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Rapla vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-76
9-22 16-11 29-21 18-22
Position#10
Record11-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#4
Record17-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Ventspils
05 Nov 2024
RAPL110
VET104
05 Mar 2024
RAPL72
VET76
22 Oct 2022
RAPL78
VET87
20 Nov 2021
RAPL82
VET94
02 Mar 2019
RAPL72
VET93
10 Feb 2015
RAPL55
VET70
21 Oct 2012
RAPL54
VET93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 67
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 67
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 67
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 67
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 67
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
94avg 67
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
72-61
72
61
+11
62avg 67
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 67
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
72-54
72
54
+18
68avg 67
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
30-22
18-19
17-17
12-21
20-22
22-14
26-22
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
21-24
25-13
20-21
17-25
20-22
19-12
12-17
21-10
21-26
16-16
20-19
22-17
20-17
19-11
13-17
20-9
151.5Avg total
77.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.076.8151.7-1.844%
Season at home (12)77.578.3155.8-0.850%
Season away (13)72.675.3147.9-2.738%
Last 10 (10)77.374.2151.5+3.170%
Last 5 (5)75.072.8147.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.379.0148.3-9.730%
vs Similar (13)78.080.2158.2-2.238%
vs Weaker (7)77.968.4146.3+9.471%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
88-110
88
110
-22
70avg 87
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
H20/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
80avg 87
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
H27/01
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
92-63
92
63
+29
93avg 87
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
no box
A03/02
Latvian Cup
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
100-92
100
92
+8
103avg 87
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 87
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
106-64
106
64
+42
103avg 87
H13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
100avg 87
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
16-31
30-22
19-36
32-22
25-23
23-19
15-15
30-15
22-19
22-24
16-12
33-31
18-24
25-15
21-21
21-11
26-17
22-15
23-20
24-29
16-37
14-21
26-14
37-20
24-26
18-17
21-29
22-14
18-28
19-20
18-24
22-16
39-6
25-21
20-21
23-29
25-22
29-19
24-20
177.2Avg total
92.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)93.184.0177.1+9.171%
Season at home (14)94.385.6179.9+8.771%
Season away (10)91.581.8173.3+9.770%
Last 10 (10)92.684.6177.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)92.886.6179.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.994.9174.8-15.012%
vs Similar (5)90.081.0171.0+9.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)97.480.9178.4+16.588%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
RaplaVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
76.8Avg total
38.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.376.7-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.941.977.7-6.027%-
Last 30 away (15)36.938.875.7-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.776.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.876.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.643.374.9-11.710%-
vs Similar (13)38.340.779.0-2.438%-
vs Weaker (7)39.735.475.1+4.386%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H27/01
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A03/02
Latvian Cup
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
61-22
61
22
+39
H13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
93.7Avg total
49.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.788.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.843.189.9+3.747%-
Last 30 away (13)43.842.285.9+1.654%-
Last 10 (10)49.644.193.7+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.495.4+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.050.590.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (5)44.640.084.6+4.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)48.439.888.2+8.571%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.9
59.5%
50.5%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.3
28.7%
32.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.511.0
62.9%
70.5%11.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.3
55.2%
50.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.5
38.0%
32.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
70.5%18.6
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WWWWLLLWWW
Ventspils
WWLWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#4
+10.3
Net rating
+16.9
107.8
Offensive rating
117.0
97.5
Defensive rating
100.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.7%
3-point %
38.0%
62.8%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 117.0Defence97.5 · 100.0Shooting53.1% · 55.9%3-point %28.7% · 38.0%Ball care18.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds31.9% · 34.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Rapla   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rapla wins
9
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
03/11/23Ventspils v Rapla88-78
23/12/22Ventspils v Rapla82-74
22/10/22Rapla v Ventspils78-87
11/03/22Ventspils v Rapla91-81
20/11/21Rapla v Ventspils82-94
08/04/21Ventspils v Rapla69-79
02/03/19Rapla v Ventspils72-93
27/10/18Ventspils v Rapla100-61
10/02/15Rapla v Ventspils55-70
03/02/15Ventspils v Rapla105-75
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ALatvijas Universitate72-54
28/02/24HTartu Ulikool79-78
21/02/24HBK Ogre72-61
30/01/24HBK Liepaja98-89 OT
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94
17/01/24AParnu61-66
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
22/12/23HTal Tech80-79
15/12/23AKeila KK86-75
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24HTal Tech101-90
13/02/24HValmiera Glass Via106-64
10/02/24APrometey77-86
07/02/24HRigas Zelli100-92
03/02/24AVEF Riga80-101
30/01/24HTartu Ulikool92-63
27/01/24HVEF Riga97-91
24/01/24ABK Liepaja90-70
20/01/24HLatvijas Universitate95-79
17/01/24HBC Kalev/Cramo88-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game75.077.572.6
Allowed / game76.878.375.3
Point differential-1.8-0.8-2.7
Avg total151.7155.8147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %16%17%15%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %71%71%70%
Points / game93.194.391.5
Allowed / game84.085.681.8
Point differential+9.1+8.7+9.7
Avg total177.1179.9173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %12%7%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2524196%87.369.8+17.5
2 Prometey2522388%90.769.5+21.2
3 VEF Riga2520580%86.271.2+15.1
4 Ventspils2417771%93.184.0+9.1
5 Tartu Ulikool2416867%78.071.0+7.0
6 Rigas Zelli27161159%79.874.1+5.7
7 BK Ogre26151158%79.676.1+3.5
8 Parnu25131252%78.276.5+1.7
9 Tal Tech26121446%78.080.4-2.3
10 Rapla25111444%75.076.8-1.8
11 BK Liepaja25101540%78.681.4-2.8
12 Keila KK2591636%80.386.4-6.1
13 Valmiera Glass Via2451921%74.484.7-10.3
14 Viimsi2652119%67.285.7-18.5
15 Tallinna Kalev2432112%69.390.0-20.8
16 Latvijas Universitate2632312%67.385.1-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla916291872
Ventspils2211212276
← all games of the day
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