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Tallinna Kalev vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-82
14-17 14-26 22-16 25-23
Position#16
Record4-23
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Parnu 🏆
Position#8
Record14-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v Parnu
17 Mar 2024
TALL75
PAR82
21 Dec 2022
TALL62
PAR97
08 Mar 2022
TALL57
PAR84
22 Apr 2021
TALL68
PAR78
27 Feb 2021
TALL v PAR
upcoming
31 Jan 2021
TALL81
PAR92
02 Dec 2020
TALL71
PAR74
24 Mar 2019
TALL85
PAR91
06 Apr 2018
TALL68
PAR75
16 Dec 2017
TALL76
PAR80
13 Jan 2017
TALL69
PAR75
08 Oct 2016
TALL80
PAR88
19 Apr 2016
TALL83
PAR85
14 Apr 2016
TALL75
PAR70
12 Mar 2016
TALL87
PAR67
23 Jan 2016
TALL91
PAR83
15 Dec 2015
TALL72
PAR66
01 Apr 2015
TALL81
PAR94
17 Jan 2015
TALL71
PAR79
05 Apr 2014
TALL70
PAR69
16 Oct 2013
TALL64
PAR55
01 Mar 2013
TALL78
PAR75
18 Jan 2013
TALL91
PAR92
11 Dec 2011
TALL75
PAR74
14 Oct 2011
TALL91
PAR67
20 Mar 2011
TALL102
PAR65
21 Nov 2010
TALL103
PAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
61avg 57
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
38avg 57
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 57
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 57
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
74-105
74
105
-31
61avg 57
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
88-100
88
100
-12
77avg 57
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
62-96
62
96
-34
47avg 57
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
64avg 57
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
89avg 57
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
60-87
60
87
-27
43avg 57
A13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
20-24
14-19
12-24
12-33
17-19
17-19
20-21
19-15
22-14
23-19
31-27
23-18
17-25
12-23
19-21
20-32
17-22
18-22
19-29
27-26
16-21
18-26
27-27
12-25
13-24
25-18
12-29
20-23
23-25
15-17
22-29
20-21
27-13
17-13
21-30
13-26
10-27
15-14
22-20
164.7Avg total
74.5Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.989.6159.5-19.715%
Season at home (13)73.587.3160.8-13.815%
Season away (14)66.691.7158.3-25.114%
Last 10 (10)74.590.2164.7-15.720%
Last 5 (5)75.090.8165.8-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.391.0159.3-22.612%
vs Similar (4)71.578.5150.0-7.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 70
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 70
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 70
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
98avg 70
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 70
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 70
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 70
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 70
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 70
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
25-21
17-25
26-18
26-35
25-16
27-16
15-21
18-24
22-23
14-11
23-20
23-16
26-20
24-21
19-13
22-18
17-11
23-19
31-15
20-21
25-15
23-22
15-21
10-16
16-19
17-16
26-13
18-19
8-10
7-15
23-17
21-20
25-26
19-15
19-21
22-19
11-16
18-25
22-22
155.0Avg total
80.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.476.4153.8+1.150%
Season at home (15)77.974.1151.9+3.860%
Season away (13)76.979.0155.9-2.138%
Last 10 (10)80.774.3155.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)73.073.6146.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.882.1154.8-9.317%
vs Similar (9)76.077.0153.0-1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.267.3149.6+14.978%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
Tallinna KalevParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
23-53
23
53
-30
A13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
82.1Avg total
36.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.944.578.4-10.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.543.980.4-7.421%-
Last 30 away (16)31.645.176.6-13.512%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.582.1-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.246.282.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)33.845.479.2-11.512%-
vs Similar (4)34.039.073.0-5.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
77.6Avg total
39.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.775.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.436.573.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.077.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.777.6+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.271.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.141.177.2-5.033%-
vs Similar (9)37.436.674.0+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.334.274.6+6.167%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.720.2
46.2%
50.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.1
31.8%
32.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
70.5%11.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.6
57.8%
50.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.2
29.9%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
70.5%12.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LWLLLLLWLL
Parnu
LWLWWWWLWW
#16
League position
#8
-20.9
Net rating
+9.4
94.1
Offensive rating
107.0
115.0
Defensive rating
97.5
46.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.8%
3-point %
29.9%
57.1%
Assist %
62.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 107.0Defence115.0 · 97.5Shooting46.7% · 52.3%3-point %31.8% · 29.9%Ball care19.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 25.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tallinna Kalev wins
9
Parnu wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24ALatvijas Universitate60-87
09/03/24HBK Liepaja85-77
06/03/24HVentspils80-94
01/03/24AValmiera Glass Via62-96
11/02/24HBK Ogre88-100
07/02/24ATal Tech74-105
02/02/24ATartu Ulikool71-87
28/01/24AViimsi95-75
21/01/24HVEF Riga66-92
10/01/24HRigas Zelli64-89
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HBK Ogre73-82
07/03/24HTartu Ulikool84-82
05/03/24AValmiera Glass Via56-61
02/03/24HRigas Zelli69-64
10/02/24HBK Liepaja83-79
07/02/24HLatvijas Universitate93-63
03/02/24HTal Tech92-70
30/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-78
26/01/24AKeila KK93-88
21/01/24AViimsi87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%15%14%
Points / game69.973.566.6
Allowed / game89.687.391.7
Point differential-19.7-13.8-25.1
Avg total159.5160.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game77.477.976.9
Allowed / game76.474.179.0
Point differential+1.1+3.8-2.1
Avg total153.8151.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2726196%87.270.0+17.2
2 Prometey2723485%88.267.3+20.9
3 VEF Riga2822679%86.071.8+14.2
4 Ventspils2920969%92.384.9+7.4
5 Tartu Ulikool28181064%75.468.6+6.8
6 Rigas Zelli29171259%79.073.6+5.4
7 BK Ogre29171259%80.477.0+3.4
8 Parnu28141450%77.476.4+1.1
9 Tal Tech28141450%79.179.7-0.6
10 Rapla28121643%75.077.0-2.0
11 BK Liepaja29111838%78.281.6-3.3
12 Keila KK2891932%79.086.8-7.8
13 Valmiera Glass Via2872125%74.483.8-9.4
14 Viimsi2862221%68.585.7-17.2
15 Latvijas Universitate2952417%68.183.9-15.8
16 Tallinna Kalev2742315%69.989.6-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev1414222575
Parnu1726162382
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