686.080.0
Allowed / game77.084.066.5
Point differential+6.6+2.0+13.5
Avg total160.6170.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved550100%98.675.4+23.2
2 Bakken Bears660100%94.579.8+14.7
3 Svendborg54180%83.677.0+6.6
4 Vaerlose54180%84.880.2+4.6
5 Horsens64267%87.875.5+12.3
6 Randers73443%95.483.9+11.6
7 Bears Academy62433%81.084.2-3.2
8 Holbaek-Stenhus41325%69.292.8-23.5
9 Copenhagen61517%77.784.7-7.0
10 Herlev Wolfpack61517%60.884.2-23.3
11 Amager6060%72.892.8-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2128131779
Svendborg2711182783
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