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Valga vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-106
21-22 20-25 21-29 23-30
Position#8
Record9-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#4
Record18-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game84.4
Meetings · Valga v Tallinna Kalev
09 Mar 2019
VALG78
TALL90
01 Dec 2017
VALG73
TALL60
20 Oct 2017
VALG99
TALL77
10 Jan 2017
VALG87
TALL103
04 Oct 2016
VALG77
TALL74
05 Apr 2016
VALG85
TALL106
12 Jan 2016
VALG100
TALL108
10 Mar 2015
VALG88
TALL61
25 Oct 2014
VALG73
TALL66
14 Oct 2014
VALG86
TALL75
21 Feb 2014
VALG54
TALL71
22 Oct 2013
VALG81
TALL86
15 Mar 2013
VALG66
TALL58
13 Nov 2012
VALG68
TALL58
23 Mar 2012
VALG76
TALL82
01 Nov 2011
VALG76
TALL88
23 Feb 2011
VALG79
TALL89
07 Nov 2010
VALG61
TALL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H02/03
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A05/03
LBL
Parnu
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A16/03
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A23/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A26/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#10
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
A30/03
LBL
BK Liepaja
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H02/04
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
16-26
31-23
24-28
23-21
14-23
23-20
26-34
10-25
23-22
26-19
19-23
26-20
25-14
21-23
18-27
12-21
22-8
27-28
21-22
13-17
11-26
20-18
21-22
23-25
25-26
26-23
13-21
22-33
20-24
28-28
27-23
15-15
13-19
25-13
15-21
30-7
21-24
13-17
20-19
171.4Avg total
83.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.187.7171.8-3.635%
Season at home (13)82.486.4168.8-4.038%
Season away (13)85.889.0174.8-3.231%
Last 10 (10)83.987.5171.4-3.640%
Last 5 (5)82.885.4168.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.889.5170.3-8.728%
vs Similar (8)78.883.9162.6-5.138%
vs Weaker (4)91.077.8168.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
H19/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A24/02
Baltic League
Audentese
#9
W
107-61
107
61
+46
H06/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
H09/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H12/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A15/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A19/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H24/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#8
W
108-97
108
97
+11
H26/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H02/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
14-29
9-20
30-16
22-23
8-22
21-24
17-18
21-13
31-13
28-17
27-18
25-21
23-19
14-16
18-24
19-15
26-18
21-27
21-7
25-17
22-12
17-16
19-21
18-13
19-28
23-25
26-21
22-28
14-16
19-18
18-24
33-22
24-20
28-28
23-27
25-28
13-21
29-18
19-16
171.7Avg total
89.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.384.4172.7+3.964%
Season at home (16)87.885.2173.0+2.569%
Season away (12)89.183.2172.3+5.858%
Last 10 (10)89.282.5171.7+6.770%
Last 5 (5)87.283.8171.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.190.0173.1-6.936%
vs Similar (5)78.680.2158.8-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.580.3170.8+10.286%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
ValgaTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barons Kvartals
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H02/03
LBL
Jurmala
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/03
LBL
Parnu
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A08/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A16/03
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A18/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A23/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A26/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A30/03
LBL
BK Liepaja
#4
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H02/04
LBL
79.9Avg total
38.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.579.8-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.141.880.9-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.278.6-3.821%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.779.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.843.582.3-4.717%-
vs Similar (8)35.841.076.8-5.238%-
vs Weaker (4)41.233.574.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rakvere Tarvas
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H19/02
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A24/02
Baltic League
Audentese
#9
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H06/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Audentese
#9
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A15/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valga
#8
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H26/03
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H02/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
84.2Avg total
44.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.584.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.582.4+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)44.043.987.9+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.284.2+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.084.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.744.084.7-3.336%-
vs Similar (5)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.839.585.3+6.364%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valga wins
6
Tallinna Kalev wins
DateGameScore
26/03/16Tallinna Kalev v Valga108-97
12/01/16Valga v Tallinna Kalev100-108
07/11/15Tallinna Kalev v Valga104-96
24/03/15Tallinna Kalev v Valga73-64
10/03/15Valga v Tallinna Kalev88-61
27/02/15Tallinna Kalev v Valga85-79
03/12/14Tallinna Kalev v Valga66-81
25/10/14Valga v Tallinna Kalev73-66
14/10/14Valga v Tallinna Kalev86-75
08/04/14Tallinna Kalev v Valga86-64
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/16HBK Liepaja84-67
30/03/16ABK Ogre81-74 OT
26/03/16ATallinna Kalev97-108
23/03/16ARakvere Tarvas87-95
18/03/16ARapla65-83
16/03/16ALatvijas Universitate82-79
11/03/16HRakvere Tarvas90-84
08/03/16AParnu78-89
05/03/16AJurmala86-98
02/03/16HBarons Kvartals89-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/16HTal Tech86-83
26/03/16HValga108-97
24/03/16HBC Kalev/Cramo73-86
19/03/16AParnu86-87
15/03/16AAudentese83-66
12/03/16HParnu87-67
09/03/16HRapla90-88 OT
06/03/16HAudentese107-61
24/02/16AValmiera/ORDO68-87
19/02/16HRakvere Tarvas104-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeLLWWW38%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%38%31%
Points / game84.182.485.8
Allowed / game87.786.489.0
Point differential-3.6-4.0-3.2
Avg total171.8168.8174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Tallinna Kalev
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %64%69%58%
Points / game88.387.889.1
Allowed / game84.485.283.2
Point differential+3.9+2.5+5.8
Avg total172.7173.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%31%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo18180100%88.668.9+19.7
2 Tartu Ulikool2417771%81.973.2+8.8
3 Tallinna Kalev28181064%88.384.4+3.9
4 Rapla29181162%78.875.6+3.2
5 Rakvere Tarvas28151354%87.479.5+7.9
6 Parnu29131645%75.378.0-2.7
7 Tal Tech29111838%75.980.7-4.8
8 Valga2691735%84.187.7-3.6
9 Audentese270270%66.891.9-25.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2120212385
Tallinna Kalev22252930106
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