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Rigas Zelli vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-81
19-29 20-16 25-15 21-21
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Arena Riga
Other2023
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Parnu
02 Dec 2026
RZE v PAR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
RZE83
PAR75
09 Nov 2024
RZE89
PAR76
25 Nov 2023
RZE85
PAR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
81avg 73
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
56-63
56
63
-7
41avg 73
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
87-62
87
62
+25
78avg 73
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
78-50
78
50
+28
71avg 73
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 73
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
81-51
81
51
+30
85avg 73
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 73
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 73
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-78
87
78
+9
72avg 73
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 73
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-14
24-15
12-21
11-12
19-15
16-20
10-16
17-16
19-22
20-14
31-10
16-12
15-6
24-12
23-20
23-28
18-14
25-23
23-21
14-10
21-7
18-16
28-18
18-16
22-26
20-21
19-29
14-12
32-16
21-16
21-15
25-11
22-20
19-25
21-22
28-20
21-17
17-20
8-22
148.8Avg total
79.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.567.9147.4+11.573%
Season at home (6)83.263.8147.0+19.3100%
Season away (5)75.072.8147.8+2.240%
Last 10 (10)79.769.1148.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)81.871.8153.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.092.0171.0-13.00%
vs Similar (2)72.574.5147.0-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.263.2144.5+18.088%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
80avg 66
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
L
62-69
62
69
-7
56avg 66
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 66
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 66
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 66
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
79avg 66
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 66
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 66
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 66
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
35avg 66
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
21-20
22-9
18-22
19-13
16-13
14-19
13-24
15-11
20-21
19-26
13-19
13-17
16-11
15-33
20-19
16-15
8-19
26-20
18-16
24-15
19-16
21-12
13-13
22-24
18-13
20-15
19-11
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
16-17
8-20
8-20
17-23
145.0Avg total
70.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.974.6147.4-1.756%
Season at home (5)69.875.8145.6-6.040%
Season away (4)76.873.0149.8+3.875%
Last 10 (10)70.874.2145.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)72.876.0148.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.682.4147.0-17.80%
vs Similar (19)77.777.6155.4+0.153%
vs Weaker (6)80.375.0155.3+5.350%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
Rigas ZelliParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
35-17
35
17
+18
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
71.2Avg total
39.7Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)38.531.369.7+7.264%-
Last 30 at home (6)36.029.265.2+6.850%-
Last 30 away (5)41.433.875.2+7.680%-
Last 10 (10)39.731.571.2+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.431.074.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.042.082.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (2)35.534.570.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.029.168.1+9.975%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
69.9Avg total
34.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.174.6+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.439.775.1-4.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.334.974.2+4.469%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.069.9-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.075.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.637.868.4-7.240%-
vs Similar (19)38.837.576.3+1.453%-
vs Weaker (6)39.035.574.5+3.583%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
50.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
32.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
70.5%12.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.1
51.5%
50.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.9
29.9%
32.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.311.5
66.5%
70.5%11.5
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
LWWLWWWWLW
Parnu
LWLWWLLLLW
#6
League position
#8
+13.6
Net rating
-3.5
102.5
Offensive rating
95.0
88.9
Defensive rating
98.5
50.0%
Effective FG%
48.9%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
29.9%
67.7%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 95.0Defence88.9 · 98.5Shooting50.0% · 48.9%3-point %33.2% · 29.9%Ball care18.5% · 20.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 24.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rigas Zelli wins
0
Parnu wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AViimsi74-79
18/11/23HValmiera Glass Via87-78
15/11/23ALatvijas Universitate88-59
10/11/23APrometey79-92
04/11/23HTal Tech81-51
29/10/23HVentspils89-86
21/10/23HTallinna Kalev78-50
14/10/23HLatvijas Universitate87-62
06/10/23ATartu Ulikool56-63
03/10/23AValmiera Glass Via78-71
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HPrometey49-80
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
28/10/23HViimsi79-63
21/10/23ALatvijas Universitate77-56
14/10/23HValmiera Glass Via68-70
11/10/23AVEF Riga64-80
05/10/23ATrepca67-77
03/10/23HTindastoll62-69
27/09/23HKeila KK83-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%100%40%
Points / game79.583.275.0
Allowed / game67.963.872.8
Point differential+11.5+19.3+2.2
Avg total147.4147.0147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game72.969.876.8
Allowed / game74.675.873.0
Point differential-1.7-6.0+3.8
Avg total147.4145.6149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo880100%94.265.5+28.8
2 Prometey87188%88.268.8+19.5
3 Rigas Zelli118373%79.567.9+11.5
4 Tal Tech118373%81.076.4+4.6
5 VEF Riga107370%84.869.7+15.1
6 Tartu Ulikool117464%78.170.4+7.7
7 Ventspils117464%92.185.3+6.8
8 Parnu95456%72.974.6-1.7
9 BK Ogre116555%78.076.5+1.5
10 BK Liepaja126650%81.881.8+0.0
11 Keila KK115645%81.282.3-1.1
12 Rapla123925%74.278.4-4.2
13 Viimsi1331023%66.287.0-20.8
14 Latvijas Universitate1431121%69.185.3-16.2
15 Tallinna Kalev102820%66.281.8-15.6
16 Valmiera Glass Via1221017%74.087.2-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli1920252185
Parnu2916152181
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