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TCU vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-49
30-28 28-21
Position#210
Record5-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.2
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#83
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A23/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
105-59
105
59
+46
H05/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
71-48
71
48
+23
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H28/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-43
35-45
59-22
46-37
30-29
37-22
35-37
41-34
31-34
33-42
39-22
32-26
27-34
25-35
31-32
35-34
37-29
39-43
38-41
36-42
142.2Avg total
72.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.067.2140.2+5.856%
Season at home (7)74.464.7139.1+9.771%
Season away (2)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)72.969.3142.2+3.650%
Last 5 (5)69.069.6138.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.673.2139.8-6.527%
vs Similar (14)78.774.3153.0+4.450%
vs Weaker (5)78.867.0145.8+11.8100%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H05/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#503
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
74-65 OT
74
65
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H08/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-38
47-36
30-24
40-40
26-38
28-26
42-32
33-34
52-25
43-36
39-30
45-33
25-41
38-23
29-32
32-29
39-30
37-44
38-32
43-40
140.9Avg total
74.2Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.266.7140.9+7.570%
Season at home (7)76.766.7143.4+10.071%
Season away (3)68.366.7135.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)74.266.7140.9+7.570%
Last 5 (5)75.667.6143.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.883.7155.5-11.817%
vs Similar (14)73.873.3147.1+0.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)73.067.1140.1+5.967%
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +4.5+4.5
TCUSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H28/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A29/11
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.869.1+1.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.633.069.6+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)33.734.868.5-1.223%-
Last 10 (10)36.432.368.7+4.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.666.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.633.864.5-3.218%-
vs Similar (14)37.634.472.1+3.250%-
vs Weaker (5)39.232.071.2+7.260%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#242
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H05/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#503
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A15/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.869.0-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.733.569.2+2.244%-
Last 30 away (12)32.136.768.8-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.266.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.067.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.037.870.8-4.817%-
vs Similar (14)34.634.368.9+0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)32.634.667.1-2.044%-
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TCU wins
0
South Alabama wins
No previous meetings.
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HVanderbilt74-83
06/12/24HXavier76-72
29/11/24AColorado State72-76 OT
28/11/24HSanta Clara52-69
20/11/24HAlcorn State71-48
15/11/24AMichigan64-76
13/11/24HTexas State76-71
09/11/24HFlorida Gulf Coast67-51
05/11/24HFlorida A&M105-59
23/03/24AUtah State72-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ATX A&M Commerce81-72
08/12/24HJacksonville State76-74
29/11/24HAlcorn State74-65 OT
27/11/24HWestern Illinois63-64
26/11/24HIncarnate Word84-63
19/11/24HSpring Hill95-61
16/11/24HMercer75-66
13/11/24AOle Miss54-64
09/11/24ANicholls State70-64
05/11/24HCentral Michigan70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %56%71%0%
Points / game73.074.468.0
Allowed / game67.264.776.0
Point differential+5.8+9.7-8.0
Avg total140.2139.1144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%50%
South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%71%67%
Points / game74.276.768.3
Allowed / game66.766.766.7
Point differential+7.5+10.0+1.7
Avg total140.9143.4135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State109190%87.464.9+22.5
2 Cincinnati98189%80.459.6+20.9
3 Brigham Young108280%83.965.5+18.4
4 West Virginia108280%78.565.6+12.9
5 Kansas108280%78.467.3+11.1
6 Colorado108280%76.569.7+6.8
7 Arizona State108280%78.672.3+6.3
8 UCF Knights108280%80.374.8+5.5
9 Utah Utes97278%86.364.6+21.8
10 Texas Tech97278%84.765.4+19.2
11 Baylor107370%84.971.3+13.6
12 Houston96367%77.056.4+20.6
13 Kansas State96367%80.469.3+11.1
14 Oklahoma State96367%79.676.2+3.3
15 TCU95456%73.067.2+5.8
16 Arizona94544%83.471.0+12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State129375%79.371.9+7.4
2 South Alabama107370%74.266.7+7.5
3 Texas State117464%76.967.6+9.3
4 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
5 Appalachian State106460%71.464.4+7.0
6 Troy106460%72.368.0+4.3
7 Marshall127558%78.272.6+5.7
8 Georgia Southern116555%74.578.4-3.8
9 Coastal Carolina105550%68.566.7+1.8
10 Georgia State104640%74.378.0-3.7
11 Southern Miss104640%72.578.5-6.0
12 Louisiana Monroe124833%73.071.6+1.4
13 Old Dominion113827%67.977.8-9.9
14 Louisiana Lafayette112918%66.378.1-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU302858
South Alabama282149
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