Tartu Ulikool vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 67-77

21-20 16-20 10-17 20-20

Position#4

Record2-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game87.7

Tartu Ulikool

Rapla 🏆

Position#3

Record2-0

FormWWWLL

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game71.5

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Other2020-21

Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Rapla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rapla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu Ulikool Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

92-86

H19/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

67-91

-24

H23/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

65-87

-22

A27/01

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

60-78

-18

H04/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

70-76

-6

H09/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

94-78

+16

H12/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

54-96

-42

A25/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

95-78

+17

A28/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

104-101 OT

104

101

H03/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

62-84

-22

A06/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

21-17

25-16

21-22

25-31

21-27

16-23

17-23

13-18

14-21

22-28

17-17

12-21

22-18

12-17

12-22

14-21

23-20

12-20

11-16

24-20

25-19

23-29

20-21

26-9

17-22

12-30

14-21

11-23

19-25

27-17

28-26

21-10

19-16

24-28

18-15

20-22

16-26

12-24

17-22

17-12

161.8Avg total

76.3Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	87.0	87.7	174.7	-0.7	67%
Season at home (1)	104.0	101.0	205.0	+3.0	100%
Season away (2)	78.5	81.0	159.5	-2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	85.5	161.8	-9.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	87.4	169.2	-5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	67.4	87.2	154.6	-19.8	12%
vs Similar (13)	81.5	80.0	161.5	+1.5	54%
vs Weaker (1)	95.0	78.0	173.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rapla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

58-78

-20

A10/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#13

85-83

A13/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

88-93

-5

H16/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

65-58

A22/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

76-70

A09/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#13

81-71

+10

H13/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

84-72

+12

A19/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

87-71

+16

A24/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

65-73

-8

H27/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

78-94

-16

H09/03

Latvia-Estonian League

19-21

11-19

17-22

11-16

21-22

20-22

19-14

25-25

22-29

25-14

20-23

21-27

16-15

13-19

16-12

20-12

20-23

20-12

16-11

20-24

23-11

19-14

27-23

12-23

22-21

23-17

20-20

19-14

23-21

24-17

19-19

21-14

18-22

19-12

19-19

9-20

21-25

17-28

26-21

14-20

153.0Avg total

76.7Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	85.5	71.5	157.0	+14.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	85.5	71.5	157.0	+14.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	76.3	153.0	+0.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	76.2	155.2	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	71.7	88.2	159.9	-16.6	22%
vs Similar (8)	73.6	79.5	153.1	-5.9	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	80.5	70.1	150.5	+10.4	85%

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tartu UlikoolRapla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.0	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.8	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	22.6	40.3	-4.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	21.6	40.1	-3.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	23.2	41.7	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.6	45.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.2	25.1	40.3	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.9	36.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	18.8	36.8	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.4	24.4	40.9	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.5	77%	-

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

46-33

+13

H19/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

37-50

-13

H23/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

36-49

-13

A27/01

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

34-35

-1

H04/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

35-40

-5

H09/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

48-48

H12/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

29-52

-23

A25/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

46-42

A28/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

43-44

-1

H03/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

28-50

-22

A06/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

82.5Avg total

38.2Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	43.5	80.2	-6.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	41.5	80.8	-2.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	45.2	79.6	-10.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	44.3	82.5	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	47.2	86.0	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.2	47.0	80.2	-13.8	6%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.2	39.2	79.5	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	42.0	88.0	+4.0	100%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

30-40

-10

A10/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#13

41-44

-3

A13/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

47-43

H16/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

29-34

-5

A22/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

40-35

A09/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#13

42-25

+17

H13/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

45-38

A19/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

47-38

A24/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

37-34

H27/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

38-53

-15

H09/03

Latvia-Estonian League

78.0Avg total

39.6Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.5	75.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	37.9	75.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	37.6	79.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.7	45.2	79.9	-10.6	11%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.4	40.4	76.8	-4.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.9	32.7	72.6	+7.2	69%	-

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	22.7	40.3	-5.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.1	21.1	37.2	-4.9	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	26.0	54.0	+2.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.6	40.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.9	36.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.4	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.2	34.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.8	18.7	36.4	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	10.0	31.0	+11.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.1	39.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.2	33.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	18.8	36.6	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.4	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	39.0	75.4	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	37.0	73.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	40.7	76.8	-4.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	39.2	75.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.2	74.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.9	39.8	73.6	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	36.0	85.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	39.4	77.7	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	40.3	80.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	38.6	75.4	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	37.9	75.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.6	75.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.0	43.0	80.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.2	39.1	76.4	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tartu Ulikool wins

Rapla wins

Date	Game	Score
09/02/21	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	70-76
13/12/20	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	103-69
06/12/20	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	86-59
28/10/20	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	74-76 OT
27/02/19	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	85-76
16/11/18	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	97-71
08/05/18	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	75-64
04/05/18	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	65-74
02/05/18	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	75-63
17/03/18	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	77-65

Tartu Ulikoollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/21	A	Parnu	62-84
03/03/21	H	Rakvere Tarvas	104-101 OT
28/02/21	A	Tal Tech	95-78
25/02/21	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	54-96
12/02/21	H	Rakvere Tarvas	94-78
09/02/21	H	Rapla	70-76
04/02/21	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	60-78
27/01/21	A	Parnu	65-87
23/01/21	H	Parnu	67-91
19/01/21	H	Tal Tech	92-86

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/21	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	78-94
27/02/21	H	Rakvere Tarvas	65-73
24/02/21	A	Tal Tech	87-71
19/02/21	A	Rakvere Tarvas	84-72
13/02/21	H	Tallinna Kalev	81-71
09/02/21	A	Tartu Ulikool	76-70
22/01/21	A	Rakvere Tarvas	65-58
16/01/21	H	Parnu	88-93
13/01/21	A	Tallinna Kalev	85-83
10/01/21	A	Parnu	58-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	W	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	87.0	104.0	78.5
Allowed / game	87.7	101.0	81.0
Point differential	-0.7	+3.0	-2.5
Avg total	174.7	205.0	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	33%	100%	0%

Rapla

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	-	-
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	85.5	-	85.5
Allowed / game	71.5	-	71.5
Point differential	+14.0	-	+14.0
Avg total	157.0	-	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Parnu	2	2	0	100%	88.5	62.0	+26.5
2	Rapla	2	2	0	100%	85.5	71.5	+14.0
3	Tartu Ulikool	3	2	1	67%	87.0	87.7	-0.7
4	Rakvere Tarvas	4	1	3	25%	81.2	89.5	-8.2
5	Tal Tech	3	0	3	0%	75.3	90.7	-15.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tartu Ulikool	21	16	10	20	67
Rapla	20	20	17	20	77

← all games of the day

Tartu Ulikool vs Rapla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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