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Tenerife vs Bilbao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game95.6
SpainACBRound 14· Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tenerife v Bilbao
27 Dec 2026
TEN v BIL
upcoming
29 May 2026
TEN82
BIL87
04 Jan 2025
TEN86
BIL75
13 Apr 2024
TEN101
BIL84
07 Feb 2023
TEN78
BIL66
06 Nov 2022
TEN73
BIL57
25 Sep 2021
TEN89
BIL79
21 Apr 2021
TEN86
BIL67
21 Oct 2017
TEN83
BIL69
07 May 2017
TEN80
BIL76
15 May 2016
TEN77
BIL71
30 Dec 2014
TEN68
BIL85
18 May 2014
TEN96
BIL85
21 Apr 2013
TEN104
BIL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tenerife win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TenerifeSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H27/09
ACB
Turk Telekom
#27
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A03/10
ACB
London Lions
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A06/10
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A11/10
ACB
Maxima Roma
#20
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-26
27-24
15-13
24-17
20-20
21-19
17-19
21-23
18-16
20-16
21-20
19-18
23-28
16-19
19-24
16-13
28-20
22-24
24-20
26-14
19-19
20-15
31-23
25-18
14-18
15-24
28-17
14-22
17-21
43-23
30-28
20-19
29-14
30-17
27-26
24-25
24-16
17-25
17-14
167.4Avg total
87.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.677.2164.8+10.480%
Season at home (3)89.378.0167.3+11.367%
Season away (2)85.076.0161.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.979.5167.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)94.079.6173.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.295.5182.7-8.330%
vs Similar (9)83.181.9165.0+1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.785.5178.2+7.364%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
A28/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
16-17
27-20
18-28
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
26-24
22-19
24-31
28-29
183.3Avg total
91.6Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.295.6190.8-0.460%
Season at home (3)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)92.5111.5204.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)91.691.7183.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)93.094.2187.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.094.1175.1-13.112%
vs Similar (8)90.686.2176.9+4.475%
vs Weaker (14)90.982.8173.7+8.179%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
TenerifeBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H27/09
ACB
Turk Telekom
#27
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/10
ACB
London Lions
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/10
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A11/10
ACB
Maxima Roma
#20
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#15
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/10
Eurocup
80.4Avg total
41.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.183.7+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)41.343.384.6-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.580.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.279.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.745.588.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (9)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.940.684.5+3.364%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#49
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/10
Champions League
84.8Avg total
42.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.183.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.483.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.043.783.7-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.684.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.087.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.846.082.8-9.212%-
vs Similar (8)41.141.582.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)44.740.385.0+4.464%-
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.1
42.2%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.6
79.4%
75.7%16.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
55.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.2
37.7%
36.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws25.118.6
74.1%
75.7%18.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tenerife
WWWWWWLWWL
Bilbao
LWLWWWLWLL
#2
League position
#9
+10.3
Net rating
-0.1
105.2
Offensive rating
100.2
94.9
Defensive rating
100.3
57.9%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
42.2%
3-point %
37.7%
66.4%
Assist %
66.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 100.2Defence94.9 · 100.3Shooting57.9% · 53.8%3-point %42.2% · 37.7%Ball care13.6% · 13.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Tenerife   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tenerife wins
2
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
29/05/26Tenerife v Bilbao82-87
17/01/26Bilbao v Tenerife95-78
16/03/25Bilbao v Tenerife65-75
04/01/25Tenerife v Bilbao86-75
13/04/24Tenerife v Bilbao101-84
29/10/23Bilbao v Tenerife93-94 OT
26/04/23Bilbao v Tenerife60-83
07/03/23Bilbao v Tenerife72-74
07/02/23Tenerife v Bilbao78-66
06/11/22Tenerife v Bilbao73-57
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HVenezia82-80
25/10/26HObradoiro CAB106-76
21/10/26AFrankfurt104-94
18/10/26HBaskonia82-77
14/10/26HMaxima Roma96-71
11/10/26AMurcia90-77
06/10/26ALondon Lions77-89
03/10/26AUnicaja80-75
30/09/26HTurk Telekom82-75
27/09/26HBasket Zaragoza80-81
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26AAlba Berlin100-103
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
26/09/26HManresa107-92
05/06/26HValencia71-88
03/06/26AValencia80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tenerife
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game87.689.385.0
Allowed / game77.278.076.0
Point differential+10.4+11.3+9.0
Avg total164.8167.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game95.297.092.5
Allowed / game95.685.0111.5
Point differential-0.4+12.0-19.0
Avg total190.8182.0204.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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