Sydney vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 93-100

25-27 18-24 26-20 24-29

Position#7

Record6-7

FormWLWWL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game86.8

Sydney

Townsville 🏆

Position#5

Record5-5

FormLLWWL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game81.7

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Sydney v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

95-89

H23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

59-76

-17

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

76-94

-18

H04/11

NBL

Adelaide

113-104 OT

113

104

A12/11

NBL

Cairns

67-85

-18

H17/11

NBL

Melbourne United

89-80

A25/11

NBL

Perth

92-103

103

-11

A27/11

NBL

Cairns

69-64

H04/12

NBL

Adelaide

107-103 OT

107

103

H08/12

NBL

Townsville

69-80

-11

A11/12

NBL

26-25

16-20

17-20

36-24

8-20

18-14

15-17

18-25

18-27

19-28

21-29

18-10

27-31

27-19

20-27

22-19

21-19

17-26

15-17

14-23

29-21

14-25

23-14

23-20

22-30

20-30

25-15

25-28

22-17

17-12

13-18

17-17

22-27

24-23

29-23

25-27

22-19

18-23

13-24

16-14

171.4Avg total

83.6Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	82.1	86.8	168.9	-4.8	46%
Season at home (6)	79.2	88.8	168.0	-9.7	50%
Season away (7)	84.6	85.1	169.7	-0.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	87.8	171.4	-4.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	86.0	171.2	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	73.3	83.9	157.1	-10.6	21%
vs Similar (16)	86.5	84.9	171.4	+1.6	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

76-81

-5

A08/10

NBL

Cairns

95-67

+28

H14/10

NBL

Perth

85-93

-8

H22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

78-70

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

95-88 OT

A11/11

NBL

Gold Coast

75-87

-12

A19/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-88

-14

A24/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-81

H03/12

NBL

Sydney

80-69

+11

H11/12

NBL

Melbourne United

80-93

-13

A18/12

NBL

15-19

25-21

13-26

23-15

29-22

21-18

19-12

26-15

11-33

23-24

28-21

23-15

19-18

20-16

22-19

17-17

22-24

13-19

28-23

19-16

16-22

22-23

19-22

18-20

33-14

14-21

14-25

13-28

23-25

13-21

18-13

28-22

19-22

23-18

24-13

14-16

17-15

9-26

31-21

23-31

163.7Avg total

82.0Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	82.0	81.7	163.7	+0.3	50%
Season at home (5)	84.0	76.0	160.0	+8.0	80%
Season away (5)	80.0	87.4	167.4	-7.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	81.7	163.7	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	83.6	161.8	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.8	85.0	159.8	-10.2	25%
vs Similar (19)	77.7	77.4	155.1	+0.3	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	87.6	76.9	164.4	+10.7	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.6	45.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	24.8	48.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	14%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.7	22.8	39.5	-6.1	7%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.7	39.1	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.9	71%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

42-45

-3

H23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

26-34

-8

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

37-55

-18

H04/11

NBL

Adelaide

54-50

A12/11

NBL

Cairns

38-45

-7

H17/11

NBL

Melbourne United

43-46

-3

A25/11

NBL

Perth

42-60

-18

A27/11

NBL

Cairns

39-29

+10

H04/12

NBL

Adelaide

46-50

-4

H08/12

NBL

Townsville

40-42

-2

A11/12

NBL

86.3Avg total

40.7Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	43.7	83.5	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	44.9	85.0	-4.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	45.6	86.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	45.4	87.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.4	44.1	80.5	-7.8	7%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.8	43.4	86.1	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

40-40

A08/10

NBL

Cairns

50-40

+10

H14/10

NBL

Perth

34-57

-23

H22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

39-34

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

35-43

-8

A11/11

NBL

Gold Coast

38-45

-7

A19/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-35

+12

A24/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-46

-10

H03/12

NBL

Sydney

42-40

H11/12

NBL

Melbourne United

26-41

-15

A18/12

NBL

80.8Avg total

38.7Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.7	79.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	38.9	80.4	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	42.5	79.1	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	42.1	80.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	41.4	79.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	46.5	86.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.8	39.4	77.2	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	57%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	16.7	37.3	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.1	15.7	34.9	+3.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.7	41.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.4	20.9	43.2	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.5	36.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.6	18.8	37.5	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	24.9	18.9	43.7	+6.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.3	80.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	40.4	80.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	40.2	79.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.1	81.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.0	81.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.9	39.7	76.6	-2.8	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.2	40.9	83.1	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	36.9	76.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	35.8	77.9	+6.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.0	74.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	38.5	73.2	-3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.7	37.4	76.2	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	44.0	34.6	78.6	+9.4	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/11	Townsville v Sydney	80-69
26/02/11	Townsville v Sydney	96-68
08/01/11	Sydney v Townsville	73-80
13/11/10	Sydney v Townsville	59-64
30/10/10	Townsville v Sydney	80-79

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/11	A	Townsville	69-80
08/12/11	H	Adelaide	107-103 OT
04/12/11	H	Cairns	69-64
27/11/11	A	Perth	92-103
25/11/11	A	Melbourne United	89-80
17/11/11	H	Cairns	67-85
12/11/11	A	Adelaide	113-104 OT
04/11/11	H	Melbourne United	76-94
28/10/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	59-76
23/10/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	95-89

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/11	A	Melbourne United	80-93
11/12/11	H	Sydney	80-69
03/12/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-81
24/11/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-88
19/11/11	A	Gold Coast	75-87
11/11/11	A	Melbourne United	95-88 OT
29/10/11	H	Gold Coast	78-70
22/10/11	H	Perth	85-93
14/10/11	H	Cairns	95-67
08/10/11	A	Cairns	76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	46%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	46%	50%	43%
Points / game	82.1	79.2	84.6
Allowed / game	86.8	88.8	85.1
Point differential	-4.8	-9.7	-0.6
Avg total	168.9	168.0	169.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	15%	17%	14%

Townsville

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	50%	80%	20%
Points / game	82.0	84.0	80.0
Allowed / game	81.7	76.0	87.4
Point differential	+0.3	+8.0	-7.4
Avg total	163.7	160.0	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	13	10	3	77%	88.5	77.1	+11.5
2	Perth	13	8	5	62%	88.8	81.8	+7.0
3	Melbourne United	13	7	6	54%	84.1	82.5	+1.5
4	Gold Coast	10	5	5	50%	85.1	84.5	+0.6
5	Townsville	10	5	5	50%	82.0	81.7	+0.3
6	Cairns	12	6	6	50%	74.2	77.2	-3.0
7	Sydney	13	6	7	46%	82.1	86.8	-4.8
8	Adelaide	12	4	8	33%	88.2	93.4	-5.2
9	Illawarra Hawks	12	3	9	25%	75.4	84.5	-9.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	25	18	26	24	93
Townsville	27	24	20	29	100

← all games of the day

Sydney vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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