Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 97-100 (OT)

24-20 12-25 21-18 24-18 16-19

Position#2

Record15-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game76.9

Benfica

Lusitania 🏆

Position#7

Record6-11

FormLWWLL

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game91.1

LPBRound 18

Other2017-18

Meetings · Benfica v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#12

99-78

+21

A01/12

LPB

Saratov

#18

71-110

110

-39

A05/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Barreirense

#11

93-85

H10/12

LPB

Illiabum

#10

80-67

+13

A13/12

LPB

Vitoria

98-100 OT

100

-2

A16/12

LPB

Oliveirense

81-66

+15

H29/12

LPB

Terceira

120-76

120

+44

H06/01

LPB

FC Porto

81-89

-8

A13/01

LPB

Galitos

91-66

+25

H20/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-72

A26/01

LPB

29-21

21-20

24-15

25-22

16-31

14-25

20-28

21-26

15-22

28-19

28-15

22-29

25-15

16-22

22-12

17-18

19-15

18-26

15-29

32-14

20-19

17-8

22-21

22-18

31-17

18-15

35-28

36-16

16-20

13-33

37-16

15-20

19-14

28-15

21-23

23-14

20-21

14-20

18-13

24-18

169.9Avg total

89.0Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	89.6	76.9	166.5	+12.8	88%
Season at home (8)	93.5	75.2	168.8	+18.2	100%
Season away (9)	86.2	78.3	164.6	+7.9	78%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	80.9	169.9	+8.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	73.8	163.6	+16.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	80.0	88.5	168.5	-8.5	36%
vs Similar (6)	76.2	72.2	148.3	+4.0	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	93.0	77.5	170.5	+15.5	92%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#12

91-90

A26/11

LPB

Galitos

92-98

-6

H01/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-100

100

-3

H02/12

LPB

Terceira

75-80

-5

H09/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

113-115 OT

113

115

-2

A06/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

92-97

-5

H13/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

87-74

+13

H14/01

LPB

Vitoria

86-83

A20/01

LPB

Oliveirense

78-100

100

-22

A26/01

LPB

Galitos

66-89

-23

A28/01

LPB

25-22

19-26

26-25

21-17

21-27

15-17

29-17

27-37

27-31

22-20

15-19

33-30

16-18

18-21

23-21

18-20

23-22

15-19

21-29

28-17

27-16

23-33

4-22

38-26

13-21

24-17

28-10

22-26

16-31

18-23

27-18

25-11

15-29

16-21

19-20

28-30

24-23

11-34

12-18

19-14

180.3Avg total

87.7Scored

92.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	87.6	91.1	178.6	-3.5	35%
Season at home (11)	87.0	88.7	175.7	-1.7	27%
Season away (6)	88.7	95.3	184.0	-6.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	92.6	180.3	-4.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	88.6	170.4	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	81.1	95.2	176.3	-14.1	0%
vs Similar (13)	86.5	91.1	177.6	-4.5	31%
vs Weaker (7)	94.4	88.1	182.6	+6.3	71%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	23.5	43.4	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.1	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	23.5	44.9	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	25.0	45.8	-4.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	24.0	44.7	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.6	24.8	46.5	-3.2	23%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.9	21.9	44.7	+1.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-4.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.3	22.0	38.3	-5.7	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.7	17.2	32.8	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	23.1	40.9	-5.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	23.1	41.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.6	44.0	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.6	24.5	43.1	-5.9	10%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.5	21.5	43.0	-0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	43%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#12

50-41

A01/12

LPB

Saratov

#18

30-56

-26

A05/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Barreirense

#11

43-41

H10/12

LPB

Illiabum

#10

41-37

A13/12

LPB

Vitoria

37-41

-4

A16/12

LPB

Oliveirense

37-27

+10

H29/12

LPB

Terceira

49-32

+17

H06/01

LPB

FC Porto

29-53

-24

A13/01

LPB

Galitos

47-29

+18

H20/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

34-41

-7

A26/01

LPB

79.5Avg total

39.7Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.2	79.1	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	38.1	80.5	+4.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.7	42.1	77.8	-6.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.8	79.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.4	75.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.1	45.5	81.6	-9.5	9%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.2	36.5	70.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.3	37.5	80.8	+5.8	69%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#12

