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Rapla vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-89
18-27 12-28 16-14 22-20
Position#10
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#6
Record9-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Rigas Zelli
01 Nov 2024
RAPL66
RZE96
05 Dec 2023
RAPL68
RZE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 66
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 66
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
92avg 66
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 66
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 66
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 66
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 66
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
77avg 66
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 66
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 66
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-28
18-22
25-21
15-19
20-16
22-18
23-17
6-12
26-13
16-27
23-12
23-15
32-16
15-28
21-21
11-21
16-16
18-19
13-15
20-21
21-21
22-19
12-16
10-16
19-19
14-24
21-17
24-28
16-26
24-15
16-19
17-13
15-22
13-22
17-16
26-25
20-15
24-18
13-23
25-20
153.5Avg total
74.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.878.2153.0-3.531%
Season at home (5)72.477.2149.6-4.820%
Season away (8)76.278.9155.1-2.638%
Last 10 (10)74.878.7153.5-3.930%
Last 5 (5)75.482.0157.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.782.0155.7-8.320%
vs Similar (10)74.779.3154.0-4.620%
vs Weaker (10)83.869.9153.7+13.980%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
87-62
87
62
+25
78avg 72
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
78-50
78
50
+28
71avg 72
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 72
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
81-51
81
51
+30
85avg 72
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 72
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 72
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-78
87
78
+9
72avg 72
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 72
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 72
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
53avg 72
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
19-22
20-14
31-10
16-12
15-6
24-12
23-20
23-28
18-14
25-23
23-21
14-10
21-7
18-16
28-18
18-16
22-26
20-21
19-29
14-12
32-16
21-16
21-15
25-11
22-20
19-25
21-22
28-20
21-17
17-20
8-22
19-29
20-16
25-15
21-21
17-20
15-14
13-24
20-15
152.4Avg total
81.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.869.3148.1+9.569%
Season at home (7)83.466.3149.7+17.1100%
Season away (6)73.372.8146.2+0.533%
Last 10 (10)81.371.1152.4+10.270%
Last 5 (5)79.874.0153.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.082.5154.5-10.50%
vs Similar (2)72.574.5147.0-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.765.2146.9+16.489%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
RaplaRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
78.3Avg total
37.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.076.8-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.641.176.7-5.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.976.9-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.478.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.541.473.9-8.910%-
vs Similar (10)36.341.477.7-5.130%-
vs Weaker (10)41.637.278.8+4.480%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
35-17
35
17
+18
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
72.8Avg total
39.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)38.032.570.5+5.554%-
Last 30 at home (7)36.431.467.9+5.043%-
Last 30 away (6)39.833.873.7+6.067%-
Last 10 (10)39.633.272.8+6.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.077.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.038.074.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (2)35.534.570.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.030.969.9+8.167%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.4
49.8%
50.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.6
30.1%
32.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.911.0
65.1%
70.5%11.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
50.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.5
32.3%
32.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.113.3
66.2%
70.5%13.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WLLLLLLWWL
Rigas Zelli
LWLWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#6
-6.4
Net rating
+13.4
98.2
Offensive rating
103.7
104.6
Defensive rating
90.3
48.2%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
21.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.1%
3-point %
32.3%
62.9%
Assist %
65.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 103.7Defence104.6 · 90.3Shooting48.2% · 50.2%3-point %30.1% · 32.3%Ball care21.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Rapla   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rapla wins
0
Rigas Zelli wins
No previous meetings.
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23ATallinna Kalev82-76
17/11/23HVEF Riga71-85
11/11/23HParnu81-89 OT
03/11/23AVentspils78-88
02/11/23ABK Liepaja65-72
28/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-71
25/10/23ATal Tech79-86
22/10/23AViimsi88-67
17/10/23HLatvijas Universitate71-63
14/10/23APrometey66-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ABC Kalev/Cramo65-73
25/11/23HParnu85-81
22/11/23AViimsi74-79
18/11/23HValmiera Glass Via87-78
15/11/23ALatvijas Universitate88-59
10/11/23APrometey79-92
04/11/23HTal Tech81-51
29/10/23HVentspils89-86
21/10/23HTallinna Kalev78-50
14/10/23HLatvijas Universitate87-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%20%38%
Points / game74.872.476.2
Allowed / game78.277.278.9
Point differential-3.5-4.8-2.6
Avg total153.0149.6155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %23%20%25%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%100%33%
Points / game78.883.473.3
Allowed / game69.366.372.8
Point differential+9.5+17.1+0.5
Avg total148.1149.7146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1110191%88.468.9+19.5
2 Prometey109190%90.269.3+20.9
3 VEF Riga139469%84.670.4+14.2
4 Rigas Zelli139469%78.869.3+9.5
5 Ventspils128467%91.184.6+6.5
6 Tal Tech128467%81.877.8+4.0
7 BK Ogre138562%80.977.3+3.6
8 Tartu Ulikool127558%77.572.2+5.2
9 BK Liepaja126650%81.881.8+0.0
10 Keila KK136746%81.182.8-1.8
11 Parnu115645%74.076.0-2.0
12 Rapla134931%74.878.2-3.5
13 Viimsi1441029%67.485.9-18.4
14 Latvijas Universitate1531220%69.285.2-16.0
15 Valmiera Glass Via1321115%74.888.6-13.8
16 Tallinna Kalev1321115%69.484.8-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla1812162268
Rigas Zelli2728142089
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