The Tainan TSG GhostHawks will face Alvark in the EASL on 4 November 2026, with the model designating Alvark as the clear favourite because of their 1-0 record, 113.0 points per game and 78.0 allowed per game, placing them first in the league, while the GhostHawks sit eighth with a 0-1 record, 94.0 points per game and 99.0 allowed per game. Alvark's season has seen three wins in five games, including a 112-88 victory away on 26 October, whereas the GhostHawks have only one win in five games, most recently losing 94-99 to Goyang Sono at home on 21 October. In their last meeting, the GhostHawks were defeated 84-96, a result echoed in the model's projection of a 84-96 score and a total of 179.9 points. The model gives Alvark an 86% chance of victory, the GhostHawks 14%, and a 39% probability that Alvark will cover the 9.5-point spread; the over on the 179.9 total has a 3% chance of occurring.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 94.0 | 99.0 | 193.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 94.0 | 99.0 | 193.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 92.0 | 100.5 | 192.5 | -8.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.2 | 103.0 | 192.2 | -13.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 91.2 | 99.8 | 190.9 | -8.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar (1) | 90.0 | 110.0 | 200.0 | -20.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 106.8 | 91.1 | 197.9 | +15.6 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 113.0 | 78.0 | 191.0 | +35.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 113.0 | 78.0 | 191.0 | +35.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 96.6 | 80.7 | 177.3 | +15.9 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.2 | 81.8 | 175.0 | +11.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 67.0 | 94.5 | 161.5 | -27.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (5) | 94.6 | 92.0 | 186.6 | +2.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 89.7 | 76.7 | 166.5 | +13.0 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 90.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 49.6 | 49.3 | 98.8 | +0.3 | 53% | 80% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 48.9 | 48.4 | 97.4 | +0.5 | 56% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 50.3 | 50.2 | 100.5 | +0.1 | 50% | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 49.7 | 49.0 | 98.7 | +0.7 | 50% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.4 | 50.0 | 97.4 | -2.6 | 40% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 47.2 | 51.5 | 98.7 | -4.3 | 35% | 85% |
| vs Similar (1) | 51.0 | 47.0 | 98.0 | +4.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 54.5 | 45.2 | 99.8 | +9.2 | 88% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 90.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.6 | 39.6 | 84.2 | +5.1 | 57% | 23% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.4 | 36.1 | 80.5 | +8.4 | 69% | 12% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 44.9 | 43.6 | 88.4 | +1.3 | 43% | 36% |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.1 | 38.1 | 85.2 | +9.0 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.8 | 37.0 | 83.8 | +9.8 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 34.5 | 40.5 | 75.0 | -6.0 | 50% | 0% |
| vs Similar (5) | 47.4 | 50.6 | 98.0 | -3.2 | 20% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 44.8 | 37.6 | 82.4 | +7.2 | 64% | 18% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvark -1 | 86.2% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +29.9pp | Lost |
| Alvark +1 | 87.6% | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | +29.1pp | Lost |
| Alvark -2 | 84.4% | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | +25.1pp | Lost |
| Alvark -2.5 | 82.1% | 1.45 | 1.61 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +24.3pp | Lost |
| Alvark -1.5 | 84.8% | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +24.3pp | Lost |
| Alvark +1.5 | 87.8% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +23.5pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 90 | 74.3% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +21.7pp | Lost |
| Alvark -5 | 76.3% | 1.74 | 1.79 | 1.69 | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Lost |
| Alvark -4 | 79.3% | 1.69 | 1.79 | 1.59 | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Lost |
| Alvark -4.5 | 77.0% | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.72 | 1.64 | 1.42 | +20.4pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 90.5 | 71.8% | 1.69 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.47 | - | - | +20.3pp | Lost |
| Alvark -3 | 81.7% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | +20.3pp | Lost |
| Alvark -3.5 | 79.9% | 1.61 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.55 | 1.34 | - | +20.0pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 91 | 70.8% | 1.69 | 1.69 | - | - | - | - | +19.8pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 86.5 | 83.6% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +19.6pp | Lost |
| Alvark -6 | 73.2% | 1.70 | 1.81 | 1.59 | - | - | - | +16.0pp | Lost |
| Alvark -5.5 | 74.1% | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.58 | +15.4pp | Lost |
| Alvark -6.5 | 70.9% | 1.74 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.63 | 1.59 | +15.2pp | Lost |
| Alvark win | 86.4% | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.26 | +15.1pp | Lost |
| Alvark (regulation) | 84.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 89.5 | 75.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 88.5 | 78.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Lost |
| Alvark over 87.5 | 81.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Lost |
| Tainan TSG GhostHawks under 90.5 | 75.2% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Tainan TSG GhostHawks under 91.5 | 78.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Tainan TSG GhostHawks under 89.5 | 72.1% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.9 | 22.3 | 52.3% | 44.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 35.0 | 10.6 | 36.8% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.5 | 16.4 | 75.1% | 16.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.8 | 20.1 | 52.3% | 40.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.5 | 12.1 | 36.8% | 36.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.6 | 16.8 | 75.1% | 16.8 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/26 | H | Goyang Sono | 94-99 OT |
| 28/05/26 | H | Fubon Braves | 79-109 |
| 26/05/26 | H | Fubon Braves | 83-91 |
| 23/05/26 | A | Fubon Braves | 98-97 |
| 21/05/26 | A | Fubon Braves | 92-119 |
| 16/05/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 89-93 |
| 10/05/26 | A | Yankey Ark | 102-88 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 95-105 |
| 19/04/26 | H | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 94-104 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Fubon Braves | 94-100 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 106-71 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 100-90 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Saga | 112-88 |
| 24/10/26 | H | SeaHorses Mikawa | 82-91 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 66-69 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Akita | 90-74 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Gunma | 100-86 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Xac Broncos | 113-78 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Osaka | 103-78 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Brave Thunders | 94-82 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Points / game | 94.0 | 94.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 99.0 | 99.0 | - |
| Point differential | -5.0 | -5.0 | - |
| Avg total | 193.0 | 193.0 | - |
| Over 178.75 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 113.0 | 113.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | 78.0 | - |
| Point differential | +35.0 | +35.0 | - |
| Avg total | 191.0 | 191.0 | - |
| Over 178.75 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 113.0 | 78.0 | +35.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 98.0 | 83.0 | +15.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 89.0 | +14.0 | |
| 4 | Abra Weavers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 72.0 | +7.0 |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 99.0 | 94.0 | +5.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 90.0 | 87.0 | +3.0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 88.0 | 87.5 | +0.5 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 99.5 | 100.5 | -1.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 94.0 | 99.0 | -5.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 97.0 | 103.0 | -6.0 | |
| 11 | Macau Hou Chon | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 82.5 | 100.0 | -17.5 |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 113.0 | -35.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 17 | 27 | 31 | 90 | |
| 17 | 23 | 28 | 17 | 85 |
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