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Rapla vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-66
23-14 22-19 22-21 20-12
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Rapla 🏆
Estonia
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2024-25
Meetings · Rapla v Parnu
29 Apr 2025
RAPL95
PAR69
23 Apr 2025
RAPL100
PAR69
16 Apr 2025
RAPL87
PAR66
08 Feb 2025
RAPL113
PAR76
25 May 2024
RAPL82
PAR66
21 May 2024
RAPL55
PAR65
11 Nov 2023
RAPL81
PAR89
28 Apr 2023
RAPL65
PAR78
21 Apr 2023
RAPL72
PAR80
13 Apr 2023
RAPL95
PAR93
24 Jan 2023
RAPL73
PAR76
04 May 2022
RAPL76
PAR86
29 Apr 2022
RAPL80
PAR67
29 Jan 2022
RAPL107
PAR79
01 May 2021
RAPL72
PAR79
16 Mar 2021
RAPL64
PAR72
16 Jan 2021
RAPL88
PAR93
18 Oct 2020
RAPL79
PAR86
16 Apr 2019
RAPL82
PAR80
10 Apr 2019
RAPL60
PAR83
07 Feb 2019
RAPL94
PAR85
19 May 2018
RAPL90
PAR79
14 May 2018
RAPL84
PAR77
10 Apr 2018
RAPL73
PAR80
30 Dec 2017
RAPL74
PAR71
18 Mar 2017
RAPL93
PAR91
26 Nov 2016
RAPL75
PAR62
18 Oct 2016
RAPL85
PAR67
05 Apr 2016
RAPL77
PAR61
08 Dec 2015
RAPL78
PAR75
28 Nov 2015
RAPL83
PAR76
14 Mar 2015
RAPL80
PAR75
29 Nov 2014
RAPL92
PAR68
29 Mar 2014
RAPL66
PAR74
09 Nov 2013
RAPL86
PAR75
16 Feb 2013
RAPL81
PAR76
24 Nov 2012
RAPL54
PAR73
07 Jan 2012
RAPL101
PAR69
13 Dec 2011
RAPL93
PAR74
08 Jan 2011
RAPL75
PAR65
06 Oct 2010
RAPL82
PAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 71
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
88avg 71
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
93avg 71
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 71
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
113-76
113
76
+37
117avg 71
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 71
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
86-63
86
63
+23
82avg 71
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
71-86
71
86
-15
70avg 71
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
95avg 71
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 71
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
24-19
24-16
17-11
30-24
21-22
25-19
16-15
21-18
24-23
28-23
19-28
15-24
21-23
28-15
17-23
24-15
30-15
28-17
31-29
19-28
18-21
21-20
29-14
16-16
19-20
34-12
17-15
19-28
15-15
17-23
20-20
27-18
18-10
22-21
24-21
20-18
19-24
16-12
21-30
168.0Avg total
87.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.880.2168.0+7.660%
Last 5 (5)82.277.2159.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.580.5152.0-9.030%
vs Similar (10)86.788.7175.4-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.072.7160.7+15.390%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
64avg 69
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
97-80
97
80
+17
93avg 69
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
98avg 69
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
100-90
100
90
+10
92avg 69
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
76-113
76
113
-37
65avg 69
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-92
57
92
-35
37avg 69
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 69
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
62avg 69
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 69
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-102
79
102
-23
64avg 69
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-25
22-16
17-13
14-20
26-16
26-22
31-22
27-6
29-27
16-25
19-24
20-23
21-26
30-17
29-24
15-24
15-30
17-28
29-31
17-19
11-23
10-23
19-27
17-32
19-24
24-17
23-23
21-27
23-20
15-27
19-29
23-27
11-24
25-29
25-18
17-27
20-25
25-18
17-32
175.2Avg total
82.2Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.293.0175.2-10.840%
Last 5 (5)76.298.2174.4-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)76.488.6165.0-12.119%
vs Similar (2)85.572.5158.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (7)87.180.4167.6+6.771%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
RaplaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
81.6Avg total
41.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.780.4+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.584.2+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)37.738.976.7-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.981.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.838.476.2-0.650%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.984.1-1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.137.981.0+5.270%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
84.9Avg total
38.4Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.580.8-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.842.177.9-6.414%-
Last 30 away (16)38.744.683.3-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.446.584.9-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.849.685.4-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.545.581.0-10.010%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)42.037.979.9+4.143%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
47%
31%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.325.3
59.8%
50.8%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.8
31.5%
32.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.916.2
67.8%
70.0%16.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
47%
31%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.8
50.6%
50.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
32.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.6
76.1%
70.0%15.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LWLWWWLLWW
Parnu
LLLLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#5
+11.1
Net rating
-13.1
113.6
Offensive rating
106.1
102.5
Defensive rating
119.2
55.6%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
33.3%
69.8%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 106.1Defence102.5 · 119.2Shooting55.6% · 50.4%3-point %31.5% · 33.3%Ball care16.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 24.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Rapla   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rapla wins
4
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Rapla v Parnu113-76
03/12/24Parnu v Rapla78-80
25/05/24Rapla v Parnu82-66
23/05/24Parnu v Rapla65-68
21/05/24Rapla v Parnu55-65
17/05/24Parnu v Rapla59-68
17/01/24Parnu v Rapla66-61
11/11/23Rapla v Parnu81-89 OT
28/04/23Rapla v Parnu65-78
25/04/23Parnu v Rapla58-75
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HBK Ogre76-84
12/03/25ALatvijas Universitate91-70
08/03/25HVEF Riga71-86
04/03/25AKeila KK86-63
26/02/25HKeila Coolbet87-83
08/02/25HParnu113-76
05/02/25ATal Tech81-85
31/01/25HBK Liepaja99-111 OT
28/01/25HTartu Ulikool92-80
21/01/25HViimsi82-64
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AValmiera Glass Via79-102
11/03/25ABK Liepaja84-98
08/03/25ABC Kalev/Cramo78-103
01/03/25HVEF Riga83-96
26/02/25HBK Ogre57-92
08/02/25ARapla76-113
01/02/25HVentspils100-90
25/01/25HKeila KK91-82
22/01/25ALatvijas Universitate97-80
17/01/25HTal Tech77-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tal Tech110100%79.066.0+13.0
2 Tartu Ulikool110100%81.076.0+5.0
3 Viimsi1010%76.081.0-5.0
4 Keila Coolbet1010%66.079.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla2322222087
Parnu1419211266
← all games of the day
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