Terceira vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 14:30

Final 63-67

17-22 13-13 16-20 17-12

Position#9

Record9-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game84.0

Terceira

Lusitania 🏆

Position#7

Record7-14

FormLWLLL

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game90.7

LPBRound 22

Other2017-18

Meetings · Terceira v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Terceira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Terceira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

79-88

-9

A16/12

LPB

Ovarense

91-78

+13

A22/12

LPB

Benfica

76-120

120

-44

A06/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

97-60

+37

H13/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

71-95

-24

H14/01

LPB

FC Porto

84-89

-5

A20/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

73-89

-16

A27/01

LPB

Galitos

61-65

-4

A03/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

66-93

-27

A02/03

LPB

Vitoria

98-92

A05/03

LPB

23-21

14-20

15-19

27-28

17-17

15-18

25-18

34-25

17-31

15-18

28-35

16-36

21-13

13-14

35-8

28-25

20-25

17-20

17-26

17-24

25-23

26-31

15-15

18-20

17-23

22-22

7-20

27-24

18-13

14-21

15-14

14-17

14-19

13-31

16-24

23-19

24-31

18-18

27-27

29-16

166.5Avg total

79.6Scored

86.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	77.6	84.0	161.6	-6.3	43%
Season at home (10)	76.3	79.4	155.7	-3.1	50%
Season away (11)	78.8	88.1	166.9	-9.3	36%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	86.9	166.5	-7.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	85.6	162.0	-9.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	66.7	87.6	154.3	-20.9	16%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	79.4	86.8	166.2	-7.3	44%
vs Weaker (2)	90.5	70.5	161.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

113-115 OT

113

115

-2

A06/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

92-97

-5

H13/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

87-74

+13

H14/01

LPB

Vitoria

86-83

A20/01

LPB

Oliveirense

78-100

100

-22

A26/01

LPB

Galitos

66-89

-23

A28/01

LPB

Benfica

100-97 OT

100

A04/02

LPB

Ovarense

65-73

-8

A10/02

LPB

FC Porto

65-100

100

-35

A17/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

81-86

-5

A05/03

LPB

23-22

15-19

21-29

28-17

27-16

23-33

4-22

38-26

13-21

24-17

28-10

22-26

16-31

18-23

27-18

25-11

15-29

16-21

19-20

28-30

24-23

11-34

12-18

19-14

20-24

25-12

18-21

18-24

17-18

10-11

15-27

23-17

16-23

11-23

17-29

21-25

17-27

24-19

17-16

23-24

174.7Avg total

83.3Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	85.7	90.7	176.4	-5.0	33%
Season at home (11)	87.0	88.7	175.7	-1.7	27%
Season away (10)	84.3	92.8	177.1	-8.5	40%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	91.4	174.7	-8.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	89.0	164.4	-13.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	83.9	94.6	178.4	-10.7	11%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	84.7	89.5	174.3	-4.8	27%
vs Weaker (6)	94.2	92.0	186.2	+2.2	67%

This opponent (Terceira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TerceiraLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.1	22.1	40.2	-4.0	32%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.4	21.4	39.7	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.4	23.0	40.4	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	21.6	40.1	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.1	44.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	24.1	44.1	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.0	24.5	45.5	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	22.7	45.3	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.7	20.2	36.9	-3.5	21%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.2	18.4	36.5	-0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.8	21.4	37.1	-5.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.6	43.2	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	15.6	20.5	36.1	-4.9	6%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	15.5	31.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.2	41.3	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.9	38.9	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.8	36.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.9	20.7	41.5	+0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	33%	-

TerceiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

37-41

-4

A16/12

LPB

Ovarense

32-35

-3

A22/12

LPB

Benfica

32-49

-17

A06/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

34-27

H13/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

37-45

-8

H14/01

LPB

FC Porto

51-54

-3

A20/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

39-45

-6

A27/01

LPB

Galitos

32-34

-2

A03/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

27-50

-23

A02/03

LPB

Vitoria

42-49

-7

A05/03

LPB

79.2Avg total

36.3Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	34.9	42.3	77.1	-7.4	25%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	36.5	39.7	76.3	-3.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.8	43.9	77.7	-10.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	42.9	79.2	-6.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	46.4	84.6	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	33.0	43.5	76.5	-10.5	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.7	42.2	79.9	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	32.5	70.5	+5.5	100%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#11

