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Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#55
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game61.3
vs
Position#110
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tennessee v Arkansas
16 Jan 2027
TENN v ARKA
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
TENN76
ARKA52
28 Feb 2023
TENN75
ARKA57
05 Mar 2022
TENN78
ARKA74
06 Jan 2021
TENN79
ARKA74
11 Feb 2020
TENN82
ARKA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-95
62
95
-33
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#187
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
60-54
25-32
47-30
31-31
37-44
51-32
27-24
36-31
43-41
34-33
42-29
26-48
36-47
34-31
56-28
33-24
37-23
42-37
41-41
145.2Avg total
76.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season at home (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.069.2145.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)76.268.2144.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.876.0146.8-5.250%
vs Similar (15)78.975.1153.9+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.560.7141.2+19.791%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
97-78
97
78
+19
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
88-109
88
109
-21
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
106-61
106
61
+45
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
45-40
37-36
42-43
41-39
45-36
54-36
43-42
43-42
51-46
43-54
45-55
47-28
59-33
27-46
45-45
39-30
37-23
43-27
36-39
166.3Avg total
87.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.267.8151.0+15.575%
Season at home (3)87.060.0147.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)87.379.0166.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.298.6181.8-15.420%
vs Similar (12)89.881.8171.6+8.175%
vs Weaker (13)91.376.2167.5+15.292%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +4.6+4.6
TennesseeArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#187
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.767.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.729.867.5+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)33.934.268.1-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.166.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.668.4-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.838.573.2-3.850%-
vs Similar (15)36.533.269.7+3.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.927.163.0+8.891%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/11
NCAA
78.8Avg total
41.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.179.7+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.635.678.2+6.979%-
Last 30 away (11)39.742.582.2-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.778.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.648.886.4-11.220%-
vs Similar (12)43.238.081.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker (13)41.534.275.6+7.385%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tennessee wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Arkansas v Tennessee86-75
04/01/25Tennessee v Arkansas76-52
15/02/24Arkansas v Tennessee63-92
01/03/23Tennessee v Arkansas75-57
05/03/22Tennessee v Arkansas78-74
19/02/22Arkansas v Tennessee58-48
07/01/21Tennessee v Arkansas79-74
27/02/20Arkansas v Tennessee86-69
12/02/20Tennessee v Arkansas82-61
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTennessee State83-78
10/11/26HRadford70-47
03/11/26HWofford90-59
29/03/26AMichigan62-95
28/03/26AIowa State76-62
22/03/26AVirginia79-72
20/03/26HMiami (Ohio)78-56
13/03/26AVanderbilt68-75
12/03/26HAuburn72-62
07/03/26HVanderbilt82-86
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCentral Arkansas79-66
12/11/26HRobert Morris76-53
08/11/26AVirginia72-91
04/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-61
27/03/26AArizona88-109
22/03/26HHigh Point94-88
19/03/26HHawaii97-78
15/03/26HVanderbilt86-75
14/03/26HOle Miss93-90 OT
14/03/26HOklahoma82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game61.361.3-
Point differential+19.7+19.7-
Avg total142.3142.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.287.072.0
Allowed / game67.860.091.0
Point differential+15.5+27.0-19.0
Avg total151.0147.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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