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Tallinna Kalev vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-94
20-23 23-25 15-17 22-29
Position#16
Record3-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game90.0
Tallinna Kalev
vs
Ventspils 🏆
Position#4
Record18-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sole Spordikeskus (Tallinn)
Other2023
Meetings · Tallinna Kalev v Ventspils
06 Mar 2024
TALL80
VET94
11 Feb 2023
TALL92
VET96
22 Dec 2021
TALL64
VET103
09 Feb 2019
TALL65
VET84
27 Jan 2011
TALL64
VET82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tallinna Kalev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
62-107
62
107
-45
47avg 56
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
63-104
63
104
-41
43avg 56
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 56
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
61avg 56
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
38avg 56
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 56
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 56
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
74-105
74
105
-31
61avg 56
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
88-100
88
100
-12
77avg 56
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
62-96
62
96
-34
47avg 56
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
12-26
14-23
17-28
12-31
17-22
21-30
13-21
8-25
12-31
21-24
11-30
18-22
20-24
14-19
12-24
12-33
17-19
17-19
20-21
19-15
22-14
23-19
31-27
23-18
17-25
12-23
19-21
20-32
17-22
18-22
19-29
27-26
16-21
18-26
27-27
12-25
13-24
25-18
12-29
166.2Avg total
69.7Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.390.0159.3-20.812%
Season at home (11)71.987.6159.5-15.79%
Season away (13)67.192.1159.2-25.015%
Last 10 (10)69.796.5166.2-26.810%
Last 5 (5)78.092.6170.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.091.2159.3-23.212%
vs Similar (3)75.375.7151.0-0.333%
vs Weaker (1)106.083.0189.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
H20/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
80avg 86
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
H27/01
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
92-63
92
63
+29
93avg 86
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
no box
A03/02
Latvian Cup
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
100-92
100
92
+8
103avg 86
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 86
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
106-64
106
64
+42
103avg 86
H13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
100avg 86
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 86
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
25-23
23-19
15-15
30-15
22-19
22-24
16-12
33-31
18-24
25-15
21-21
21-11
26-17
22-15
23-20
24-29
16-37
14-21
26-14
37-20
24-26
18-17
21-29
22-14
18-28
19-20
18-24
22-16
39-6
25-21
20-21
23-29
25-22
29-19
24-20
22-9
11-16
21-29
22-18
172.2Avg total
91.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.483.5176.0+8.972%
Season at home (14)94.385.6179.9+8.771%
Season away (11)90.180.9171.0+9.273%
Last 10 (10)91.480.8172.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)92.080.8172.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.795.7176.4-15.014%
vs Similar (5)90.081.0171.0+9.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)96.280.4176.7+15.889%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -7.6-7.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -7.6-7.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Tallinna KalevVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
81.8Avg total
33.3Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.844.177.9-10.317%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.144.479.5-9.317%-
Last 30 away (18)32.943.976.8-10.917%-
Last 10 (10)33.348.581.8-15.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.481.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.545.578.0-13.08%-
vs Similar (3)37.734.372.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H27/01
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A03/02
Latvian Cup
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
61-22
61
22
+39
H13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
90.4Avg total
49.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.187.5+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.643.190.7+4.650%-
Last 30 away (14)43.040.983.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)49.041.490.4+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.285.8+11.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.951.492.3-10.60%-
vs Similar (5)44.640.084.6+4.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.539.086.5+8.572%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.117.9
41.5%
50.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.9
31.5%
32.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
70.5%12.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.7
55.5%
50.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.9
38.4%
32.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
70.5%16.6
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLWLLLLL
Ventspils
WWWLWLWWWW
#16
League position
#4
-35.2
Net rating
+17.7
87.3
Offensive rating
116.3
122.5
Defensive rating
98.7
43.5%
Effective FG%
56.3%
60.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.5%
3-point %
38.4%
56.0%
Assist %
63.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 116.3Defence122.5 · 98.7Shooting43.5% · 56.3%3-point %31.5% · 38.4%Ball care21.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 34.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Tallinna Kalev   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
9
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
10/11/23Ventspils v Tallinna Kalev93-66
11/02/23Tallinna Kalev v Ventspils92-96 OT
28/10/22Ventspils v Tallinna Kalev90-76
18/03/22Ventspils v Tallinna Kalev93-54
22/12/21Tallinna Kalev v Ventspils64-103
09/02/19Tallinna Kalev v Ventspils65-84
15/12/18Ventspils v Tallinna Kalev80-68
27/01/11Tallinna Kalev v Ventspils64-82
15/10/10Ventspils v Tallinna Kalev86-62
Tallinna Kalevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24AValmiera Glass Via62-96
11/02/24HBK Ogre88-100
07/02/24ATal Tech74-105
02/02/24ATartu Ulikool71-87
28/01/24AViimsi95-75
21/01/24HVEF Riga66-92
10/01/24HRigas Zelli64-89
05/01/24HPrometey52-110
23/12/23AParnu63-104
16/12/23APrometey62-107
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24ARapla76-72
01/03/24HTal Tech101-90
13/02/24HValmiera Glass Via106-64
10/02/24APrometey77-86
07/02/24HRigas Zelli100-92
03/02/24AVEF Riga80-101
30/01/24HTartu Ulikool92-63
27/01/24HVEF Riga97-91
24/01/24ABK Liepaja90-70
20/01/24HLatvijas Universitate95-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL9%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %12%9%15%
Points / game69.371.967.1
Allowed / game90.087.692.1
Point differential-20.8-15.7-25.0
Avg total159.3159.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %72%71%73%
Points / game92.494.390.1
Allowed / game83.585.680.9
Point differential+8.9+8.7+9.2
Avg total176.0179.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %12%7%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2524196%87.369.8+17.5
2 Prometey2522388%90.769.5+21.2
3 VEF Riga2520580%86.271.2+15.1
4 Ventspils2518772%92.483.5+8.9
5 Tartu Ulikool2517868%78.271.2+7.0
6 Rigas Zelli27161159%79.874.1+5.7
7 BK Ogre27151256%79.576.3+3.1
8 Parnu26131350%77.375.9+1.4
9 Tal Tech26121446%78.080.4-2.3
10 Rapla26111542%74.876.7-1.9
11 BK Liepaja25101540%78.681.4-2.8
12 Keila KK2591636%80.386.4-6.1
13 Valmiera Glass Via2561924%73.883.6-9.7
14 Viimsi2652119%67.285.7-18.5
15 Tallinna Kalev2432112%69.390.0-20.8
16 Latvijas Universitate2632312%67.385.1-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tallinna Kalev2023152280
Ventspils2325172994
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