38-41

-3

A06/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

50-49

H13/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

37-38

-1

H14/01

LPB

Vitoria

34-54

-20

A20/01

LPB

Oliveirense

31-50

-19

A26/01

LPB

Galitos

35-57

-22

A28/01

LPB

Benfica

45-36

A04/02

LPB

Ovarense

27-29

-2

A10/02

LPB

FC Porto

27-46

-19

A17/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

41-46

-5

A05/03

LPB

81.1Avg total

36.5Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	44.3	85.5	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	43.6	87.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	45.1	83.0	-7.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	44.6	81.1	-8.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	42.8	77.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.4	43.6	83.0	-4.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.9	45.2	87.1	-3.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.0	43.2	85.2	-1.2	17%	-

This opponent (Terceira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	25%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.4	20.4	41.7	+1.0	45%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	23.4	40.5	-6.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.0	21.9	38.9	-4.9	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.8	24.3	45.1	-3.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	15.0	39.5	+9.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	23.6	44.1	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.2	38.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.4	46.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.2	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	23.0	51.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	23.2	46.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	24.2	48.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	21.4	45.9	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	24.1	22.7	46.7	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.3	23.0	48.3	+2.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.4	21%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.9	39.6	78.5	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	46.1	83.8	-8.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	44.0	87.3	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.2	77.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	34.5	43.7	78.2	-9.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.8	44.6	86.3	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	52.5	38.0	90.5	+14.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	45.8	89.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	45.9	89.4	-2.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	45.6	89.5	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	42.4	84.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.0	79.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	42.3	49.2	91.6	-6.9	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.9	44.3	87.2	-1.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.8	44.2	92.0	+3.7	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Terceira wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
09/12/17	Lusitania v Terceira	75-80
12/02/12	Terceira v Lusitania	67-79
12/11/11	Lusitania v Terceira	90-87

Terceiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/18	A	Vitoria	98-92
02/03/18	A	CAB Madeira	66-93
03/02/18	A	Galitos	61-65
27/01/18	A	Barreirense	73-89
20/01/18	A	FC Porto	84-89
14/01/18	H	Illiabum	71-95
13/01/18	H	Electrico FC	97-60
06/01/18	A	Benfica	76-120
22/12/17	A	Ovarense	91-78
16/12/17	A	Oliveirense	79-88

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/18	A	CAB Madeira	81-86
17/02/18	A	FC Porto	65-100
10/02/18	A	Ovarense	65-73
04/02/18	A	Benfica	100-97 OT
28/01/18	A	Galitos	66-89
26/01/18	A	Oliveirense	78-100
20/01/18	A	Vitoria	86-83
14/01/18	H	Electrico FC	87-74
13/01/18	H	Illiabum	92-97
06/01/18	A	Barreirense	113-115 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Terceira

LPB 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	43%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	43%	50%	36%
Points / game	77.6	76.3	78.8
Allowed / game	84.0	79.4	88.1
Point differential	-6.3	-3.1	-9.3
Avg total	161.6	155.7	166.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	20%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	33%
Home	LLLLW	27%
Away	LWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	33%	27%	40%
Points / game	85.7	87.0	84.3
Allowed / game	90.7	88.7	92.8
Point differential	-5.0	-1.7	-8.5
Avg total	176.4	175.7	177.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	25% (4)	67% (6)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	22	19	3	86%	91.8	78.1	+13.6
2	Oliveirense	21	17	4	81%	86.8	73.9	+12.9
3	FC Porto	21	16	5	76%	89.9	77.4	+12.5
4	CAB Madeira	22	13	9	59%	84.3	82.4	+1.9
5	Vitoria	21	12	9	57%	87.6	87.7	-0.1
6	Illiabum	22	11	11	50%	82.9	82.3	+0.5
7	Ovarense	22	10	12	45%	78.0	78.0	+0.1
8	Terceira	21	9	12	43%	77.6	84.0	-6.3
9	Galitos	21	8	13	38%	76.3	79.4	-3.0
10	Lusitania	21	7	14	33%	85.7	90.7	-5.0
11	Barreirense	21	3	18	14%	79.0	89.3	-10.3
12	Electrico FC	21	3	18	14%	73.9	91.4	-17.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Terceira	17	13	16	17	63
Lusitania	22	13	20	12	67

← all games of the day

Terceira vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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