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Colorado State vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-72 (OT)
32-31 34-35 10-6
Position#49
Record3-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#210
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game62.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A16/03
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A20/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A16/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-33
42-45
25-33
36-41
27-14
40-28
11-27
33-29
39-22
43-34
30-32
40-38
36-34
38-31
26-45
43-39
26-27
39-38
28-26
39-47
139.5Avg total
71.1Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.772.3148.0+3.350%
Season at home (4)79.569.2148.8+10.275%
Season away (2)68.078.5146.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)71.168.4139.5+2.750%
Last 5 (5)74.475.6150.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)69.370.8140.1-1.541%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.063.6139.6+12.477%
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#180
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H09/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A23/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
105-59
105
59
+46
H05/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
71-48
71
48
+23
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
41-43
45-31
32-39
15-31
30-29
37-43
35-45
59-22
46-37
30-29
37-22
35-37
41-34
31-34
33-42
39-22
32-26
27-34
25-35
137.7Avg total
70.6Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.562.3134.8+10.267%
Season at home (5)74.259.6133.8+14.680%
Season away (1)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)70.667.1137.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)66.063.0129.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.971.8135.6-7.925%
vs Similar (15)78.575.2153.7+3.347%
vs Weaker (7)76.661.1137.7+15.4100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
Colorado StateTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A16/03
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A20/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
11-27
11
27
-16
A21/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H09/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A16/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A28/11
NCAA
58.4Avg total
29.1Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.962.1+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.129.764.7+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)29.430.159.5-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)29.129.358.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.232.862.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)30.931.662.5-0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.027.561.5+6.569%-
This opponent (TCU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#180
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
15-31
15
31
-16
A14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H28/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
35.4Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.669.3+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.132.969.9+4.253%-
Last 30 away (13)34.134.568.5-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.431.967.3+3.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.431.263.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.933.862.6-4.912%-
vs Similar (15)37.535.372.9+2.247%-
vs Weaker (7)39.929.669.4+10.371%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Colorado State wins
0
TCU wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24AWashington67-73
23/11/24HUC Riverside75-77 OT
16/11/24AOle Miss69-84
13/11/24HDenver74-65
09/11/24HTennessee State87-79 OT
05/11/24HNorth Dakota82-56
21/03/24ATexas44-56
20/03/24AVirginia67-42
16/03/24ANew Mexico61-74
15/03/24ANevada85-78
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HSanta Clara52-69
20/11/24HAlcorn State71-48
15/11/24AMichigan64-76
13/11/24HTexas State76-71
09/11/24HFlorida Gulf Coast67-51
05/11/24HFlorida A&M105-59
23/03/24AUtah State72-88
14/03/24AHouston45-60
13/03/24HOklahoma77-70
09/03/24HUCF Knights77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game75.779.568.0
Allowed / game72.369.278.5
Point differential+3.3+10.2-10.5
Avg total148.0148.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
TCU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game72.574.264.0
Allowed / game62.359.676.0
Point differential+10.2+14.6-12.0
Avg total134.8133.8140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%94.265.3+28.8
2 Nevada76186%78.965.3+13.6
3 Boise State75271%81.668.1+13.4
4 New Mexico75271%85.075.0+10.0
5 Wyoming75271%74.673.3+1.3
6 UNLV64267%76.272.0+4.2
7 Grand Canyon64267%79.376.2+3.2
8 San Diego State53260%73.863.6+10.2
9 Colorado State63350%75.772.3+3.3
10 San Jose State94544%70.368.4+1.9
11 Fresno State73443%75.477.7-2.3
12 Air Force72529%66.767.3-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cincinnati660100%85.356.0+29.3
2 Kansas660100%82.268.3+13.8
3 Arizona State76186%80.374.7+5.6
4 Utah Utes65183%90.861.0+29.8
5 Brigham Young65183%90.065.8+24.2
6 Texas Tech65183%88.365.2+23.2
7 Iowa State65183%86.865.0+21.8
8 Baylor75271%85.073.0+12.0
9 Kansas State75271%76.166.1+10.0
10 Colorado75271%76.772.3+4.4
11 UCF Knights75271%82.180.4+1.7
12 Houston64267%80.357.0+23.3
13 TCU64267%72.562.3+10.2
14 West Virginia64267%77.769.0+8.7
15 Oklahoma State64267%81.779.2+2.5
16 Arizona63350%86.572.2+14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Colorado State32341076
TCU3135672
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