Townsville vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 82-81

23-25 13-21 18-13 28-22

Position#5

Record3-4

FormLWWLL

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game82.0

Townsville 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#8

Record3-6

FormWLLWL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game83.0

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Townsville v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

76-73 OT

H08/04

NBL

Cairns

57-74

-17

A09/04

NBL

Cairns

83-93

-10

H17/04

NBL

Cairns

76-81

-5

A08/10

NBL

Cairns

95-67

+28

H14/10

NBL

Perth

85-93

-8

H22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

78-70

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

95-88 OT

A11/11

NBL

Gold Coast

75-87

-12

A19/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-88

-14

A24/11

NBL

17-13

20-18

14-14

16-22

17-17

7-29

13-17

20-11

22-17

16-28

21-22

24-26

15-19

25-21

13-26

23-15

29-22

21-18

19-12

26-15

11-33

23-24

28-21

23-15

19-18

20-16

22-19

17-17

22-24

13-19

28-23

19-16

16-22

22-23

19-22

18-20

33-14

14-21

14-25

13-28

160.8Avg total

79.4Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.6	82.0	164.6	+0.6	43%
Season at home (3)	86.0	76.7	162.7	+9.3	67%
Season away (4)	80.0	86.0	166.0	-6.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	81.4	160.8	-2.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	85.2	166.6	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.6	86.0	158.6	-13.4	20%
vs Similar (19)	78.3	77.1	155.3	+1.2	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	88.3	80.0	168.3	+8.3	83%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

86-70

+16

H27/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-98

-16

H09/10

NBL

Adelaide

97-89

H16/10

NBL

Gold Coast

58-83

-25

H21/10

NBL

Sydney

89-95

-6

A23/10

NBL

Cairns

69-64

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

74-82

-8

H30/10

NBL

Perth

71-87

-16

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-63

+18

A11/11

NBL

Perth

70-86

-16

H20/11

NBL

18-20

24-20

25-17

19-13

14-28

19-15

25-15

24-40

24-25

24-17

20-30

29-17

8-20

13-19

17-21

20-23

25-26

20-16

20-17

24-36

21-18

17-18

17-11

14-17

27-15

12-14

14-25

21-28

17-13

20-33

21-18

13-23

21-24

20-12

17-17

23-10

16-28

23-16

9-17

22-25

159.4Avg total

77.7Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	76.8	83.0	159.8	-6.2	33%
Season at home (5)	76.2	87.6	163.8	-11.4	20%
Season away (4)	77.5	77.2	154.8	+0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	81.7	159.4	-4.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	76.4	149.4	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	75.0	83.1	158.1	-8.1	29%
vs Similar (15)	79.2	80.3	159.5	-1.1	33%
vs Weaker (8)	83.0	79.1	162.1	+3.9	62%

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	24.4	46.4	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	21.3	42.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	22.1	41.4	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	21.5	42.3	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	21.8	36.6	-7.0	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.5	19.3	37.7	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.8	21.3	45.2	+2.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.1	38.1	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.2	39.1	+2.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.0	37.1	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.1	57%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	50%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

37-31

H08/04

NBL

Cairns

24-46

-22

A09/04

NBL

Cairns

38-45

-7

H17/04

NBL

Cairns

40-40

A08/10

NBL

Cairns

50-40

+10

H14/10

NBL

Perth

34-57

-23

H22/10

NBL

Gold Coast

39-34

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

35-43

-8

A11/11

NBL

Gold Coast

38-45

-7

A19/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-35

+12

A24/11

NBL

79.8Avg total

38.2Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.9	80.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	38.4	80.6	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	43.2	79.8	-6.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	41.6	79.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	42.8	81.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	46.2	83.0	-9.4	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.8	39.3	78.2	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	42.3	41.7	84.0	+0.7	50%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

42-40

H27/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

33-43

-10

H09/10

NBL

Adelaide

48-42

H16/10

NBL

Gold Coast

21-39

-18

H21/10

NBL

Sydney

45-42

A23/10

NBL

Cairns

38-36

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

39-29

+10

H30/10

NBL

Perth

37-46

-9

A05/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-36

A11/11

NBL

Perth

39-44

-5

H20/11

NBL

78.0Avg total

38.3Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.8	80.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	39.6	81.6	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	42.1	78.4	-5.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	36.0	41.6	77.6	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.1	39.8	79.9	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.0	41.9	82.9	-0.9	62%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.5	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.6	33.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	18.4	36.6	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.8	18.2	36.9	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	25.8	19.3	45.2	+6.5	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.6	40.6	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.0	23.9	43.9	-3.9	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	37.1	79.4	+5.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	37.9	74.0	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	38.6	77.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.2	81.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	39.8	75.6	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.3	37.1	75.4	+1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	44.2	36.8	81.0	+7.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.5	79.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	40.2	81.1	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	38.6	76.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.0	81.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	38.2	72.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.4	39.7	78.1	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.0	37.2	79.2	+4.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/11	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	87-77
18/02/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	75-56
22/10/10	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	71-70

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-88
19/11/11	A	Gold Coast	75-87
11/11/11	A	Melbourne United	95-88 OT
29/10/11	H	Gold Coast	78-70
22/10/11	H	Perth	85-93
14/10/11	H	Cairns	95-67
08/10/11	A	Cairns	76-81
17/04/11	H	Cairns	83-93
09/04/11	A	Cairns	57-74
08/04/11	H	Cairns	76-73 OT

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/11	H	Perth	70-86
11/11/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-63
05/11/11	A	Perth	71-87
30/10/11	H	Melbourne United	74-82
28/10/11	A	Cairns	69-64
23/10/11	A	Sydney	89-95
21/10/11	H	Gold Coast	58-83
16/10/11	H	Adelaide	97-89
09/10/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	82-98
27/03/11	H	Sydney	86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	43%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	43%	67%	25%
Points / game	82.6	86.0	80.0
Allowed / game	82.0	76.7	86.0
Point differential	+0.6	+9.3	-6.0
Avg total	164.6	162.7	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	33%
Home	LWLLL	20%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	20%	50%
Points / game	76.8	76.2	77.5
Allowed / game	83.0	87.6	77.2
Point differential	-6.2	-11.4	+0.2
Avg total	159.8	163.8	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	10	7	3	70%	87.4	77.9	+9.5
2	Perth	10	7	3	70%	89.9	82.1	+7.8
3	Cairns	9	5	4	56%	75.8	77.2	-1.4
4	Melbourne United	11	6	5	55%	83.9	83.1	+0.8
5	Gold Coast	8	4	4	50%	86.1	83.1	+3.0
6	Townsville	7	3	4	43%	82.6	82.0	+0.6
7	Sydney	10	4	6	40%	82.2	88.2	-6.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	9	3	6	33%	76.8	83.0	-6.2
9	Adelaide	8	2	6	25%	87.5	97.6	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	23	13	18	28	82
Illawarra Hawks	25	21	13	22	81

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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