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Parnu vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-82
13-19 33-23 24-21 22-19
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game87.3
Parnu 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game72.3
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Parnu v Rapla
26 Apr 2025
PAR92
RAPL82
19 Apr 2025
PAR82
RAPL75
03 Dec 2024
PAR78
RAPL80
23 May 2024
PAR65
RAPL68
17 May 2024
PAR59
RAPL68
17 Jan 2024
PAR66
RAPL61
25 Apr 2023
PAR58
RAPL75
17 Apr 2023
PAR83
RAPL71
26 Nov 2022
PAR66
RAPL81
02 May 2022
PAR97
RAPL81
27 Apr 2022
PAR75
RAPL64
18 Apr 2022
PAR79
RAPL72
04 Dec 2021
PAR78
RAPL83
04 May 2021
PAR67
RAPL60
29 Apr 2021
PAR76
RAPL69
06 Apr 2021
PAR v RAPL
upcoming
10 Jan 2021
PAR78
RAPL58
11 Nov 2020
PAR83
RAPL69
20 Apr 2019
PAR88
RAPL76
14 Apr 2019
PAR82
RAPL57
08 Dec 2018
PAR62
RAPL73
22 May 2018
PAR75
RAPL79
16 May 2018
PAR73
RAPL67
10 Feb 2018
PAR70
RAPL75
18 Oct 2017
PAR73
RAPL78
28 Feb 2017
PAR64
RAPL49
24 Jan 2017
PAR65
RAPL59
06 Dec 2016
PAR65
RAPL71
04 Mar 2016
PAR68
RAPL69
17 Jan 2016
PAR79
RAPL80
31 Oct 2015
PAR65
RAPL86
07 Feb 2015
PAR68
RAPL76
05 Oct 2014
PAR77
RAPL75
09 Feb 2014
PAR74
RAPL47
02 Oct 2013
PAR78
RAPL72
30 Mar 2013
PAR61
RAPL63
31 Oct 2012
PAR64
RAPL70
10 Mar 2012
PAR72
RAPL87
16 Nov 2011
PAR61
RAPL68
12 Feb 2011
PAR74
RAPL88
06 Nov 2010
PAR72
RAPL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
W
100-90
100
90
+10
92avg 68
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
76-113
76
113
-37
65avg 68
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-92
57
92
-35
37avg 68
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 68
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
62avg 68
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 68
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-102
79
102
-23
64avg 68
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 68
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 68
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 68
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
21-26
30-17
29-24
15-24
15-30
17-28
29-31
17-19
11-23
10-23
19-27
17-32
19-24
24-17
23-23
21-27
23-20
15-27
19-29
23-27
11-24
25-29
25-18
17-27
20-25
25-18
17-32
14-23
19-22
21-22
12-20
16-25
24-20
18-14
24-16
23-23
16-21
12-20
18-36
173.0Avg total
77.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.387.3159.7-15.033%
Season at home (1)82.075.0157.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)67.593.5161.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.495.6173.0-18.220%
Last 5 (5)76.092.4168.4-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.989.8165.7-13.914%
vs Similar (2)85.572.5158.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (7)87.180.4167.6+6.771%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 72
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
113-76
113
76
+37
117avg 72
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 72
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
82avg 72
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
71-86
71
86
-15
70avg 72
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
95avg 72
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 72
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
92avg 72
H16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 72
A19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
100-69
100
69
+31
103avg 72
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
21-23
28-15
17-23
24-15
30-15
28-17
31-29
19-28
18-21
21-20
29-14
16-16
19-20
34-12
17-15
19-28
15-15
17-23
20-20
27-18
18-10
22-21
24-21
20-18
19-24
16-12
21-30
23-14
22-19
22-21
20-12
25-16
20-24
14-18
16-24
23-23
21-16
20-12
36-18
163.1Avg total
86.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.372.3159.7+15.067%
Season at home (2)93.567.5161.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)86.776.4163.1+10.360%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.484.9156.3-13.414%
vs Similar (10)86.788.7175.4-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.872.6160.5+15.285%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
ParnuRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
84.7Avg total
36.2Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.743.881.5-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.742.679.2-5.917%-
Last 30 away (18)38.444.683.0-6.222%-
Last 10 (10)36.248.584.7-12.30%-
Last 5 (5)36.647.484.0-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.046.082.0-10.010%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)42.037.979.9+4.143%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
80.1Avg total
41.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.682.3+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.684.4+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.440.579.9-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.780.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.480.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.342.481.7-3.143%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.984.1-1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.537.881.2+5.777%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
47%
31%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.0
50.4%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.2
29.6%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.3
70.8%
70.0%14.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
47%
31%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.5
55.9%
50.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.5
34.9%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.214.6
68.9%
70.0%14.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLLLLLLLW
Rapla
WLWLWLWWWL
#5
League position
#4
-23.6
Net rating
+14.5
100.3
Offensive rating
113.7
123.9
Defensive rating
99.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.6%
3-point %
34.9%
52.9%
Assist %
68.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 113.7Defence123.9 · 99.2Shooting47.9% · 54.7%3-point %29.6% · 34.9%Ball care15.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds23.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Parnu wins
7
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
23/04/25Rapla v Parnu100-69
19/04/25Parnu v Rapla82-75
16/04/25Rapla v Parnu87-66
08/02/25Rapla v Parnu113-76
03/12/24Parnu v Rapla78-80
25/05/24Rapla v Parnu82-66
23/05/24Parnu v Rapla65-68
21/05/24Rapla v Parnu55-65
17/05/24Parnu v Rapla59-68
17/01/24Parnu v Rapla66-61
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25ARapla69-100
19/04/25HRapla82-75
16/04/25ARapla66-87
15/03/25AValmiera Glass Via79-102
11/03/25ABK Liepaja84-98
08/03/25ABC Kalev/Cramo78-103
01/03/25HVEF Riga83-96
26/02/25HBK Ogre57-92
08/02/25ARapla76-113
01/02/25HVentspils100-90
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25HParnu100-69
19/04/25AParnu75-82
16/04/25HParnu87-66
15/03/25HBK Ogre76-84
12/03/25ALatvijas Universitate91-70
08/03/25HVEF Riga71-86
04/03/25AKeila KK86-63
26/02/25HKeila Coolbet87-83
08/02/25HParnu113-76
05/02/25ATal Tech81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.382.067.5
Allowed / game87.375.093.5
Point differential-15.0+7.0-26.0
Avg total159.7157.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.393.575.0
Allowed / game72.367.582.0
Point differential+15.0+26.0-7.0
Avg total159.7161.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%101.079.7+21.3
2 Tal Tech330100%79.766.3+13.3
3 Tartu Ulikool43175%85.072.2+12.8
4 Rapla32167%87.372.3+15.0
5 Parnu31233%72.387.3-15.0
6 Viimsi41325%72.285.0-12.8
7 Keila Coolbet3030%66.379.7-13.3
8 Keila KK3030%79.7101.0-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1333242292
Rapla1923211982
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