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Rigas Zelli vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-65
26-15 23-11 10-19 20-20
Position#3
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#6
Record10-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2024
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Tartu Ulikool
26 Dec 2026
RZE v TUL
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
RZE76
TUL78
28 Dec 2024
RZE79
TUL65
16 Mar 2024
RZE59
TUL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
W
96-66
96
66
+30
98avg 75
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
85avg 75
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
72-61
72
61
+11
60avg 75
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
84avg 75
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
84-70
84
70
+14
79avg 75
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
73-58
73
58
+15
67avg 75
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
89-42
89
42
+47
87avg 75
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
82-62
82
62
+20
78avg 75
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
87-51
87
51
+36
84avg 75
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Vef Riga Skola
#11
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
A22/12
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
28-18
28-13
26-10
18-17
23-20
20-17
28-22
20-21
13-15
21-14
18-11
20-21
12-12
18-18
33-15
29-19
18-17
19-15
18-19
23-11
12-17
22-20
16-10
15-12
28-9
27-13
19-8
21-12
29-10
17-20
15-20
25-11
20-11
17-14
25-15
19-20
20-18
18-7
24-12
144.5Avg total
83.6Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.569.2153.8+15.382%
Season at home (8)83.270.8154.0+12.5100%
Season away (9)85.767.9153.6+17.867%
Last 10 (10)83.660.9144.5+22.7100%
Last 5 (5)82.454.0136.4+28.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.479.4152.8-6.020%
vs Similar (6)88.883.3172.2+5.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.969.8154.7+15.178%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
88avg 72
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
81avg 72
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 72
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
86avg 72
A27/11
ENBL
Parnu
#11
W
94-91
94
91
+3
89avg 72
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 72
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
56avg 72
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
57avg 72
H10/12
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
102-81
102
81
+21
97avg 72
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 72
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-10
21-12
20-26
17-14
16-24
22-14
18-21
21-17
32-23
21-14
14-20
23-22
29-13
14-22
19-18
21-20
25-22
27-23
21-26
14-23
20-19
25-25
30-18
19-23
19-12
14-9
14-24
15-20
19-15
17-26
14-18
23-26
21-22
26-20
32-13
21-25
19-13
26-19
15-20
162.5Avg total
84.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.578.6162.1+4.971%
Season at home (7)83.679.7163.3+3.971%
Season away (7)83.477.6161.0+5.971%
Last 10 (10)84.478.1162.5+6.380%
Last 5 (5)80.678.0158.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.381.9155.2-8.610%
vs Similar (7)81.078.9159.9+2.171%
vs Weaker (13)85.877.1162.8+8.785%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +8.0+8.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
Rigas ZelliTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Vef Riga Skola
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A22/12
Latvian Cup
72.3Avg total
40.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.579.3+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.536.878.3+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)41.938.180.0+3.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.731.672.3+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.426.268.6+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.038.875.8-1.820%-
vs Similar (6)44.343.087.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.435.377.7+7.161%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#17
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A27/11
ENBL
Parnu
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/12
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
79.9Avg total
41.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.378.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.979.1+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.777.5+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.279.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.438.774.1-3.330%-
vs Similar (7)42.336.378.6+6.071%-
vs Weaker (13)42.339.181.4+3.269%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.7
54.6%
51.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.2
36.7%
32.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.312.8
69.9%
70.6%12.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.3
54.8%
51.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
32.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.114.9
70.6%
70.6%14.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
WWWWWWWWWW
Tartu Ulikool
WWLLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#6
+31.8
Net rating
+9.2
115.0
Offensive rating
111.3
83.2
Defensive rating
102.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
41.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.7%
3-point %
33.2%
70.2%
Assist %
58.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 111.3Defence83.2 · 102.1Shooting54.8% · 52.9%3-point %36.7% · 33.2%Ball care14.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rigas Zelli wins
2
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AVef Riga Skola81-57
18/12/24AParnu87-51
14/12/24HTal Tech82-62
10/12/24AKeila KK89-42
07/12/24HRapla73-58
30/11/24HBC Kalev/Cramo84-70
27/11/24ALatvijas Universitate83-66
17/11/24HValmiera Glass Via72-61
09/11/24HParnu89-76
01/11/24ARapla96-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AViimsi81-77
13/12/24AKeila Coolbet102-81
10/12/24HDziki Warszawa65-79
06/12/24HBK Ogre66-68
03/12/24HKeila KK89-85
30/11/24HParnu94-91
27/11/24ASpartak Pleven85-75
17/11/24HLatvijas Universitate88-74
13/11/24HRapla90-84 OT
08/11/24ATal Tech84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game84.583.285.7
Allowed / game69.270.867.9
Point differential+15.3+12.5+17.8
Avg total153.8154.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%75%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game83.583.683.4
Allowed / game78.679.777.6
Point differential+4.9+3.9+5.9
Avg total162.1163.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1614288%81.867.8+14.0
2 Rigas Zelli1714382%84.569.2+15.3
3 BC Kalev/Cramo129375%87.772.2+15.4
4 Tartu Ulikool1410471%83.578.6+4.9
5 Valmiera Glass Via1711665%81.775.4+6.3
6 BK Ogre159660%80.176.7+3.4
7 Keila Coolbet137654%79.582.2-2.6
8 BK Liepaja158753%79.979.1+0.7
9 Rapla157847%78.882.2-3.4
10 Ventspils146843%89.188.9+0.2
11 Tal Tech1771041%76.784.3-7.6
12 Parnu1441029%77.780.8-3.1
13 Viimsi1641225%72.883.7-10.9
14 Keila KK131128%71.691.8-20.2
15 Latvijas Universitate161156%70.684.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli2623102079
Tartu Ulikool1511192065
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