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Tarleton vs Weber State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-65
35-28 40-37
Position#183
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#165
Record2-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Weber State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#331
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-22
33-40
31-20
26-29
24-29
26-40
23-26
33-35
29-32
30-30
39-30
56-19
44-31
45-50
35-19
35-35
25-35
39-36
32-44
39-39
132.7Avg total
68.6Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.766.7141.3+8.050%
Season at home (2)79.560.0139.5+19.550%
Season away (4)72.270.0142.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)68.664.1132.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)77.867.6145.4+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.671.2134.9-7.621%
vs Similar (4)75.573.8149.2+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)71.957.8129.7+14.292%
This opponent (Weber State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#326
W
73-49
73
49
+24
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#32
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A08/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#424
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A15/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A22/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
38-22
33-32
37-48
30-25
38-31
37-31
29-38
23-31
29-38
50-28
33-39
15-36
37-41
31-50
34-22
40-40
37-27
32-52
33-35
136.4Avg total
67.1Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)65.773.2138.8-7.533%
Season at home (3)75.073.7148.7+1.367%
Season away (3)56.372.7129.0-16.30%
Last 10 (10)67.169.3136.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)68.474.0142.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)71.077.0148.0-6.050%
vs Similar (16)69.476.3145.7-6.931%
vs Weaker (12)79.865.2144.9+14.675%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
TarletonWeber State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#331
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/11
NCAA
61.2Avg total
32.4Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.263.1+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.429.863.2+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)32.430.763.1+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.428.861.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.866.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.133.362.4-4.221%-
vs Similar (4)36.834.571.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.125.261.3+10.883%-
This opponent (Weber State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Weber StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#326
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#32
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#424
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
15-36
15
36
-21
A15/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A22/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H23/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H23/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
32.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.969.4-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.235.071.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.967.2-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.267.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.274.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (16)33.137.870.9-4.644%-
vs Weaker (12)35.929.365.2+6.658%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
1
Weber State wins
DateGameScore
18/01/21Weber State v Tarleton94-79
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22AWichita State71-83
22/11/22HDrake64-71
21/11/22ABoston College70-54
18/11/22ABelmont89-81
11/11/22HKansas Christian95-49
08/11/22AArizona State59-62
06/03/22AAbilene Christian56-61
04/03/22ASam Houston St.50-69
27/02/22HLamar57-49
25/02/22HUTRGV75-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22HWright State65-87
23/11/22HAbilene Christian77-67
22/11/22AUC Riverside65-72
15/11/22AColorado State52-77
11/11/22HWestern Colorado83-67
08/11/22AWashington52-69
12/03/22AMontana State66-69
10/03/22HMontana68-56
06/03/22HSouthern Utah70-80
26/02/22ANorthern Arizona73-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.779.572.2
Allowed / game66.760.070.0
Point differential+8.0+19.5+2.2
Avg total141.3139.5142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Weber State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game65.775.056.3
Allowed / game73.273.772.7
Point differential-7.5+1.3-16.3
Avg total138.8148.7129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah74357%92.472.3+20.1
2 California Baptist74357%65.361.1+4.1
3 UT Arlington84450%71.861.8+10.0
4 Tarleton63350%74.766.7+8.0
5 Abilene Christian73443%73.170.1+3.0
6 Utah Valley State73443%72.470.3+2.1
7 Utah Tech73443%69.075.3-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State73443%83.778.4+5.3
2 Montana73443%64.067.1-3.1
3 Sacramento State73443%66.470.0-3.6
4 Montana State83538%69.069.0+0.0
5 Northern Colorado83538%69.581.9-12.4
6 Weber State62433%65.773.2-7.5
7 Idaho72529%75.170.1+5.0
8 East. Washington72529%65.672.1-6.6
9 Northern Arizona82625%71.173.6-2.5
10 Idaho State71614%71.368.9+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton354075
Weber State283765
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