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Alabama vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 100-75
0-0 63-33 0-0 37-42
Position#48
Record20-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game83.9
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#257
Record14-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alabama v Mississippi St.
25 Feb 2026
ALAB100
MISS75
25 Feb 2025
ALAB111
MISS73
03 Feb 2024
ALAB99
MISS67
10 Mar 2023
ALAB72
MISS49
25 Jan 2023
ALAB66
MISS63
16 Feb 2022
ALAB80
MISS75
12 Mar 2021
ALAB85
MISS48
23 Jan 2021
ALAB81
MISS73
08 Jan 2020
ALAB90
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-92
96
92
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
93-74
93
74
+19
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
117-115 OT
117
115
+2
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-44
0-0
50-37
0-0
39-36
0-0
34-43
0-0
42-29
0-0
48-35
0-0
36-46
0-0
41-54
0-0
46-46
0-0
54-51
0-0
37-41
0-0
59-51
0-0
32-30
0-0
61-44
0-0
45-32
0-0
44-43
0-0
47-57
0-0
48-38
0-0
43-40
0-0
47-43
176.8Avg total
90.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)92.683.9176.5+8.774%
Season at home (18)93.481.9175.4+11.572%
Season away (9)91.087.8178.8+3.278%
Last 10 (10)90.886.0176.8+4.880%
Last 5 (5)97.087.8184.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.492.4170.8-14.020%
vs Similar (15)93.687.1180.7+6.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)96.373.5169.8+22.8100%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
68-88
68
88
-20
H07/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H19/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-27
0-0
37-41
0-0
33-44
0-0
35-44
0-0
30-51
0-0
26-37
0-0
44-21
0-0
36-45
0-0
35-42
0-0
44-42
0-0
30-43
0-0
38-45
0-0
28-39
0-0
36-34
0-0
47-28
0-0
43-50
0-0
49-33
0-0
42-52
0-0
39-46
0-0
50-51
156.7Avg total
75.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.978.7157.6+0.252%
Season at home (16)77.174.8151.9+2.256%
Season away (11)81.584.4165.9-2.845%
Last 10 (10)75.281.5156.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)80.484.2164.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.881.9158.7-5.135%
vs Similar (11)80.375.5155.8+4.764%
vs Weaker (2)88.562.0150.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -5.4-5.4
AlabamaMississippi St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/02
NCAA
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.681.8+6.663%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.835.982.7+10.975%-
Last 30 away (10)39.141.080.1-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.443.683.0-4.220%-
vs Similar (15)46.039.385.3+6.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.932.075.9+11.990%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H12/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H19/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
36.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.273.3+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.134.870.9+1.356%-
Last 30 away (12)38.638.477.0+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.473.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.876.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.937.974.8-1.035%-
vs Similar (11)36.734.771.5+2.055%-
vs Weaker (2)41.030.571.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alabama wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26Mississippi St. v Alabama82-97
26/02/25Alabama v Mississippi St.111-73
30/01/25Mississippi St. v Alabama84-88
04/02/24Alabama v Mississippi St.99-67
14/01/24Mississippi St. v Alabama74-82
10/03/23Alabama v Mississippi St.72-49
26/01/23Alabama v Mississippi St.66-63
29/12/22Mississippi St. v Alabama67-78
17/02/22Alabama v Mississippi St.80-75
15/01/22Mississippi St. v Alabama78-76
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ALSU90-83
19/02/26HArkansas117-115 OT
15/02/26HSouth Carolina89-75
12/02/26AOle Miss93-74
07/02/26AAuburn96-92
05/02/26HTexas A&M100-97
01/02/26AFlorida77-100
28/01/26HMissouri90-64
25/01/26HTennessee73-79
17/01/26AOklahoma83-81
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ASouth Carolina89-97
19/02/26HAuburn91-85
14/02/26AOle Miss90-78
12/02/26HTennessee64-73
07/02/26HArkansas68-88
31/01/26AMissouri79-84
29/01/26ALSU80-66
24/01/26HVanderbilt56-88
22/01/26ATexas A&M68-88
18/01/26HOle Miss67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLWWWW72%
AwayWLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %74%72%78%
Points / game92.693.491.0
Allowed / game83.981.987.8
Point differential+8.7+11.5+3.2
Avg total176.5175.4178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeLLLLW56%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %52%56%45%
Points / game78.977.181.5
Allowed / game78.774.884.4
Point differential+0.2+2.2-2.8
Avg total157.6151.9165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%12%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida2822679%86.371.2+15.1
2 Vanderbilt2822679%87.273.9+13.3
3 Arkansas2720774%89.978.3+11.6
4 Alabama2720774%92.683.9+8.7
5 Tennessee2820871%80.569.1+11.3
6 Texas A&M2719870%88.978.2+10.7
7 Georgia2819968%89.878.8+11.1
8 Missouri2819968%80.075.0+5.0
9 Kentucky28181064%80.972.4+8.5
10 Texas28171161%84.675.7+8.9
11 Auburn28151354%83.579.7+3.8
12 LSU27141352%81.076.3+4.6
13 Mississippi St.27141352%78.978.7+0.2
14 Oklahoma28141450%82.678.1+4.6
15 South Carolina28121643%76.276.2-0.1
16 Ole Miss27111641%74.274.7-0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alabama063037100
Mississippi St.03304275
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