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Tal Tech vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 90-73
26-18 23-18 25-15 16-22
Position#3
Record5-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#4
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.9
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - 3rd place· Halliko A.
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tal Tech v Rapla
26 May 2025
TAL 76
RAPL91
21 May 2025
TAL 91
RAPL67
15 May 2025
TAL 90
RAPL73
05 Feb 2025
TAL 85
RAPL81
05 May 2024
TAL 80
RAPL81
29 Apr 2024
TAL 92
RAPL85
25 Apr 2024
TAL 82
RAPL75
25 Oct 2023
TAL 86
RAPL79
01 Oct 2022
TAL 83
RAPL89
16 Apr 2022
TAL 89
RAPL87
07 Nov 2021
TAL 82
RAPL73
24 Feb 2021
TAL 71
RAPL87
16 Dec 2020
TAL 77
RAPL74
31 Oct 2020
TAL 49
RAPL63
03 Feb 2019
TAL 82
RAPL78
13 Jan 2018
TAL 75
RAPL97
19 Nov 2017
TAL 72
RAPL73
10 Feb 2017
TAL 85
RAPL78
09 Oct 2016
TAL 100
RAPL82
12 Feb 2016
TAL 73
RAPL86
06 Nov 2015
TAL 47
RAPL63
02 Oct 2015
TAL 74
RAPL78
28 Mar 2015
TAL 71
RAPL68
30 Dec 2014
TAL 69
RAPL84
26 Feb 2014
TAL 73
RAPL64
26 Oct 2013
TAL 76
RAPL50
10 Apr 2013
TAL 68
RAPL82
09 Mar 2013
TAL 71
RAPL66
28 Dec 2012
TAL 74
RAPL87
05 Oct 2012
TAL 87
RAPL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tal Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tal TechEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTech
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 73
H12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
101avg 73
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 73
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila Coolbet
#7
W
76-63
76
63
+13
68avg 73
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila Coolbet
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
83avg 73
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
56avg 73
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 73
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
54avg 73
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
87-82
87
82
+5
77avg 73
H11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
59-88
59
88
-29
36avg 73
A13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
24-9
24-26
27-26
30-31
26-13
23-21
22-23
18-15
18-20
20-16
23-15
14-21
17-15
25-16
20-11
13-15
29-20
25-12
17-23
19-22
20-23
16-14
14-15
20-22
17-16
19-23
30-19
16-18
20-24
9-15
24-22
17-16
30-18
19-31
21-17
18-20
15-21
15-18
11-29
157.6Avg total
80.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.175.2151.4+0.962%
Season at home (4)84.074.5158.5+9.5100%
Season away (4)68.276.0144.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)80.277.4157.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)74.080.6154.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.586.2159.7-12.727%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.884.2166.0-2.333%
vs Weaker (9)85.868.8154.6+17.0100%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
95avg 75
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 75
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
92avg 75
H16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 75
A19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
100-69
100
69
+31
103avg 75
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 75
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
95-69
95
69
+26
90avg 75
H29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 75
A03/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
88avg 75
H06/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
72avg 75
A09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
18-10
22-21
24-21
20-18
19-24
16-12
21-30
23-14
22-19
22-21
20-12
25-16
20-24
14-18
16-24
23-23
21-16
20-12
36-18
19-13
23-33
21-24
19-22
23-17
25-16
26-19
21-17
19-26
14-19
14-20
17-23
22-29
22-27
24-22
24-23
10-19
18-32
29-22
22-23
165.8Avg total
84.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.282.9167.1+1.438%
Season at home (4)93.576.2169.8+17.275%
Season away (4)75.089.5164.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)84.181.7165.8+2.440%
Last 5 (5)82.489.2171.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.987.4163.2-11.512%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.788.7175.4-2.040%
vs Weaker (12)87.974.3162.2+13.675%
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Tal TechRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tal TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila Coolbet
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila Coolbet
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.0Avg total
39.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.079.6-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.139.081.1+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.878.4-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.278.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.444.080.4-7.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.339.081.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker (9)43.333.977.2+9.489%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H06/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
82.6Avg total
41.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.482.6-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.041.785.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.441.179.5-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.382.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.285.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.445.083.4-6.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.242.984.1-1.750%-
vs Weaker (12)43.137.780.8+5.467%-
This opponent (Tal Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tal Techtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tal Tech: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
47%
31%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.3
50.4%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.4
30.1%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws28.120.5
73.0%
70.0%20.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
47%
31%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.9
51.9%
50.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.6
33.8%
32.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.314.7
65.9%
70.0%14.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tal Tech
LWLWLWWWWW
Rapla
LLLWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#4
+4.2
Net rating
+3.5
107.6
Offensive rating
109.0
103.4
Defensive rating
105.5
48.3%
Effective FG%
51.5%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.1%
3-point %
33.8%
61.1%
Assist %
69.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 109.0Defence103.4 · 105.5Shooting48.3% · 51.5%3-point %30.1% · 33.8%Ball care16.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds32.5% · 30.6%Free throws0.46 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Tal Tech   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tal Tech wins
6
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Tal Tech v Rapla85-81
30/11/24Rapla v Tal Tech93-91
05/05/24Tal Tech v Rapla80-81
02/05/24Rapla v Tal Tech80-74
29/04/24Tal Tech v Rapla92-85
27/04/24Rapla v Tal Tech77-76
25/04/24Tal Tech v Rapla82-75 OT
22/12/23Rapla v Tal Tech80-79
25/10/23Tal Tech v Rapla86-79
18/02/23Rapla v Tal Tech83-70
Tal Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25ATartu Ulikool59-88
11/05/25HTartu Ulikool87-82
08/05/25ATartu Ulikool69-79
05/05/25HTartu Ulikool86-80
02/05/25ATartu Ulikool69-74
21/04/25HKeila Coolbet84-70
17/04/25AKeila Coolbet76-63
14/04/25HKeila Coolbet79-66
15/03/25HKeila KK101-88
12/03/25HValmiera Glass Via92-84
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo79-96
06/05/25HBC Kalev/Cramo92-101
03/05/25ABC Kalev/Cramo64-88
29/04/25HParnu95-69
26/04/25AParnu82-92
23/04/25HParnu100-69
19/04/25AParnu75-82
16/04/25HParnu87-66
15/03/25HBK Ogre76-84
12/03/25ALatvijas Universitate91-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tal Tech
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game76.184.068.2
Allowed / game75.274.576.0
Point differential+0.9+9.5-7.8
Avg total151.4158.5144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game84.293.575.0
Allowed / game82.976.289.5
Point differential+1.4+17.2-14.5
Avg total167.1169.8164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo660100%98.079.0+19.0
2 Tartu Ulikool96367%82.673.2+9.3
3 Tal Tech85362%76.175.2+0.9
4 Parnu52340%75.687.8-12.2
5 Rapla83538%84.282.9+1.4
6 Viimsi41325%72.285.0-12.8
7 Keila Coolbet3030%66.379.7-13.3
8 Keila KK3030%79.7101.0-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tal Tech2623251690
Rapla1818152273
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