Townsville vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 80-69

19-22 23-18 24-13 14-16

Position#5

Record4-4

FormWWLLW

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game81.9

Townsville 🏆

Sydney

Position#7

Record6-6

FormLWLWW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game87.4

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Townsville v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

57-74

-17

A09/04

NBL

Cairns

83-93

-10

H17/04

NBL

Cairns

76-81

-5

A08/10

NBL

Cairns

95-67

+28

H14/10

NBL

Perth

85-93

-8

H22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

78-70

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

95-88 OT

A11/11

NBL

Gold Coast

75-87

-12

A19/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-88

-14

A24/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-81

H03/12

NBL

17-17

7-29

13-17

20-11

22-17

16-28

21-22

24-26

15-19

25-21

13-26

23-15

29-22

21-18

19-12

26-15

11-33

23-24

28-21

23-15

19-18

20-16

22-19

17-17

22-24

13-19

28-23

19-16

16-22

22-23

19-22

18-20

33-14

14-21

14-25

13-28

23-25

13-21

18-13

28-22

162.2Avg total

80.0Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	82.5	81.9	164.4	+0.6	50%
Season at home (4)	85.0	77.8	162.8	+7.2	75%
Season away (4)	80.0	86.0	166.0	-6.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	82.2	162.2	-2.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	82.8	163.6	-2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.6	86.0	158.6	-13.4	20%
vs Similar (19)	78.3	77.1	155.3	+1.2	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	88.8	78.2	167.0	+10.7	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

94-71

+23

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

95-89

H23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

59-76

-17

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

76-94

-18

H04/11

NBL

Adelaide

113-104 OT

113

104

A12/11

NBL

Cairns

67-85

-18

H17/11

NBL

Melbourne United

89-80

A25/11

NBL

Perth

92-103

103

-11

A27/11

NBL

Cairns

69-64

H04/12

NBL

Adelaide

107-103 OT

107

103

H08/12

NBL

23-19

28-16

17-17

26-19

26-25

16-20

17-20

36-24

8-20

18-14

15-17

18-25

18-27

19-28

21-29

18-10

27-31

27-19

20-27

22-19

21-19

17-26

15-17

14-23

29-21

14-25

23-14

23-20

22-30

20-30

25-15

25-28

22-17

17-12

13-18

17-17

22-27

24-23

29-23

25-27

173.0Avg total

86.1Scored

86.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.2	87.4	170.6	-4.2	50%
Season at home (6)	79.2	88.8	168.0	-9.7	50%
Season away (6)	87.2	86.0	173.2	+1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	86.9	173.0	-0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	87.0	171.8	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	74.4	84.4	158.7	-10.0	21%
vs Similar (16)	86.5	84.9	171.4	+1.6	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.3	40.5	-2.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	24.4	46.4	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.8	46.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.5	38.8	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.0	39.4	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	21.8	36.6	-7.0	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.5	19.3	37.7	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.8	41.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	23.3	40.7	-5.9	7%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

24-46

-22

A09/04

NBL

Cairns

38-45

-7

H17/04

NBL

Cairns

40-40

A08/10

NBL

Cairns

50-40

+10

H14/10

NBL

Perth

34-57

-23

H22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

39-34

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

35-43

-8

A11/11

NBL

Gold Coast

38-45

-7

A19/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-35

+12

A24/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-46

-10

H03/12

NBL

81.2Avg total

38.1Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.8	80.0	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	38.9	80.7	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	42.8	79.3	-6.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.1	81.2	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	46.2	83.0	-9.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.8	39.3	78.2	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	42.0	41.2	83.2	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

51-35

+16

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-45

-3

H23/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

26-34

-8

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

37-55

-18

H04/11

NBL

Adelaide

54-50

A12/11

NBL

Cairns

38-45

-7

H17/11

NBL

Melbourne United

43-46

-3

A25/11

NBL

Perth

42-60

-18

A27/11

NBL

Cairns

39-29

+10

H04/12

NBL

Adelaide

46-50

-4

H08/12

NBL

86.7Avg total

41.8Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	44.2	84.3	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	44.9	85.0	-4.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	43.4	83.4	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	44.9	86.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	46.0	87.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.1	45.1	82.1	-8.0	7%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.8	43.4	86.1	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.5	37.7	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.3	16.2	34.5	+2.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.2	41.5	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.8	18.2	36.9	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	26.7	19.3	46.0	+7.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.8	20.9	38.6	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.4	20.9	43.2	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	36.9	79.5	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	37.5	73.3	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	39.8	75.6	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.3	37.1	75.4	+1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	45.0	35.5	80.5	+9.5	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.1	80.1	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	40.4	80.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	39.8	79.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.9	82.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.4	82.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.3	39.3	76.6	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.2	40.9	83.1	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
26/02/11	Townsville v Sydney	96-68
08/01/11	Sydney v Townsville	73-80
13/11/10	Sydney v Townsville	59-64
30/10/10	Townsville v Sydney	80-79

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-81
24/11/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-88
19/11/11	A	Gold Coast	75-87
11/11/11	A	Melbourne United	95-88 OT
29/10/11	H	Gold Coast	78-70
22/10/11	H	Perth	85-93
14/10/11	H	Cairns	95-67
08/10/11	A	Cairns	76-81
17/04/11	H	Cairns	83-93
09/04/11	A	Cairns	57-74

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/11	H	Adelaide	107-103 OT
04/12/11	H	Cairns	69-64
27/11/11	A	Perth	92-103
25/11/11	A	Melbourne United	89-80
17/11/11	H	Cairns	67-85
12/11/11	A	Adelaide	113-104 OT
04/11/11	H	Melbourne United	76-94
28/10/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	59-76
23/10/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	95-89
21/10/11	A	Adelaide	94-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	50%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	75%	25%
Points / game	82.5	85.0	80.0
Allowed / game	81.9	77.8	86.0
Point differential	+0.6	+7.2	-6.0
Avg total	164.4	162.8	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Sydney

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	WLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	83.2	79.2	87.2
Allowed / game	87.4	88.8	86.0
Point differential	-4.2	-9.7	+1.2
Avg total	170.6	168.0	173.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	17%	17%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	12	9	3	75%	88.8	78.1	+10.8
2	Perth	11	7	4	64%	89.4	83.4	+6.0
3	Cairns	11	6	5	55%	75.0	76.5	-1.5
4	Townsville	8	4	4	50%	82.5	81.9	+0.6
5	Melbourne United	12	6	6	50%	83.3	82.8	+0.6
6	Sydney	12	6	6	50%	83.2	87.4	-4.2
7	Gold Coast	9	4	5	44%	86.0	85.7	+0.3
8	Illawarra Hawks	10	3	7	30%	77.2	82.9	-5.7
9	Adelaide	11	3	8	27%	88.4	96.2	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	19	23	24	14	80
Sydney	22	18	13	16	69

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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