Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 83-85

24-14 12-17 22-29 25-25

Position#4

Record21-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game83.4

Tallinna Kalev

Parnu 🏆

Position#6

Record13-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game77.8

Korvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v Parnu

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Parnu winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna Kalev Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rapla

90-88 OT

H09/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

87-67

+20

H12/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

83-66

+17

A15/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

86-87

-1

A19/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

73-86

-13

H24/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

108-97

108

+11

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

86-83

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

106-85

106

+21

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

75-70

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

75-68

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

25-21

23-19

14-16

18-24

19-15

26-18

21-27

21-7

25-17

22-12

17-16

19-21

18-13

19-28

23-25

26-21

22-28

14-16

19-18

18-24

33-22

24-20

28-28

23-27

25-28

13-21

29-18

19-16

22-21

25-20

29-21

30-23

18-19

23-16

17-17

17-18

19-23

13-17

23-17

20-11

166.6Avg total

86.9Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	88.0	83.4	171.5	+4.6	68%
Season at home (17)	87.0	84.4	171.4	+2.6	71%
Season away (14)	89.3	82.3	171.6	+7.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	79.7	166.6	+7.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	80.6	170.6	+9.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	84.2	88.9	173.1	-4.7	40%
vs Similar (4)	83.0	79.2	162.2	+3.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	89.2	79.3	168.5	+9.9	88%

This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Parnu

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

89-78

+11

H08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

67-87

-20

A12/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

73-68

H15/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

87-86

H19/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

61-70

-9

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

68-79

-11

H29/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

69-103

103

-34

A02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

61-77

-16

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

70-75

-5

A14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

68-75

-7

H17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

25-10

22-23

19-26

23-19

15-19

18-26

27-21

7-21

16-14

19-15

22-26

16-13

13-18

28-19

25-23

21-26

19-14

21-15

16-23

5-18

26-22

13-21

12-18

17-18

16-23

20-30

22-23

11-27

17-10

13-33

16-21

15-13

19-18

16-23

17-17

18-17

23-19

17-13

17-23

11-20

151.1Avg total

71.3Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	74.9	77.8	152.7	-2.9	42%
Season at home (17)	74.5	74.5	148.9	+0.0	47%
Season away (14)	75.4	81.9	157.4	-6.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	71.3	79.8	151.1	-8.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	81.8	149.0	-14.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	71.4	82.1	153.5	-10.7	15%
vs Similar (4)	81.2	74.8	156.0	+6.5	50%
vs Weaker (6)	76.5	63.3	139.8	+13.2	83%

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tallinna KalevParnu

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	20.4	41.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.4	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.4	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	18.2	37.9	+1.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	18.5	42.5	+5.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	16.3	37.5	+4.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.4	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.2	16.3	35.5	+2.9	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.7	23.2	39.9	-6.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	24.0	39.8	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.5	20.9	39.5	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.0	16.8	32.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	14.3	33.0	+4.3	83%	-

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rapla

48-40

H09/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

45-33

+12

H12/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Audentese

47-29

+18

A15/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

37-41

-4

A19/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

36-44

-8

H24/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

57-42

+15

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

38-49

-11

H02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

47-41

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

41-35

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

32-40

-8

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

82.2Avg total

42.8Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	40.4	83.6	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.9	41.8	85.8	+2.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	39.4	82.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.4	42.8	84.2	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.2	41.2	84.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.4	38.6	83.1	+5.8	69%	-

This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

47-33

+14

H08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

33-45

-12

A12/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

35-29

H15/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

41-37

H19/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

40-29

+11

H26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

39-43

-4

H29/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

36-53

-17

A02/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

30-43

-13

A05/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

35-41

-6

A14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

40-32

H17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

76.1Avg total

37.6Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	37.3	75.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.2	34.6	73.8	+4.6	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.4	41.4	77.8	-5.0	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.5	76.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	42.4	78.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.2	39.8	77.0	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.8	30.7	70.5	+9.2	67%	-

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.2	45.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.7	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.5	14.8	31.2	+1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.8	21.5	44.2	+1.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.1	21.6	38.6	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.2	15.0	33.2	+3.2	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	22.1	44.3	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.8	22.5	45.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.2	20.7	37.8	-3.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.4	19.2	33.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	19.0	33.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.1	20.8	38.0	-3.7	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	39.6	81.4	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.6	43.8	87.4	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.5	82.6	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	39.2	86.2	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.3	44.7	86.0	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.2	36.0	73.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.8	40.7	85.4	+4.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	39.6	74.8	-4.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	35.5	39.3	74.8	-3.8	22%	-
Last 30 away (12)	34.8	40.1	74.9	-5.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	41.3	75.0	-7.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	39.4	70.6	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.2	42.4	76.6	-8.1	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.2	36.2	74.5	+2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.7	32.7	69.3	+4.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tallinna Kalev wins

Parnu wins

Date	Game	Score
17/04/16	Parnu v Tallinna Kalev	68-75
14/04/16	Tallinna Kalev v Parnu	75-70
19/03/16	Parnu v Tallinna Kalev	87-86
12/03/16	Tallinna Kalev v Parnu	87-67
23/01/16	Tallinna Kalev v Parnu	91-83
15/12/15	Tallinna Kalev v Parnu	72-66
10/11/15	Parnu v Tallinna Kalev	74-81
11/10/15	Parnu v Tallinna Kalev	88-93
01/04/15	Tallinna Kalev v Parnu	81-94
17/01/15	Tallinna Kalev v Parnu	71-79

Tallinna Kalevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	A	Parnu	75-68
14/04/16	H	Parnu	75-70
05/04/16	A	Valga	106-85
02/04/16	H	Tal Tech	86-83
26/03/16	H	Valga	108-97
24/03/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	73-86
19/03/16	A	Parnu	86-87
15/03/16	A	Audentese	83-66
12/03/16	H	Parnu	87-67
09/03/16	H	Rapla	90-88 OT

Parnulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	68-75
14/04/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	70-75
05/04/16	A	Rapla	61-77
02/04/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	69-103
29/03/16	H	Tal Tech	68-79
26/03/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	61-70
19/03/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	87-86
15/03/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	73-68
12/03/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	67-87
08/03/16	H	Valga	89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	68%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	WWLWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	17	14
Win %	68%	71%	64%
Points / game	88.0	87.0	89.3
Allowed / game	83.4	84.4	82.3
Point differential	+4.6	+2.6	+7.0
Avg total	171.5	171.4	171.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	29%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	100% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Parnu

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	42%
Home	WWLLL	47%
Away	WLLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	17	14
Win %	42%	47%	36%
Points / game	74.9	74.5	75.4
Allowed / game	77.8	74.5	81.9
Point differential	-2.9	+0.0	-6.5
Avg total	152.7	148.9	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	50% (6)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	BC Kalev/Cramo	20	20	0	100%	88.7	69.8	+18.9
2	Tartu Ulikool	27	20	7	74%	83.7	73.0	+10.7
3	Tallinna Kalev	31	21	10	68%	88.0	83.4	+4.6
4	Rapla	31	20	11	65%	78.8	75.5	+3.3
5	Rakvere Tarvas	31	16	15	52%	87.3	79.7	+7.6
6	Parnu	31	13	18	42%	74.9	77.8	-2.9
7	Tal Tech	31	11	20	35%	75.5	82.0	-6.5
8	Valga	31	10	21	32%	83.9	87.9	-4.0
9	Audentese	29	0	29	0%	67.3	92.7	-25.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tallinna Kalev	24	12	22	25	83
Parnu	14	17	29	25	85

← all games of the day

Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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