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Szczecin vs Vienna Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 87-80
Projected total 166.5
Scheduled
Position#16
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game81.7
Szczecin
Vs
70%
30%
■ SZC 70%■ VIE 30%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Vienna Basket
Position#32
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game85.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Enea Arena
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Szczecin will host Vienna Basket on 18 November 2026 in the FIBA Europe Cup, with the model favouring Szczecin at 70% to 30% for a 87-80 projected win. Szczecin finished 4-2 this season, averaging 86.8 points and conceding 81.7, and are 16th in the league; they are undefeated at home 2-0, scoring 89.0 and allowing 84.0, and have won 4 of their last 5 games. Their recent outings include a 90-92 loss to Nitra Blue Wings away on 11 November, a 105-95 home win over Czarni Slupsk on 8 November, and an 82-69 away victory over Parnu on 4 November. Vienna Basket is 2-4 this season, with 80.5 points scored and 85.2 allowed, positioned 32nd; on the road they are 1-2, averaging 72.7 points and conceding 77.3, and have won 2 of their last 5. Their recent results feature a 86-101 home loss to Nancy on 11 November, a 74-60 away win over Perspektiva Ilirija on 7 November, and a 84-80 away win against Nitra Blue Wings on 4 November. In their only prior meeting Vienna Basket edged Szczecin 96-93 on 13 October 2026, a result that the model still sees as outweighed by Szczecin's current form. The projected total is 166.5 points, with a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szczecin win
70.3%fair 1.42
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vienna Basket win
29.7%fair 3.37
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SzczecinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSzczecin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 80
H10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Vienna Basket
#32
L
93-96
93
96
-3
88avg 80
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 80
A17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Keravnos
#18
W
78-65
78
65
+13
78avg 80
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lublin
#14
W
70-54
70
54
+16
64avg 80
H24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Nancy
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
87avg 80
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Parnu
#39
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
105-95
105
95
+10
no box
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
18-23
20-12
14-29
27-23
21-24
20-23
25-26
29-7
22-22
21-23
19-29
22-18
19-21
19-16
18-10
14-14
21-16
15-9
20-15
22-21
28-25
18-21
22-20
29-29
23-15
25-26
18-16
18-21
14-14
30-17
20-17
18-28
20-18
38-26
29-23
20-27
23-18
29-20
18-27
167.0Avg total
86.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.881.7168.5+5.267%
Season at home (2)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Season away (4)85.880.5166.2+5.250%
Last 10 (10)86.380.7167.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)92.485.8178.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.087.5174.5-0.550%
vs Similar (15)83.182.3165.5+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.682.7171.3+5.977%
This opponent (Vienna Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vienna BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
70avg 78
A11/10
ABA League
Szczecin
#16
W
96-93
96
93
+3
93avg 78
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
86avg 78
H16/10
ABA League
Parnu
#39
L
69-86
69
86
-17
67avg 78
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#17
L
88-94
88
94
-6
79avg 78
H24/10
ABA League
Keravnos
#18
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 78
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 78
H30/10
ABA League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
74-60
74
60
+14
no box
A07/11
ABA League
Nancy
#4
L
86-101
86
101
-15
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-27
22-24
18-24
23-27
24-21
23-20
26-25
22-21
18-13
21-14
17-15
21-14
16-24
17-24
15-24
26-23
27-20
16-27
19-24
22-26
25-22
20-22
16-15
17-27
28-21
21-21
15-19
19-20
23-20
17-21
25-19
21-13
16-18
22-12
15-17
22-25
25-25
19-30
20-21
166.6Avg total
81.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.585.2165.7-4.733%
Season at home (3)88.393.0181.3-4.733%
Season away (3)72.777.3150.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)81.784.9166.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)81.682.8164.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)88.192.6180.7-4.533%
vs Similar (15)81.984.1166.0-2.340%
vs Weaker (2)86.087.0173.0-1.050%
This opponent (Szczecin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1303%1354%1406%1458%15010%15512%16012%16511%17010%1758%1806%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1253%1356%14510%15512%16510%1756%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 166 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
65.3%
Under 160
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
53.0%
Under 165
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
40.5%
Under 170
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Szczecin total 80.5
Over 80.5
71.9%
Under 80.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szczecin total 84.5
Over 84.5
58.2%
Under 84.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szczecin total 88.5
Over 88.5
43.4%
Under 88.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vienna Basket total 76.5
Over 76.5
61.8%
Under 76.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vienna Basket total 80.5
Over 80.5
46.8%
Under 80.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vienna Basket total 84.5
Over 84.5
32.4%
Under 84.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-183%-154%-125%-97%-68%-36%+09%+310%+610%+98%+127%+156%+184%+213%+242%+271%+301%+331%+360%+39
1%-242%-184%-127%-66%+010%+68%+126%+183%+241%+301%+36
Margin from Szczecin's side (positive = Szczecin win). Pythia's expected margin is +6.9; Szczecin win by 1+ in 64% of simulations.
