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Tennessee vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-57
34-25 41-32
Position#62
Record21-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game56.7
vs
Position#112
Record19-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tennessee v Arkansas
16 Jan 2027
TENN v ARKA
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
TENN76
ARKA52
28 Feb 2023
TENN75
ARKA57
05 Mar 2022
TENN78
ARKA74
06 Jan 2021
TENN79
ARKA74
11 Feb 2020
TENN82
ARKA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H26/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A02/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H16/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-22
35-19
40-28
42-43
21-27
33-40
23-19
23-24
34-32
31-34
32-44
53-42
29-29
39-30
19-39
35-27
31-31
32-37
38-26
47-19
128.4Avg total
67.2Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.856.7128.6+15.172%
Season at home (18)74.753.9128.7+20.883%
Season away (11)67.161.3128.4+5.855%
Last 10 (10)67.261.2128.4+6.050%
Last 5 (5)71.064.8135.8+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.368.3141.7+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)71.556.1127.7+15.470%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-14
22-26
33-27
31-40
42-34
39-36
36-27
29-36
41-40
47-33
25-34
39-36
33-24
23-38
37-31
47-34
43-23
54-42
37-28
46-58
140.3Avg total
74.2Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.366.2141.5+9.066%
Season at home (19)77.562.5140.1+15.084%
Season away (10)71.073.3144.3-2.330%
Last 10 (10)74.266.1140.3+8.160%
Last 5 (5)76.869.6146.4+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.782.7156.3-9.00%
vs Similar (16)74.166.6140.6+7.562%
vs Weaker (11)76.962.4139.3+14.582%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -0.2-0.2
TennesseeArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H26/01
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A09/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H11/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H16/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H25/02
NCAA
59.9Avg total
30.2Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.626.860.4+6.867%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.125.360.4+9.779%-
Last 30 away (11)31.229.460.5+1.845%-
Last 10 (10)30.229.759.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.863.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.730.765.3+4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)33.526.459.9+7.170%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
W
38-14
38
14
+24
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A25/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
36.5Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.464.8+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.329.464.7+5.868%-
Last 30 away (11)32.732.264.9+0.564%-
Last 10 (10)36.528.264.7+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.063.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.335.369.7-1.033%-
vs Similar (16)32.731.163.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker (11)36.728.164.8+8.691%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tennessee wins
2
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22Tennessee v Arkansas78-74
19/02/22Arkansas v Tennessee58-48
07/01/21Tennessee v Arkansas79-74
27/02/20Arkansas v Tennessee86-69
12/02/20Tennessee v Arkansas82-61
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HSouth Carolina85-45
22/02/23ATexas A&M63-68
18/02/23AKentucky54-66
16/02/23HAlabama68-59
11/02/23HMissouri85-86
09/02/23AVanderbilt65-66
04/02/23HAuburn46-43
02/02/23AFlorida54-67
28/01/23HTexas82-71
26/01/23HGeorgia70-41
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AAlabama83-86
22/02/23HGeorgia97-65
18/02/23HFlorida84-65
16/02/23ATexas A&M56-62
11/02/23HMississippi St.64-70
08/02/23AKentucky88-73
04/02/23ASouth Carolina65-63
01/02/23HTexas A&M81-70
28/01/23ABaylor64-67
25/01/23HLSU60-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW72%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %72%83%55%
Points / game71.874.767.1
Allowed / game56.753.961.3
Point differential+15.1+20.8+5.8
Avg total128.6128.7128.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%61%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%9%
Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL66%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %66%84%30%
Points / game75.377.571.0
Allowed / game66.262.573.3
Point differential+9.0+15.0-2.3
Avg total141.5140.1144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%74%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2925486%83.369.1+14.2
2 Texas2922776%79.268.8+10.4
3 Tennessee2921872%71.856.7+15.1
4 Texas A&M2921872%73.765.9+7.8
5 Missouri2921872%80.074.7+5.3
6 Kentucky2920969%75.067.2+7.8
7 Arkansas29191066%75.366.2+9.0
8 Auburn29191066%72.165.9+6.2
9 Mississippi St.29181162%65.260.2+5.0
10 Vanderbilt29161355%72.071.9+0.1
11 Georgia30161453%69.071.9-2.8
12 Florida30151550%71.868.7+3.1
13 Oklahoma29141548%68.067.6+0.5
14 LSU29131645%67.270.0-2.8
15 Ole Miss29111838%67.868.9-1.0
16 South Carolina29101934%64.473.4-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee344175
Arkansas253257
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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