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Tartu Ulikool vs MZT Skopje Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 84-79
Projected total 163.7
Scheduled
Position#37
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game99.7
Tartu Ulikool
Vs
66%
34%
■ TUL 66%■ MSK 34%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
MZT Skopje
Position#47
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Tartu Ulikool will host MZT Skopje in the FIBA Europe Cup on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 66% versus 34% for the visitors, and projecting an 84-79 win for Tartu Ulikool. The Estonian club has gone 2-4 in all six games this season, averaging 88.0 points and conceding 99.7, while on home soil they are 1-1, scoring 88.5 and allowing 101.5; their last five games include two wins and three losses, with recent defeats to Dziki Warszawa 84-91 away, Valmiera Glass Via 86-93 at home, and Wurzburg 79-113 away. MZT Skopje, meanwhile, is 0-6 across six contests, posting 72.0 points and 87.2 allowed, and 0-3 on the road with 70.7 points and 93.0 conceded; their last five games were all losses, including a 73-103 loss to Iraklis away, a 66-89 loss to Dziki Warszawa away, and a 69-85 loss to AEK Larnaca at home. The two teams have met once, with Tartu Ulikool winning 95-92 on 14 October 2026. The model projects a total of 163.7 points and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool win
65.5%fair 1.53
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje win
34.5%fair 2.90
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
61avg 80
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
95-92
95
92
+3
93avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 80
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
93-99
93
99
-6
90avg 80
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
65-41
65
41
+24
57avg 80
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
91avg 80
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 80
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
18-17
26-24
11-24
24-17
20-22
28-23
23-30
19-19
23-21
26-9
21-22
21-32
30-25
20-22
22-20
15-9
21-15
12-9
17-8
24-22
19-25
28-22
18-20
25-34
15-17
18-9
28-14
20-23
19-31
17-33
23-26
24-30
21-22
15-19
26-22
16-24
24-28
26-23
18-16
172.0Avg total
85.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.099.7187.7-11.733%
Season at home (2)88.5101.5190.0-13.050%
Season away (4)87.898.8186.5-11.025%
Last 10 (10)85.286.8172.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.294.2181.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.191.2175.2-7.131%
vs Similar ◀ (3)89.089.0178.0+0.067%
vs Weaker (11)87.773.9161.6+13.891%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
84-77
84
77
+7
79avg 76
H17/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
72avg 76
H20/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 76
A24/05
Superleague
Iraklis
#11
L
59-64
59
64
-5
48avg 76
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
92-95
92
95
-3
82avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 76
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sutjeska
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 76
A24/10
ABA League 2
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
69-85
69
85
-16
57avg 76
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
66-89
66
89
-23
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Iraklis
#11
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
27-14
24-21
15-16
23-17
24-14
19-22
15-23
21-26
25-16
16-14
18-18
21-26
18-14
12-15
8-9
17-24
22-20
23-28
30-23
21-21
22-28
15-20
15-18
11-16
29-23
19-21
16-25
20-23
22-26
11-22
16-14
17-20
14-27
17-24
18-18
17-29
18-18
18-31
20-25
158.7Avg total
75.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.087.2159.2-15.20%
Season at home (3)73.381.3154.7-8.00%
Season away (3)70.793.0163.7-22.30%
Last 10 (10)75.283.5158.7-8.330%
Last 5 (5)71.289.8161.0-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.889.8164.7-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.178.6160.8+3.550%
vs Weaker (15)84.175.5159.5+8.687%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1252%1303%1355%1407%14510%15011%15512%16012%16511%1709%1756%1804%1853%1902%1951%2000%2050%210
0%1202%1305%14010%15012%16011%1706%1803%1901%2000%210
Pythia expects about 164 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
58.5%
Under 160
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
45.9%
Under 165
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
33.9%
Under 170
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Tartu Ulikool total 80.5
Over 80.5
64.3%
Under 80.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tartu Ulikool total 84.5
Over 84.5
49.8%
Under 84.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tartu Ulikool total 88.5
Over 88.5
35.3%
Under 88.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MZT Skopje total 76.5
Over 76.5
59.9%
Under 76.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MZT Skopje total 80.5
Over 80.5
44.8%
Under 80.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MZT Skopje total 84.5
Over 84.5
30.7%
Under 84.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-183%-154%-126%-98%-68%-37%+010%+310%+69%+98%+127%+155%+184%+213%+242%+271%+301%+331%+36
1%-242%-184%-128%-67%+010%+68%+125%+183%+241%+301%+36
Margin from Tartu Ulikool's side (positive = Tartu Ulikool win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.1; Tartu Ulikool win by 1+ in 59% of simulations.
Spread Tartu Ulikool -3
TUL -3
58.2%
MSK +3
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
TUL
No market prices yet.
MSK
No market prices yet.
Spread Tartu Ulikool 0
TUL 0
65.5%
MSK 0
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
TUL
No market prices yet.
MSK
No market prices yet.
Spread Tartu Ulikool +3
TUL +3
72.8%
MSK -3
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
TUL
No market prices yet.
MSK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
Tartu UlikoolMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Iraklis
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Wurzburg
#13
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
87.9Avg total
41.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.286.6-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.043.183.1-3.121%-
Last 30 away (16)44.545.289.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.287.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.451.292.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.648.788.2-9.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)49.044.393.3+4.7100%-
vs Weaker (11)44.737.782.5+7.073%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A24/05
Superleague
Iraklis
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sutjeska
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A24/10
ABA League 2
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Iraklis
#11
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
83.5Avg total
40.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.281.2+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.880.9+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.741.981.6-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.883.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.284.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.347.786.0-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.140.677.8-3.525%-
vs Weaker (15)44.137.181.3+7.080%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
72.8%13.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
53.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.2
28.5%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
72.8%14.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
LLLWWWLWWL
MZT Skopje
LLLLLLLWWW
#37
League position
#47
+0.2
Net rating
-1.2
92.0
Offensive rating
90.8
91.8
Defensive rating
92.0
52.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
28.5%
68.9%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 90.8Defence91.8 · 92.0Shooting52.5% · 48.0%3-point %33.3% · 28.5%Ball care15.9% · 14.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tartu Ulikool wins
0
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26MZT Skopje v Tartu Ulikool92-95
Tartu Ulikoollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADziki Warszawa84-91
07/11/26HValmiera Glass Via86-93
02/11/26AWurzburg79-113
31/10/26AVEF Riga86-74
28/10/26HIraklis101-100 OT
24/10/26HTal Tech65-41
21/10/26AAEK Larnaca93-99
17/10/26AKeila KK89-71
14/10/26AMZT Skopje95-92
09/10/26HRigas Zelli74-94
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AIraklis73-103
04/11/26ADziki Warszawa66-89
27/10/26HAEK Larnaca69-85
24/10/26ASutjeska75-85
20/10/26AWurzburg73-87
14/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-95
06/10/26HIraklis59-64
24/05/26AKK Skopje 202380-74
20/05/26HKK Skopje 202381-76
17/05/26HKK Skopje 202384-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game88.088.587.8
Allowed / game99.7101.598.8
Point differential-11.7-13.0-11.0
Avg total187.7190.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
MZT Skopje
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.073.370.7
Allowed / game87.281.393.0
Point differential-15.2-8.0-22.3
Avg total159.2154.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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