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TCU vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-48
42-25 40-23
Position#210
Record6-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game65.4
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#238
Record5-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
105-59
105
59
+46
H05/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
71-48
71
48
+23
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H28/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H08/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
59-22
46-37
30-29
37-22
35-37
41-34
31-34
33-42
39-22
32-26
27-34
25-35
31-32
35-34
37-29
39-43
38-41
36-42
30-28
28-21
136.9Avg total
71.5Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.565.4136.9+6.160%
Season at home (8)72.462.8135.1+9.675%
Season away (2)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)71.565.4136.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)66.469.8136.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.971.2137.1-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.573.6152.2+4.954%
vs Weaker (5)78.867.0145.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwest Indian
#675
W
93-35
93
35
+58
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/12
NCAA
USC
#215
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A16/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
60-15
33-20
33-47
45-32
39-34
30-38
41-26
38-33
47-30
38-29
36-35
28-29
33-29
43-36
34-23
40-39
21-47
42-42
53-41
27-42
144.1Avg total
76.6Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.270.2145.4+4.942%
Season at home (5)80.057.4137.4+22.680%
Season away (7)71.779.4151.1-7.714%
Last 10 (10)76.667.5144.1+9.150%
Last 5 (5)72.474.2146.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.778.9157.6-0.244%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.675.9151.5-0.342%
vs Weaker (9)73.964.1138.0+9.856%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +2.4+2.4
TCUMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H28/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H17/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
35.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.468.4+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.232.768.9+3.556%-
Last 30 away (12)33.234.367.5-1.225%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.866.5+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.865.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.633.363.9-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.533.971.4+3.554%-
vs Weaker (5)39.232.071.2+7.260%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwest Indian
#675
W
60-15
60
15
+45
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H08/12
NCAA
USC
#215
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A16/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A19/12
NCAA
72.4Avg total
39.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.770.3+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.629.867.4+7.964%-
Last 30 away (16)35.637.272.8-1.656%-
Last 10 (10)39.732.772.4+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.070.4+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.434.767.1-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.635.272.8+2.475%-
vs Weaker (9)39.230.970.1+8.367%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TCU wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HSouth Alabama58-49
08/12/24HVanderbilt74-83
06/12/24HXavier76-72
29/11/24AColorado State72-76 OT
28/11/24HSanta Clara52-69
20/11/24HAlcorn State71-48
15/11/24AMichigan64-76
13/11/24HTexas State76-71
09/11/24HFlorida Gulf Coast67-51
05/11/24HFlorida A&M105-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24AUC Riverside80-83
16/12/24AUSC63-89
08/12/24HUMKC74-62
05/12/24ANebraska O.76-65
30/11/24HCS Northridge69-72 OT
27/11/24HAbilene Christian85-59
25/11/24HSouthern Miss79-59
20/11/24ANorthwestern69-72
17/11/24ADenver78-79
12/11/24HNorthwest Indian93-35

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game71.572.468.0
Allowed / game65.462.876.0
Point differential+6.1+9.6-8.0
Avg total136.9135.1144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%50%
Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%80%14%
Points / game75.280.071.7
Allowed / game70.257.479.4
Point differential+4.9+22.6-7.7
Avg total145.4137.4151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%80%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State1110191%88.565.5+22.9
2 Cincinnati109190%79.059.5+19.5
3 Texas Tech119282%86.363.3+23.0
4 Brigham Young119282%85.664.7+20.9
5 Colorado119282%76.768.4+8.4
6 Arizona State119282%78.571.4+7.2
7 UCF Knights119282%80.874.0+6.8
8 West Virginia108280%78.565.6+12.9
9 Kansas108280%78.467.3+11.1
10 Houston118373%78.055.3+22.7
11 Utah Utes118373%86.766.8+19.9
12 Baylor107370%84.971.3+13.6
13 Oklahoma State107370%78.274.7+3.5
14 TCU106460%71.565.4+6.1
15 Arizona116555%85.567.6+17.9
16 Kansas State116555%78.171.0+7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona128467%80.771.1+9.6
2 Northern Colorado138562%83.175.2+7.8
3 Portland State127558%82.377.0+5.3
4 Montana137654%76.475.0+1.4
5 Weber State136746%78.867.9+10.8
6 Idaho State115645%74.064.8+9.2
7 Montana State125742%75.270.2+4.9
8 Idaho135838%75.275.5-0.3
9 East. Washington123925%75.080.2-5.2
10 Sacramento State112918%64.769.3-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU424082
Montana State252348
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