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Tarleton vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 75-64
33-32 42-32
Position#42
Record14-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#175
Record13-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tarleton v Stephen F. Austin
03 Feb 2024
TARL75
STEP64
08 Jan 2022
TARL77
STEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H05/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A14/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H19/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
21-26
34-31
45-35
42-37
36-39
34-35
29-42
29-36
19-38
40-30
39-41
26-40
51-33
27-32
43-41
46-34
40-34
31-23
36-44
141.8Avg total
70.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.467.0138.4+4.467%
Season at home (10)78.162.3140.4+15.880%
Season away (11)65.371.3136.5-6.055%
Last 10 (10)70.271.6141.8-1.460%
Last 5 (5)77.671.6149.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.666.6124.2-9.020%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.573.2142.7-3.750%
vs Weaker (12)74.359.3133.7+15.083%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paul Quinn
#523
W
115-58
115
58
+57
H22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H30/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A04/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H06/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H26/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
64-24
51-34
28-22
52-29
38-38
47-40
37-27
55-46
38-36
32-39
43-43
41-39
37-35
39-41
26-23
25-30
45-38
34-43
38-27
39-45
152.9Avg total
82.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.270.6148.8+7.662%
Season at home (14)78.368.5146.8+9.864%
Season away (7)78.074.9152.9+3.157%
Last 10 (10)82.270.7152.9+11.570%
Last 5 (5)76.074.4150.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.064.0124.0-4.020%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.778.2157.9+1.564%
vs Weaker (14)81.471.4152.9+10.064%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +2.9+2.9
TarletonStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H19/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A21/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H27/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A02/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
33.4Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.333.068.3+2.359%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.630.368.9+8.380%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.067.8-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.767.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.865.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.632.661.2-4.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.235.569.7-1.360%-
vs Weaker (11)37.231.668.8+5.564%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paul Quinn
#523
W
64-24
64
24
+40
H22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H30/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H26/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H27/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H02/02
NCAA
70.7Avg total
39.4Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.868.0+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.129.264.3+5.963%-
Last 30 away (11)37.936.574.4+1.555%-
Last 10 (10)39.431.370.7+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.271.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.428.655.0-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.634.871.5+1.855%-
vs Weaker (14)39.230.669.9+8.671%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tarleton wins
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AAbilene Christian76-73 OT
27/01/24HUtah Tech86-68
26/01/24HSouthern Utah70-73
21/01/24AUTRGV77-73
19/01/24HAbilene Christian79-71
14/01/24AGrand Canyon48-74
12/01/24ACalifornia Baptist63-77
05/01/24HUT Arlington78-76
30/12/23ALoyola Marymount79-66
21/12/23ATennessee46-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HUtah Valley State77-72
27/01/24HCalifornia Baptist79-81
26/01/24HGrand Canyon51-53
19/01/24HSeattle89-84 OT
14/01/24ASouthern Utah84-82
12/01/24AUtah Tech70-75
06/01/24HUT Arlington92-73
04/01/24AUTRGV85-78
30/12/23HNew Orleans80-51
22/12/23HPaul Quinn115-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%80%55%
Points / game71.478.165.3
Allowed / game67.062.371.3
Point differential+4.4+15.8-6.0
Avg total138.4140.4136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %62%64%57%
Points / game78.278.378.0
Allowed / game70.668.574.9
Point differential+7.6+9.8+3.1
Avg total148.8146.8152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %14%7%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton2114767%71.467.0+4.4
2 California Baptist2013765%69.264.5+4.8
3 UT Arlington21101148%73.673.9-0.2
4 Utah Valley State2291341%68.770.8-2.1
5 Abilene Christian2181338%74.975.4-0.5
6 Southern Utah2181338%76.577.4-0.9
7 Utah Tech2181338%69.876.1-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2219386%80.062.0+18.0
2 Texas A&M-CC2214864%75.766.4+9.3
3 Stephen F. Austin2113862%78.270.6+7.6
4 Lamar22121055%80.975.7+5.2
5 Nicholls State21111052%74.575.8-1.3
6 SE Louisiana2291341%67.970.7-2.8
7 TX A&M Commerce2281436%71.973.1-1.3
8 New Orleans2171433%74.680.6-6.0
9 Incarnate Word2061430%73.078.0-5.0
10 UTRGV2161529%73.679.3-5.7
11 Northwestern St.2261627%70.578.2-7.7
12 Houston Christian2051525%71.281.3-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton334275
Stephen F. Austin323264
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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