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Tartu Ulikool vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-71
20-10 19-20 12-18 26-23
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2024
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Rigas Zelli
09 Oct 2026
TUL74
RZE94
14 Feb 2026
TUL83
RZE80
18 Oct 2024
TUL77
RZE71
06 Oct 2023
TUL63
RZE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 71
H07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 71
A09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
64avg 71
H11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
71-63
71
63
+8
66avg 71
A13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 71
A22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
50avg 71
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
61-79
61
79
-18
45avg 71
A28/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Spisski Rytieri
#18
L
87-91
87
91
-4
74avg 71
A08/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
63avg 71
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
77avg 71
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
22-15
17-18
19-24
17-19
22-22
22-23
25-14
21-24
15-25
21-12
18-17
16-11
23-23
22-11
10-18
17-19
15-17
22-14
13-23
15-15
11-20
23-27
12-20
17-18
10-17
14-22
20-22
26-25
16-16
22-25
23-25
24-20
13-19
13-15
21-20
17-22
12-20
19-20
28-14
153.0Avg total
74.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.081.5160.5-2.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)79.081.5160.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)74.678.4153.0-3.830%
Last 5 (5)73.483.0156.4-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)64.573.0137.5-8.520%
vs Similar (6)72.583.7156.2-11.233%
vs Weaker (14)83.074.3157.3+8.771%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
W
65-61
65
61
+4
no box
H04/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A09/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
no box
H13/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
W
70-64
70
64
+6
no box
A16/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H19/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A22/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
83avg 73
H21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 73
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
82-78
82
78
+4
70avg 73
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 73
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
14-20
16-10
21-13
20-25
21-21
20-21
17-14
22-23
14-21
18-18
12-20
18-16
14-16
13-11
25-21
18-19
24-19
20-24
17-28
25-16
9-18
19-21
21-25
17-25
24-24
26-17
24-22
18-29
18-19
28-27
20-10
22-20
21-19
18-24
21-15
27-17
18-21
15-23
27-19
156.5Avg total
77.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.082.8168.8+3.275%
Season at home (2)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)83.081.5164.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.678.9156.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.682.2165.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.785.6160.2-10.911%
vs Similar (8)84.483.6168.0+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.875.3159.1+8.569%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
Tartu UlikoolRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Spisski Rytieri
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/10
ENBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
73.8Avg total
35.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.938.176.0-0.252%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.636.176.7+4.580%-
Last 30 away (19)36.439.275.6-2.737%-
Last 10 (10)35.138.773.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.470.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.938.171.0-5.222%-
vs Similar (6)35.241.877.0-6.733%-
vs Weaker (14)42.236.578.7+5.779%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H04/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A09/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A22/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
78.4Avg total
37.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.981.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.379.8+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.242.582.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.678.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.681.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.341.077.3-4.711%-
vs Similar (8)43.442.886.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.637.481.0+6.277%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.2
46.1%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
70.6%12.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.120.8
49.4%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
70.6%15.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
LLLLLLWLWW
Rigas Zelli
WWLWLLWLLW
#6
League position
#3
-5.9
Net rating
+0.3
101.1
Offensive rating
103.2
107.1
Defensive rating
103.0
46.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
30.7%
55.8%
Assist %
51.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 103.2Defence107.1 · 103.0Shooting46.4% · 48.2%3-point %31.2% · 30.7%Ball care15.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tartu Ulikool wins
1
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Rigas Zelli v Tartu Ulikool59-56
06/10/23Tartu Ulikool v Rigas Zelli63-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AValmiera Glass Via87-89 OT
12/10/24AVEF Riga71-74
08/10/24ASpisski Rytieri87-91
28/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo61-79
25/05/24HBC Kalev/Cramo61-82
22/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo67-73
13/05/24AParnu71-63
11/05/24HParnu75-78
09/05/24AParnu86-78
07/05/24HParnu80-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HKeila Coolbet87-80
05/10/24ABK Liepaja82-78
26/09/24AVentspils84-85
21/09/24HVEF Riga91-88
22/05/24AVEF Riga74-80
19/05/24HVEF Riga79-90
16/05/24AVEF Riga70-64
13/05/24HVEF Riga66-82
09/05/24AVEF Riga78-81
04/05/24HVentspils65-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game81.5-81.5
Point differential-2.5--2.5
Avg total160.5-160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%-50%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.089.083.0
Allowed / game82.884.081.5
Point differential+3.2+5.0+1.5
Avg total168.8173.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parnu110100%77.053.0+24.0
2 VEF Riga54180%80.667.6+13.0
3 BK Ogre54180%88.475.6+12.8
4 Valmiera Glass Via54180%80.471.0+9.4
5 Rigas Zelli43175%86.082.8+3.2
6 Ventspils32167%92.085.7+6.3
7 Rapla32167%83.377.7+5.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%78.078.0+0.0
9 Tal Tech32167%84.088.3-4.3
10 BK Liepaja51420%78.485.4-7.0
11 Tartu Ulikool2020%79.081.5-2.5
12 Keila Coolbet2020%81.086.5-5.5
13 Latvijas Universitate4040%68.885.0-16.2
14 Viimsi2020%66.087.0-21.0
15 Keila KK3030%78.0104.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool2019122677
Rigas Zelli1020182371
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