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Switzerland vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 56-64
21-13 17-19 11-15 7-17
Position#31
Record6-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Site Sportif Saint-Leonard
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Switzerland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSwitzerland
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
L
64-80
64
80
-16
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
66-43
66
43
+23
no box
H28/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 64
H24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
80-61
80
61
+19
74avg 64
H27/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
L
63-71
63
71
-8
60avg 64
A30/06
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
88-82
88
82
+6
89avg 64
A03/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
74-64
74
64
+10
63avg 64
H25/08
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
53-84
53
84
-31
37avg 64
A28/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 64
A10/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
75-65
75
65
+10
64avg 64
A13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
14-26
20-21
15-15
21-11
20-20
11-4
14-8
28-14
13-23
20-15
22-20
23-18
17-18
26-7
14-18
21-22
19-21
6-11
17-17
25-25
20-22
30-18
13-17
17-13
16-21
27-20
14-10
10-22
16-28
15-20
12-14
15-17
22-15
8-27
19-20
18-15
19-20
15-14
23-16
141.1Avg total
71.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.070.1141.1+0.960%
Season at home (4)75.860.0135.8+15.8100%
Season away (6)67.876.8144.7-9.033%
Last 10 (10)71.070.1141.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)70.874.8145.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.387.3162.7-12.033%
vs Similar (17)78.479.5157.8-1.141%
vs Weaker (8)68.665.1133.8+3.562%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Poland
#24
W
72-69
72
69
+3
71avg 85
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
84-53
84
53
+31
86avg 85
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
106avg 85
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 85
H13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
10-16
28-16
23-22
22-10
28-16
20-15
14-12
16-24
14-22
32-24
23-19
20-17
17-14
35-9
14-25
20-16
13-13
20-19
20-22
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
159.9Avg total
83.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.871.0154.8+12.875%
Season at home (2)81.570.0151.5+11.550%
Season away (2)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.176.8159.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)86.284.4170.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.683.1156.7-9.59%
vs Similar (8)79.181.0160.1-1.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.667.4145.0+10.382%
This opponent (Switzerland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
SwitzerlandCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SwitzerlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A25/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A30/06
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H25/08
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A28/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
EuroBasket
75.8Avg total
36.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.438.375.8-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.037.076.0+2.062%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.575.5-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.975.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.675.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.744.383.0-5.767%-
vs Similar (17)37.039.076.0-2.041%-
vs Weaker (8)37.934.672.5+3.262%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#24
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
74.7Avg total
37.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.874.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.033.272.2+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)36.939.976.9-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.974.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.282.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.740.275.9-4.527%-
vs Similar (8)39.240.980.1-1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.130.569.5+8.691%-
This opponent (Switzerland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Switzerlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Switzerland: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.0
49.4%
50.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
71.4%13.8
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.8
57.7%
50.6%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.5
36.2%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.819.2
81.1%
71.4%19.2
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Switzerland
WLLWWLWWWL
Croatia
LWLWLWWLWW
#31
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
+17.8
99.3
Offensive rating
111.7
98.8
Defensive rating
93.9
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.1%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
30.0%
3-point %
36.2%
67.5%
Assist %
79.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 111.7Defence98.8 · 93.9Shooting47.4% · 56.1%3-point %30.0% · 36.2%Ball care19.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Switzerland   ■ Croatia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Switzerland wins
1
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
28/08/22Croatia v Switzerland84-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22AAustria75-65
10/11/22APoland64-79
28/08/22ACroatia53-84
25/08/22HAustria74-64
03/07/22AIreland88-82
30/06/22ACyprus63-71
27/02/22HAustria80-61
24/02/22HIreland83-72
28/11/21HCyprus66-43
25/11/21AAustria64-80
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
11/09/22AFinland86-94
08/09/22HUkraine90-85
06/09/22AItaly76-81
05/09/22HEstonia73-70
03/09/22AGreat Britain86-65
02/09/22HGreece85-89
28/08/22HSwitzerland84-53
25/08/22APoland72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Switzerland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game71.075.867.8
Allowed / game70.160.076.8
Point differential+0.9+15.8-9.0
Avg total141.1135.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.881.586.0
Allowed / game71.070.072.0
Point differential+12.8+11.5+14.0
Avg total154.8151.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal550100%86.466.8+19.6
2 Poland54180%82.668.4+14.2
3 Bulgaria54180%77.468.4+9.0
4 North Macedonia54180%71.466.8+4.6
5 Croatia43175%83.871.0+12.8
6 Switzerland106460%71.070.1+0.9
7 Slovakia53260%73.473.0+0.4
8 Romania95456%72.373.4-1.1
9 Austria115645%75.075.7-0.7
10 Denmark94544%75.773.3+2.3
11 Norway94544%72.272.8-0.6
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus111109%64.578.7-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Switzerland211711756
Croatia1319151764
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