Terceira vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 60-84

19-21 11-22 18-22 12-19

Position#11

Record10-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game86.8

Terceira

Lusitania 🏆

Position#6

Record13-15

FormWLLWL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game84.1

LPBRound 7

Other2018-19

Meetings · Terceira v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Terceira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Terceira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

78-89

-11

H05/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

100-89

100

+11

H08/03

LPB

Ovarense

84-75

H10/03

LPB

Lusitania

83-98

-15

A14/03

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

60-112

112

-52

A23/03

LPB

Lusitania

87-90

-3

A28/03

LPB

FC Porto

87-96

-9

H31/03

LPB

Ovarense

83-89

-6

H05/04

LPB

Oliveirense

75-103

103

-28

A07/04

LPB

Benfica

75-119

119

-44

H17/04

LPB

22-22

29-22

13-21

14-24

24-28

20-17

26-22

30-22

18-14

25-17

15-15

26-29

23-38

16-17

21-20

23-23

15-35

11-32

13-20

21-25

19-16

19-29

25-23

24-22

20-23

27-25

21-21

19-27

14-22

19-22

27-21

23-24

16-36

25-25

19-25

15-17

14-35

24-30

22-33

15-21

177.2Avg total

81.2Scored

96.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	78.6	86.8	165.5	-8.2	36%
Season at home (14)	78.5	87.5	166.0	-9.0	29%
Season away (14)	78.8	86.1	164.9	-7.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	96.0	177.2	-14.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	99.4	180.8	-18.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	77.0	86.6	163.7	-9.6	31%
vs Similar (3)	94.0	92.3	186.3	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

92-86

A08/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

85-84 OT

H10/03

LPB

Terceira

98-83

+15

H14/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

71-88

-17

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

70-103

103

-33

A24/03

LPB

Terceira

#11

90-87

H28/03

LPB

Oliveirense

74-98

-24

A31/03

LPB

Benfica

76-91

-15

H04/04

LPB

Ovarense

72-69

H07/04

LPB

FC Porto

79-85 OT

-6

H20/04

LPB

28-22

12-14

28-29

24-21

14-20

18-16

21-16

16-17

38-23

17-16

20-21

23-23

15-17

11-28

20-23

25-20

18-22

22-24

15-29

15-28

16-19

29-19

23-25

22-24

19-34

16-24

25-26

14-14

11-22

26-20

21-26

18-23

22-13

19-21

16-25

15-10

17-26

8-17

27-12

20-17

168.1Avg total

80.7Scored

87.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.1	84.1	164.2	-3.9	46%
Season at home (15)	79.5	82.0	161.5	-2.5	53%
Season away (13)	80.8	86.5	167.3	-5.6	38%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	87.4	168.1	-6.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	86.0	164.2	-7.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	75.3	86.8	162.2	-11.5	15%
vs Similar (11)	87.0	82.4	169.4	+4.6	82%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	82.0	83.4	165.4	-1.4	60%

This opponent (Terceira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TerceiraLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-4.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	22.1	41.9	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	25.8	44.1	-7.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	26.9	45.4	-8.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	26.4	43.0	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.3	23.2	41.5	-5.0	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.0	31.7	56.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.1	40.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.2	21.2	38.3	-4.0	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.1	40.7	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.6	45.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	26.2	49.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.4	38.3	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.1	40.2	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.8	22.2	40.1	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	19.8	37.4	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-

TerceiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

51-44

H05/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

44-45

-1

H08/03

LPB

Ovarense

43-31

+12

H10/03

LPB

Lusitania

39-55

-16

A14/03

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

26-67

-41

A23/03

LPB

Lusitania

38-45

-7

A28/03

LPB

FC Porto

47-48

-1

H31/03

LPB

Ovarense

33-44

-11

H05/04

LPB

Oliveirense

41-61

-20

A07/04

LPB

Benfica

38-65

-27

H17/04

LPB

90.5Avg total

40.0Scored

50.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	45.1	84.3	-5.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	43.3	83.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	46.9	84.9	-8.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	50.5	90.5	-10.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	52.6	92.0	-13.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	38.2	44.5	82.7	-6.3	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	46.3	52.3	98.7	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