Spread Szczecin -3
SZC -3
63.5%
VIE +3
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
SZC
No market prices yet.
VIE
No market prices yet.
Spread Szczecin 0
SZC 0
70.3%
VIE 0
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
SZC
No market prices yet.
VIE
No market prices yet.
Spread Szczecin +3
SZC +3
77.0%
VIE -3
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
SZC
No market prices yet.
VIE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
SzczecinVienna Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SzczecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Vienna Basket
#32
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Keravnos
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lublin
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Nancy
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Parnu
#39
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#15
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
82.7Avg total
42.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.484.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.184.2+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.741.784.4+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.282.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.286.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.542.085.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (15)43.442.285.6+1.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.240.482.6+1.854%-
This opponent (Vienna Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vienna BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A11/10
ABA League
Szczecin
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H16/10
ABA League
Parnu
#39
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#17
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/10
ABA League
Keravnos
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/10
ABA League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/11
ABA League
Nancy
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
86.4Avg total
43.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.687.4-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.444.489.9+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)39.844.984.6-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.186.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.487.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.647.991.5-4.38%-
vs Similar (15)42.142.584.5-0.447%-
vs Weaker (2)47.541.589.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Szczecin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Szczecintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Szczecin: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.2
51.6%
53.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.517.1
72.8%
72.8%17.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vienna Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vienna Basket: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
72.8%17.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Szczecin
LWWWWWWWLL
Vienna Basket
LWWLLLLWWL
#16
League position
#32
+5.2
Net rating
-6.6
98.6
Offensive rating
95.1
93.4
Defensive rating
101.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.7%
3-point %
34.9%
72.1%
Assist %
70.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 95.1Defence93.4 · 101.7Shooting54.3% · 52.2%3-point %38.7% · 34.9%Ball care17.0% · 15.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Szczecin   ■ Vienna Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Szczecin wins
1
Vienna Basket wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26Vienna Basket v Szczecin96-93
Szczecinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ANitra Blue Wings90-92
08/11/26HCzarni Slupsk105-95
04/11/26AParnu82-69
01/11/26AGornik Walbrzych95-86
28/10/26HNancy90-87
24/10/26HLublin70-54
21/10/26AKeravnos78-65
17/10/26ATrefl Sopot91-81
13/10/26AVienna Basket93-96
10/10/26HSlask Wroclaw69-82
Vienna Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HNancy86-101
07/11/26APerspektiva Ilirija74-60
04/11/26ANitra Blue Wings84-80
30/10/26HKK Bosna81-88
27/10/26HKeravnos83-85
24/10/26HMega Basket88-94
22/10/26AParnu69-86
16/10/26HZadar78-63
13/10/26HSzczecin96-93
11/10/26APartizan78-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Szczecin
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.889.085.8
Allowed / game81.784.080.5
Point differential+5.2+5.0+5.2
Avg total168.5173.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vienna Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game80.588.372.7
Allowed / game85.293.077.3
Point differential-4.7-4.7-4.7
Avg total165.7181.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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