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Tarleton vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 55-83
32-35 23-48
Position#255
Record11-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#33
Record15-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tarleton v Utah Valley State
29 Jan 2026
TARL55
UTAH83
01 Jan 2026
TARL85
UTAH91
08 Mar 2025
TARL66
UTAH71
07 Mar 2024
TARL60
UTAH63
23 Feb 2023
TARL77
UTAH58
16 Feb 2022
TARL56
UTAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cameron
#466
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-23
40-40
43-40
45-24
49-35
29-19
35-30
34-33
40-43
45-48
29-28
35-36
38-46
42-38
44-52
48-40
31-34
40-41
24-20
40-51
156.1Avg total
81.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.274.3154.5+5.855%
Season at home (10)84.167.2151.3+16.980%
Season away (10)76.281.5157.7-5.330%
Last 10 (10)81.474.7156.1+6.750%
Last 5 (5)80.282.4162.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.574.6138.2-11.115%
vs Similar (10)75.173.6148.7+1.560%
vs Weaker (4)97.569.5167.0+28.075%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
109-48
109
48
+61
H20/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A02/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H09/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H10/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
50-42
52-23
57-25
33-39
40-27
43-40
48-45
36-41
32-44
46-39
43-33
31-30
61-46
46-28
40-46
34-35
36-49
28-24
37-41
158.1Avg total
83.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.369.1151.5+13.271%
Season at home (12)87.962.0149.9+25.9100%
Season away (9)74.978.7153.6-3.833%
Last 10 (10)83.974.2158.1+9.770%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.077.3158.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.566.8147.4+13.777%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +4.6+4.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +4.6+4.6
TarletonUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cameron
#466
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/01
NCAA
73.7Avg total
38.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.971.1+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.331.771.1+7.667%-
Last 30 away (15)33.138.171.2-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.173.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.069.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.837.169.9-4.223%-
vs Similar (10)34.332.566.8+1.860%-
vs Weaker (4)48.839.087.8+9.875%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#201
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H20/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H10/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A22/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A25/01
NCAA
72.0Avg total
38.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.930.268.1+7.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.827.367.1+12.582%-
Last 30 away (13)35.434.069.4+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.172.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.268.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.032.766.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.629.768.2+8.973%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tarleton wins
7
Utah Valley State wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26AUT Arlington64-71
18/01/26AUtah Tech71-75
16/01/26ASouthern Utah105-106 OT
09/01/26HAbilene Christian80-84
03/01/26HCalifornia Baptist81-76 OT
02/01/26HUtah Valley State85-91
30/12/25AUT Arlington69-63
20/12/25HFlorida A&M78-54
17/12/25AMiss. Valley St.88-64
07/12/25HCameron93-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26ACalifornia Baptist71-78 OT
22/01/26ASouthern Utah70-84
17/01/26HUT Arlington86-74
10/01/26HUtah Tech92-76
09/01/26HSouthern Utah89-72
03/01/26AAbilene Christian68-85
02/01/26ATarleton91-85
30/12/25HCalifornia Baptist73-66
20/12/25HBethesda109-48
18/12/25HWeber State90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%80%30%
Points / game80.284.176.2
Allowed / game74.367.281.5
Point differential+5.8+16.9-5.3
Avg total154.5151.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game82.387.974.9
Allowed / game69.162.078.7
Point differential+13.2+25.9-3.8
Avg total151.5149.9153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%75%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2115671%82.369.1+13.2
2 California Baptist2115671%73.369.3+4.0
3 UT Arlington1913668%71.965.4+6.6
4 Tarleton2011955%80.274.3+5.8
5 Abilene Christian1910953%71.471.7-0.3
6 Utah Tech22111150%77.274.2+3.0
7 Southern Utah2171433%77.980.7-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton322355
Utah Valley State354883
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