40-36

A08/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

32-36

-4

H10/03

LPB

Terceira

55-39

+16

H14/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

26-45

-19

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

40-46

-6

A24/03

LPB

Terceira

#11

45-38

H28/03

LPB

Oliveirense

35-58

-23

A31/03

LPB

Benfica

37-42

-5

H04/04

LPB

Ovarense

41-34

H07/04

LPB

FC Porto

25-43

-18

H20/04

LPB

79.3Avg total

37.6Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	41.3	78.4	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	39.6	76.1	-3.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	43.1	81.1	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	41.7	79.3	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.0	79.6	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.0	43.4	78.4	-8.4	23%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.9	41.5	81.5	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	37.8	36.6	74.4	+1.2	60%	-

This opponent (Terceira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.6	47.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.9	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	19.7	43.3	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.5	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	22.3	41.5	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.0	20.3	44.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.6	20.5	43.2	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	41.1	80.5	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	42.7	81.4	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	45.5	86.7	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	46.8	88.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	38.3	41.8	80.1	-3.5	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	47.7	40.0	87.7	+7.7	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	40.7	82.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	41.4	83.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	42.9	83.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.4	80.6	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.8	42.5	82.2	-2.7	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.5	39.9	85.4	+5.5	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	39.4	40.6	80.0	-1.2	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Terceira wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
28/03/19	Lusitania v Terceira	90-87
14/03/19	Lusitania v Terceira	98-83
05/01/19	Lusitania v Terceira	77-85 OT
13/10/18	Terceira v Lusitania	74-77
28/04/18	Terceira v Lusitania	72-83
30/03/18	Lusitania v Terceira	67-83
10/03/18	Terceira v Lusitania	63-67
09/12/17	Lusitania v Terceira	75-80
12/02/12	Terceira v Lusitania	67-79
12/11/11	Lusitania v Terceira	90-87

Terceiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/19	H	Benfica	75-119
07/04/19	A	Oliveirense	75-103
05/04/19	H	Ovarense	83-89
31/03/19	H	FC Porto	87-96
28/03/19	A	Lusitania	87-90
23/03/19	A	Benfica	60-112
14/03/19	A	Lusitania	83-98
10/03/19	H	Ovarense	84-75
08/03/19	H	Imortal	100-89
05/03/19	H	CAB Madeira	78-89

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/19	H	FC Porto	79-85 OT
07/04/19	H	Ovarense	72-69
04/04/19	H	Benfica	76-91
31/03/19	A	Oliveirense	74-98
28/03/19	H	Terceira	90-87
24/03/19	A	FC Porto	70-103
16/03/19	H	FC Porto	71-88
14/03/19	H	Terceira	98-83
10/03/19	H	Imortal	85-84 OT
08/03/19	A	CAB Madeira	92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Terceira

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	36%
Home	WWLLL	29%
Away	LWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	36%	29%	43%
Points / game	78.6	78.5	78.8
Allowed / game	86.8	87.5	86.1
Point differential	-8.2	-9.0	-7.4
Avg total	165.5	166.0	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	7%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Lusitania

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	46%
Home	WWLWL	53%
Away	WWWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	46%	53%	38%
Points / game	80.1	79.5	80.8
Allowed / game	84.1	82.0	86.5
Point differential	-3.9	-2.5	-5.6
Avg total	164.2	161.5	167.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	7%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	100% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	14%	27%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oliveirense	29	26	3	90%	87.4	72.2	+15.2
2	Benfica	29	24	5	83%	88.8	75.5	+13.2
3	FC Porto	29	23	6	79%	89.4	79.6	+9.8
4	Ovarense	29	14	15	48%	77.4	77.3	+0.1
5	Lusitania	28	13	15	46%	80.1	84.1	-3.9
6	CAB Madeira	28	12	16	43%	77.1	79.9	-2.8
7	Illiabum	28	12	16	43%	79.2	82.2	-2.9
8	Vitoria	28	11	17	39%	79.7	82.0	-2.3
9	Galitos	29	11	18	38%	78.9	83.1	-4.2
10	Esgueira	28	10	18	36%	77.6	83.7	-6.1
11	Terceira	28	10	18	36%	78.6	86.8	-8.2
12	Imortal	29	5	24	17%	77.1	85.9	-8.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Terceira	19	11	18	12	60
Lusitania	21	22	22	19	84

← all games of the day

Terceira vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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