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Sydney Comets vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 79-74
23-20 24-26 18-18 14-10
Position#10
Record7-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#7
Record10-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game73.9
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Sydney Comets v Newcastle Falcons
21 Apr 2024
SYDN77
NEWC69
01 Jul 2023
SYDN79
NEWC74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney Comets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney CometsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H21/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A13/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A20/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
97-104
97
104
-7
A27/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
94-115
94
115
-21
A28/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
71-104
71
104
-33
H03/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H17/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H25/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
22-13
16-20
27-12
12-24
24-28
17-19
21-18
17-19
19-21
10-22
22-28
14-25
20-14
9-22
12-16
16-24
20-15
30-21
11-26
23-24
25-23
35-23
14-34
14-36
23-19
29-30
28-30
25-19
8-31
13-33
25-21
21-23
23-20
15-19
8-23
18-24
29-23
21-20
17-16
168.5Avg total
77.6Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.483.8165.2-2.344%
Season at home (8)84.080.4164.4+3.662%
Season away (8)78.987.1166.0-8.225%
Last 10 (10)77.690.9168.5-13.320%
Last 5 (5)82.898.2181.0-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.091.6165.6-17.60%
vs Similar (2)83.584.0167.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (6)90.773.2163.8+17.5100%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H29/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
83-112
83
112
-29
A04/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H17/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A24/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
28-24
19-17
18-21
25-10
16-12
11-25
17-22
23-19
24-19
31-12
21-24
20-17
23-12
15-24
8-9
28-17
28-28
14-20
22-13
16-16
20-13
16-20
21-13
17-19
11-23
21-28
19-27
23-31
21-31
14-23
25-27
11-3
25-13
12-16
14-13
20-14
21-20
21-20
20-26
155.6Avg total
79.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.973.9152.8+5.162%
Season at home (7)78.365.7144.0+12.671%
Season away (9)79.480.2159.7-0.856%
Last 10 (10)79.276.4155.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)73.679.2152.8-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.891.8169.5-14.025%
vs Similar (13)74.277.3151.5-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.267.8148.9+13.485%
This opponent (Sydney Comets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
Sydney CometsNewcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney CometsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A20/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A27/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A28/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H03/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/06
NBL1 East
85.2Avg total
39.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)42.442.584.9-0.156%-
Last 30 at home (8)44.842.487.1+2.475%-
Last 30 away (8)40.042.682.6-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.685.2-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.490.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.945.483.2-7.525%-
vs Similar (2)46.036.582.5+9.5100%-
vs Weaker (6)47.240.787.8+6.583%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H29/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A04/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H17/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/06
NBL1 East
77.7Avg total
42.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.974.9+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.831.473.2+10.492%-
Last 30 away (17)36.939.476.3-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.377.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.673.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.542.078.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (13)36.937.574.4-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.832.574.4+9.385%-
This opponent (Sydney Comets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sydney Comets wins
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Newcastle Falcons v Sydney Comets89-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/23HCentral Coast Crusaders85-83
17/06/23HMaitland M.67-85
03/06/23HInner West Bulls71-104
28/05/23ABA CoE94-115
27/05/23AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits97-104
21/05/23ASutherland Sharks77-86
20/05/23AIllawarra Hawks 255-77
13/05/23ACanberra68-90
29/04/23ANewcastle Falcons74-89
21/04/23HManly W.88-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/06/23AInner West Bulls82-80
17/06/23HHornsby S.62-45
04/06/23ABA CoE83-112
03/06/23AIllawarra Hawks 268-97
27/05/23ANorths Bears73-62
21/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-78
20/05/23ABankstown Bruins66-62
13/05/23ACentral Coast Crusaders99-74
06/05/23HInner West Bulls78-80 OT
29/04/23HSydney Comets89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney Comets
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game81.484.078.9
Allowed / game83.880.487.1
Point differential-2.3+3.6-8.2
Avg total165.2164.4166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%71%56%
Points / game78.978.379.4
Allowed / game73.965.780.2
Point differential+5.1+12.6-0.8
Avg total152.8144.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE2019195%101.076.3+24.8
2 Inner West Bulls1613381%90.878.6+12.2
3 Norths Bears1612475%84.878.0+6.8
4 Sutherland Sharks1712571%87.781.4+6.4
5 Canberra1711665%83.677.2+6.5
6 Maitland M.1610662%87.881.6+6.2
7 Hills Hornets1610662%82.476.9+5.5
8 Newcastle Falcons1610662%78.973.9+5.1
9 Albury-Wodonga Bandits178947%87.887.9-0.2
10 Illawarra Hawks 2167944%85.983.8+2.1
11 Sydney Comets167944%81.483.8-2.3
12 Bankstown Bruins1641225%74.086.4-12.4
13 Manly W.1741324%70.083.3-13.3
14 Penrith P.1631319%69.892.9-23.1
15 Central Coast Crusaders1731418%77.388.5-11.2
16 Hornsby S.170170%65.482.8-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney Comets2324181479
Newcastle Falcons2026181074
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