44-48

-4

A26/11

LPB

Galitos

36-44

-8

H01/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

49-51

-2

H02/12

LPB

Terceira

34-39

-5

H09/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

38-41

-3

A06/01

LPB

Illiabum

#10

50-49

H13/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#12

37-38

-1

H14/01

LPB

Vitoria

34-54

-20

A20/01

LPB

Oliveirense

31-50

-19

A26/01

LPB

Galitos

35-57

-22

A28/01

LPB

85.9Avg total

38.8Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	45.7	87.2	-4.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	43.6	87.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	48.1	86.7	-9.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	47.1	85.9	-8.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	49.6	87.0	-12.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.6	47.5	86.1	-8.9	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.1	46.4	89.5	-3.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.7	41.9	84.6	+0.9	29%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	20.2	46.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	73%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.5	20.1	44.5	+4.4	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.9	23.7	43.6	-3.8	10%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	20.9	43.9	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	19.5	43.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.7	45%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.2	18.8	42.9	+5.4	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	23.2	47.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	24.2	48.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.2	21.9	46.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	22.8	48.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.4	47.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.6	24.0	46.6	-1.4	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	24.2	23.0	47.2	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.9	22.3	48.1	+3.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	39.7	85.3	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.1	40.5	87.6	+6.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.2	39.0	83.2	+5.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	39.5	87.4	+8.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	37.4	88.0	+13.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	43.9	42.9	86.8	+1.0	45%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.0	35.7	77.7	+6.3	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	48.6	38.8	87.5	+9.8	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	45.1	89.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	45.9	89.4	-2.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.9	44.3	89.2	+0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	42.7	89.0	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.0	83.4	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.5	47.7	90.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.5	44.7	88.2	-1.2	23%	-
vs Weaker (7)	48.0	42.3	90.3	+5.7	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/17	Lusitania v Benfica	89-95
18/02/17	Benfica v Lusitania	100-65
03/12/16	Lusitania v Benfica	82-91
30/04/16	Lusitania v Benfica	62-84
24/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64
23/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	96-61
30/01/16	Benfica v Lusitania	83-65
14/11/15	Lusitania v Benfica	67-69
28/02/15	Benfica v Lusitania	97-87
29/11/14	Lusitania v Benfica	53-86

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/18	A	CAB Madeira	76-72
20/01/18	H	Galitos	91-66
13/01/18	A	FC Porto	81-89
06/01/18	H	Terceira	120-76
29/12/17	H	Oliveirense	81-66
16/12/17	A	Vitoria	98-100 OT
13/12/17	A	Illiabum	80-67
10/12/17	H	Barreirense	93-85
05/12/17	A	Saratov	71-110
01/12/17	A	Electrico FC	99-78

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/18	A	Galitos	66-89
26/01/18	A	Oliveirense	78-100
20/01/18	A	Vitoria	86-83
14/01/18	H	Electrico FC	87-74
13/01/18	H	Illiabum	92-97
06/01/18	A	Barreirense	113-115 OT
09/12/17	H	Terceira	75-80
02/12/17	H	CAB Madeira	97-100
01/12/17	H	Galitos	92-98
26/11/17	A	Electrico FC	91-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	88%	100%	78%
Points / game	89.6	93.5	86.2
Allowed / game	76.9	75.2	78.3
Point differential	+12.8	+18.2	+7.9
Avg total	166.5	168.8	164.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	62%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Lusitania

LPB 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	35%
Home	LLLLW	27%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	11	6
Win %	35%	27%	50%
Points / game	87.6	87.0	88.7
Allowed / game	91.1	88.7	95.3
Point differential	-3.5	-1.7	-6.7
Avg total	178.6	175.7	184.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	25% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	17	15	2	88%	89.6	76.9	+12.8
2	Oliveirense	18	14	4	78%	86.1	74.4	+11.7
3	FC Porto	18	13	5	72%	88.3	77.8	+10.5
4	Vitoria	18	11	7	61%	88.3	88.2	+0.1
5	Illiabum	18	10	8	56%	84.0	81.6	+2.4
6	Ovarense	17	8	9	47%	78.5	78.1	+0.4
7	CAB Madeira	17	8	9	47%	83.6	86.2	-2.6
8	Galitos	19	8	11	42%	76.5	78.8	-2.3
9	Terceira	19	8	11	42%	77.2	83.1	-5.9
10	Lusitania	17	6	11	35%	87.6	91.1	-3.5
11	Barreirense	18	3	15	17%	80.4	88.1	-7.7
12	Electrico FC	18	3	15	17%	74.4	89.5	-15.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Benfica	24	12	21	24	16	97
Lusitania	20	25	18	18	19	100

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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