PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tallinna Kalev vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-89
18-22 20-24 14-19 12-24
Position#16
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#6
Record12-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game71.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 54
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
66-93
66
93
-27
48avg 54
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
75-83
75
83
-8
61avg 54
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-101
73
101
-28
61avg 54
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 54
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
91-101
91
101
-10
89avg 54
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-94
64
94
-30
43avg 54
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
62-107
62
107
-45
47avg 54
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
63-104
63
104
-41
43avg 54
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 54
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
15-20
20-18
12-20
18-25
10-21
23-30
15-17
20-22
20-17
16-14
19-30
21-25
15-22
20-29
17-25
15-20
18-24
23-13
20-25
18-17
18-32
33-30
22-22
18-25
12-16
13-29
21-24
19-30
12-26
14-23
17-28
12-31
17-22
21-30
13-21
8-25
12-31
21-24
11-30
164.7Avg total
68.5Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)67.289.2156.5-22.012%
Season at home (8)71.685.4157.0-13.812%
Season away (9)63.392.7156.0-29.311%
Last 10 (10)68.596.2164.7-27.70%
Last 5 (5)66.4103.2169.6-36.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.289.8158.0-21.613%
vs Similar (5)78.480.8159.2-2.420%
vs Weaker (2)91.085.0176.0+6.050%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-78
87
78
+9
72avg 73
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 73
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 73
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
53avg 73
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 73
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
68avg 73
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 73
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
93-86
93
86
+7
84avg 73
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 73
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H06/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
22-20
19-25
21-22
28-20
21-17
17-20
8-22
19-29
20-16
25-15
21-21
17-20
15-14
13-24
20-15
27-18
28-12
14-16
20-22
18-17
27-18
14-24
14-14
18-17
18-22
18-16
17-20
24-27
29-18
11-26
29-15
20-22
21-14
24-16
22-23
19-20
24-20
18-26
18-19
159.5Avg total
81.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.371.6151.9+8.767%
Season at home (9)83.169.4152.6+13.789%
Season away (9)77.473.8151.2+3.744%
Last 10 (10)81.178.4159.5+2.750%
Last 5 (5)82.281.0163.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.081.5158.5-4.525%
vs Similar (3)77.374.7152.0+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.068.7150.7+13.375%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -8.2-8.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
Tallinna KalevRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
79.4Avg total
31.4Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.542.677.1-8.227%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.041.877.8-5.833%-
Last 30 away (18)33.443.276.6-9.722%-
Last 10 (10)31.448.079.4-16.610%-
Last 5 (5)29.251.080.2-21.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.343.776.0-11.417%-
vs Similar (5)40.436.476.8+4.060%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H06/01
Latvian Cup
81.2Avg total
44.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)40.434.174.5+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.734.473.1+4.350%-
Last 30 away (9)42.233.876.0+8.478%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.281.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.240.080.2+0.225%-
vs Similar (3)37.335.072.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.231.973.1+9.275%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.216.9
41.0%
50.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.4
27.2%
32.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
70.5%14.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.7
50.0%
50.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.7
33.7%
32.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.412.6
64.9%
70.5%12.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLLLLLL
Rigas Zelli
LWWLLWLWLW
#16
League position
#6
-36.1
Net rating
+6.9
85.9
Offensive rating
105.2
122.0
Defensive rating
98.3
41.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.2%
3-point %
33.7%
50.2%
Assist %
62.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 105.2Defence122.0 · 98.3Shooting41.0% · 50.2%3-point %27.2% · 33.7%Ball care20.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
1
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Rigas Zelli v Tallinna Kalev78-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HPrometey52-110
23/12/23AParnu63-104
16/12/23APrometey62-107
10/12/23AVEF Riga64-94
03/12/23HKeila KK91-101
28/11/23HRapla76-82
25/11/23ABK Ogre73-101
19/11/23HLatvijas Universitate75-83
10/11/23AVentspils66-93
09/11/23ABK Liepaja63-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HValmiera Glass Via79-85
29/12/23ABK Ogre87-75
27/12/23HVEF Riga93-86
23/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-75
12/12/23ABK Liepaja81-84 OT
05/12/23ARapla89-68
02/12/23ABC Kalev/Cramo65-73
25/11/23HParnu85-81
22/11/23AViimsi74-79
18/11/23HValmiera Glass Via87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%12%11%
Points / game67.271.663.3
Allowed / game89.285.492.7
Point differential-22.0-13.8-29.3
Avg total156.5157.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%89%44%
Points / game80.383.177.4
Allowed / game71.669.473.8
Point differential+8.7+13.7+3.7
Avg total151.9152.6151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1716194%87.168.7+18.4
2 Prometey1715288%91.668.2+23.5
3 VEF Riga1813572%86.171.1+14.9
4 Ventspils1611569%91.684.6+6.9
5 Rigas Zelli1812667%80.371.6+8.7
6 Tartu Ulikool1711665%77.572.4+5.1
7 BK Ogre169756%81.178.0+3.1
8 Tal Tech179853%78.477.9+0.5
9 BK Liepaja168850%79.980.7-0.8
10 Rapla1871139%75.177.5-2.4
11 Keila KK1871139%79.384.3-5.1
12 Parnu1661038%76.177.9-1.8
13 Viimsi1851328%69.285.2-16.0
14 Valmiera Glass Via1741324%74.885.8-11.1
15 Latvijas Universitate2031715%67.886.2-18.4
16 Tallinna Kalev1721512%67.289.2-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev1820141264
Rigas Zelli2224192489
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.