Tartu Ulikool vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 May 2018

Tip-off: 16:10

Final 75-64

15-13 13-15 20-15 27-21

Position#2

Record21-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game73.8

Tartu Ulikool 🏆

Rapla

Position#3

Record18-15

FormWWWLL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game75.2

Korvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Semi-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Rapla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rapla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu Ulikool Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

82-70

+12

H15/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

96-76

+20

A02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

82-90

-8

H10/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

77-65

+12

H17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

95-64

+31

A25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

83-64

+19

A31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

88-74

+14

A07/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

98-86

+12

H13/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

75-63

+12

H02/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

74-65

A04/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

16-13

21-14

19-15

26-28

21-11

20-18

26-18

29-29

23-28

24-23

18-24

17-15

22-17

18-11

23-18

14-19

24-17

16-14

23-15

32-18

25-19

23-20

15-16

20-9

19-12

26-31

23-18

20-13

21-17

30-29

23-24

24-16

21-15

25-11

11-16

18-21

15-19

17-13

23-11

19-22

156.7Avg total

85.0Scored

71.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	82.8	73.8	156.6	+9.0	75%
Season at home (14)	81.6	72.3	153.9	+9.3	79%
Season away (14)	84.1	75.4	159.4	+8.7	71%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	71.7	156.7	+13.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	70.4	154.0	+13.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.5	80.3	153.8	-6.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	78.0	69.0	147.0	+9.0	83%
vs Weaker (18)	86.4	73.9	160.4	+12.5	83%

This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rapla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

70-84

-14

A04/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

73-80

-7

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

94-64

+30

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

69-73

-4

H18/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

70-72

-2

A22/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

73-71

H25/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

93-64

+29

A27/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

90-66

+24

H29/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

63-75

-12

A02/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

65-74

-9

H04/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

20-18

17-27

17-20

16-19

15-18

17-16

19-20

22-26

23-11

29-19

18-13

24-21

20-21

21-20

11-15

17-17

11-21

15-19

26-13

18-19

19-14

17-21

17-15

20-21

29-12

26-15

23-21

15-16

24-15

26-19

19-24

21-8

15-21

11-25

16-11

21-18

19-15

13-17

11-23

22-19

148.3Avg total

76.0Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	77.6	75.2	152.8	+2.5	55%
Season at home (17)	77.6	76.5	154.2	+1.1	59%
Season away (16)	77.6	73.8	151.4	+3.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	72.3	148.3	+3.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	70.0	146.8	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	62.7	91.3	154.0	-28.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	70.0	76.0	146.0	-6.0	33%
vs Weaker (18)	83.7	72.8	156.5	+10.8	72%

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tartu UlikoolRapla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.5	36.3	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	17.9	39.7	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.4	36.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.3	38.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+1.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.3	40.1	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.9	40.1	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	20.7	37.2	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.3	20.5	42.8	+1.8	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	26.3	42.0	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.4	20.7	36.1	-5.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	61%	-

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

37-27

+10

H15/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

41-29

+12

A02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

47-51

-4

H10/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

40-28

+12

H17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

40-31

A25/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

48-39

A31/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

45-43

A07/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Valga

51-46

H13/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

46-26

+20

H02/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

32-32

A04/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

77.9Avg total

42.7Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	37.4	78.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	35.9	76.3	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	38.9	79.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.2	77.9	+7.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	37.2	81.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	41.2	79.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.5	33.7	73.2	+5.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.9	37.3	79.3	+4.6	72%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-45

-8

A04/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

32-34

-2

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

52-30

+22

H14/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

41-41

H18/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

26-40

-14

A22/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

36-35

H25/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

55-27

+28

A27/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

50-34

+16

H29/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

26-46

-20

A02/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

32-32

H04/05

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

75.1Avg total

38.7Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	38.1	77.9	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.2	38.8	76.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	36.4	75.1	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	34.8	74.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	48.7	80.3	-17.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	32.9	39.4	72.3	-6.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.6	36.2	78.8	+6.3	61%	-

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.8	38.4	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	19.3	36.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.7	16.5	37.2	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.9	17.7	39.6	+4.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.9	36.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	19.1	36.1	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	16.5	37.9	+4.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.5	35.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	22.7	37.7	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.7	18.8	35.4	-2.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.9	16.6	37.6	+4.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.8	18.8	36.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.6	18.9	41.5	+3.6	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.3	39.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.2	39.7	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	36.9	78.3	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	36.5	76.7	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	37.3	80.0	+5.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	36.5	78.8	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	33.2	72.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.3	39.2	74.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.5	35.3	73.8	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.5	36.6	81.1	+7.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.2	76.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.5	38.3	75.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	35.9	76.4	+4.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	35.9	73.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.2	72.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.0	42.7	73.7	-11.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.1	36.6	73.7	+0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.1	36.6	77.7	+4.5	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tartu Ulikool wins

Rapla wins

Date	Game	Score
04/05/18	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	65-74
02/05/18	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	75-63
17/03/18	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	77-65
20/01/18	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	73-89
01/12/17	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	75-64
14/10/17	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	84-78
06/05/17	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	79-75
04/05/17	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	85-61
01/05/17	Rapla v Tartu Ulikool	71-58
28/04/17	Tartu Ulikool v Rapla	60-70

Tartu Ulikoollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/18	A	Rapla	74-65
02/05/18	H	Rapla	75-63
13/04/18	H	Valga	98-86
07/04/18	A	Tal Tech	88-74
31/03/18	A	Parnu	83-64
25/03/18	A	Tallinna Kalev	95-64
17/03/18	H	Rapla	77-65
10/03/18	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	82-90
02/03/18	A	Valga	96-76
15/02/18	H	Valga	82-70

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/18	H	Tartu Ulikool	65-74
02/05/18	A	Tartu Ulikool	63-75
29/04/18	H	Tallinna Kalev	90-66
27/04/18	A	Tallinna Kalev	93-64
25/04/18	H	Tallinna Kalev	73-71
22/04/18	A	Tallinna Kalev	70-72
18/04/18	H	Tallinna Kalev	69-73
14/04/18	H	Tallinna Kalev	94-64
10/04/18	H	Parnu	73-80
04/04/18	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	75%
Home	WLWWW	79%
Away	WWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	75%	79%	71%
Points / game	82.8	81.6	84.1
Allowed / game	73.8	72.3	75.4
Point differential	+9.0	+9.3	+8.7
Avg total	156.6	153.9	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	64%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rapla

Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	55%
Home	WLWWL	59%
Away	WLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	55%	59%	50%
Points / game	77.6	77.6	77.6
Allowed / game	75.2	76.5	73.8
Point differential	+2.5	+1.1	+3.9
Avg total	152.8	154.2	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	29%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	75% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	BC Kalev/Cramo	29	28	1	97%	91.7	67.0	+24.7
2	Tartu Ulikool	28	21	7	75%	82.8	73.8	+9.0
3	Rapla	33	18	15	55%	77.6	75.2	+2.5
4	Valga	30	13	17	43%	80.4	82.7	-2.3
5	Parnu	33	14	19	42%	77.0	78.2	-1.3
6	Tallinna Kalev	31	12	19	39%	73.5	79.7	-6.3
7	Tal Tech	28	8	20	29%	78.0	80.7	-2.6
8	Eesti Maauelikoo	2	0	2	0%	70.5	98.5	-28.0
9	Audentese	14	0	14	0%	59.6	103.4	-43.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tartu Ulikool	15	13	20	27	75
Rapla	13	15	15	21	64

← all games of the day

Tartu Ulikool vs Rapla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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