PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tarleton vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-84
38-46 42-38
Position#255
Record11-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#264
Record9-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tarleton v Abilene Christian
16 Feb 2026
TARL65
ABIL62
08 Jan 2026
TARL80
ABIL84
27 Feb 2025
TARL67
ABIL52
18 Jan 2024
TARL79
ABIL71
14 Jan 2023
TARL72
ABIL63
12 Feb 2022
TARL63
ABIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#268
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
119-54
119
54
+65
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
53-36
25-36
42-21
29-31
29-45
59-29
60-25
53-23
40-40
43-40
45-24
49-35
29-19
35-30
34-33
40-43
45-48
29-28
35-36
150.0Avg total
82.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.271.9152.1+8.269%
Season at home (9)84.665.3149.9+19.289%
Season away (7)74.680.4155.0-5.943%
Last 10 (10)82.867.2150.0+15.680%
Last 5 (5)80.269.6149.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.373.9137.2-10.619%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.670.0144.6+4.688%
vs Weaker (3)95.057.3152.3+37.7100%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H25/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
58-92
58
92
-34
H25/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
87-55
87
55
+32
H28/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A03/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A17/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A20/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H02/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
22-24
32-39
26-53
39-31
48-24
35-28
36-35
35-27
42-42
31-51
31-45
36-43
31-42
33-36
42-32
24-40
40-39
41-36
44-32
143.2Avg total
70.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.770.2142.9+2.560%
Season at home (9)77.966.9144.8+11.078%
Season away (6)65.075.2140.2-10.233%
Last 10 (10)70.772.5143.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)70.679.2149.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.479.1145.5-12.730%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.869.7137.4-1.944%
vs Weaker (10)76.762.6139.3+14.190%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
TarletonAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#268
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
39.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.869.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.929.467.4+8.575%-
Last 30 away (14)32.538.971.4-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.373.2+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.274.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.236.368.5-4.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.230.865.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker (3)50.334.785.0+15.7100%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A03/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A17/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H02/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/01
NCAA
70.2Avg total
34.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.267.8+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.131.467.5+4.656%-
Last 30 away (12)32.435.868.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.770.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.041.274.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.438.170.5-5.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.732.763.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (10)39.729.869.5+9.980%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tarleton wins
5
Abilene Christian wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HCalifornia Baptist81-76 OT
02/01/26HUtah Valley State85-91
30/12/25AUT Arlington69-63
20/12/25HFlorida A&M78-54
17/12/25AMiss. Valley St.88-64
07/12/25HCameron93-63
04/12/25HHoward Payne119-54
02/12/25ACincinnati58-76
28/11/25HState Mustangs67-57
21/11/25ARice90-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HUtah Valley State85-68
02/01/26HUtah Tech64-79
22/12/25ATexas Southern75-68
20/12/25ABrigham Young67-85
17/12/25AArizona62-96
06/12/25HNew Mexico State77-69
03/12/25APepperdine71-63
28/11/25HJarvis Christian87-55
25/11/25HWilliam & Mary58-92
25/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners61-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game80.284.674.6
Allowed / game71.965.380.4
Point differential+8.2+19.2-5.9
Avg total152.1149.9155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeLWWLW78%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%78%33%
Points / game72.777.965.0
Allowed / game70.266.975.2
Point differential+2.5+11.0-10.2
Avg total142.9144.8140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1612475%82.666.8+15.8
2 Tarleton1611569%80.271.9+8.2
3 UT Arlington1510567%72.364.5+7.7
4 California Baptist1610662%73.370.9+2.4
5 Abilene Christian159660%72.770.2+2.5
6 Utah Tech169756%78.672.8+5.8
7 Southern Utah1541127%76.981.3-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton384280
Abilene Christian463884
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.