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Texas State vs Lehigh Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-78 (OT)
34-34 32-32 8-12
Position#125
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Lehigh 🏆
USA
Position#197
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lehigh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
93-41
93
41
+52
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
32-37
29-40
19-43
53-25
61-30
39-26
32-53
38-26
42-43
47-30
30-37
32-22
31-27
28-26
37-30
51-27
42-14
33-33
19-33
135.3Avg total
72.4Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.762.8136.4+10.967%
Season at home (6)82.056.2138.2+25.8100%
Season away (3)57.076.0133.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)72.462.9135.3+9.560%
Last 5 (5)70.055.8125.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.6149.3-9.929%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.378.8150.2-7.517%
vs Weaker (17)78.866.9145.7+11.971%
This opponent (Lehigh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LehighUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Army
#187
W
89-67
89
67
+22
A01/03
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A04/11
NCAA
Valley Forge
#543
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H07/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
47-69
47
69
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A14/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/11
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H21/11
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A26/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
47-38
38-43
35-34
23-44
34-31
44-22
47-30
20-42
27-27
34-41
38-43
43-32
36-30
29-41
38-41
21-38
34-40
34-33
36-39
141.8Avg total
70.0Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.271.8139.0-4.525%
Season at home (3)79.065.3144.3+13.767%
Season away (5)60.275.6135.8-15.40%
Last 10 (10)70.071.8141.8-1.830%
Last 5 (5)68.675.6144.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.777.0136.7-17.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)69.069.8138.7-0.833%
vs Weaker (1)79.062.0141.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
Texas StateLehigh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
37.9Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.068.5+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.231.369.5+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)31.835.367.2-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)37.928.266.1+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)38.227.665.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.937.170.0-4.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.035.766.7-4.717%-
vs Weaker (17)38.130.468.5+7.776%-
This opponent (Lehigh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LehighLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Army
#187
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A04/11
NCAA
Valley Forge
#543
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H07/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H19/11
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/11
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A26/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
32.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.134.065.1-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.231.364.5+1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)29.536.165.5-6.624%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.569.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.069.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.339.865.2-14.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)31.032.663.7-1.638%-
vs Weaker (1)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
0
Lehigh wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25ASeattle52-66
25/11/25HTexas Lutheran93-41
22/11/25HUALR65-56
19/11/25HAbilene Christian63-49
15/11/25HTexas Southern77-67
13/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners80-69
08/11/25ATulane71-79
06/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars114-55
04/11/25ABowling Green48-83
07/03/25HOld Dominion61-64
Lehighlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25AUC Santa Barbara70-72
26/11/25AMarist55-78
21/11/25HColumbia67-82
19/11/25HSt. Francis (PA)79-62
14/11/25ARutgers72-84
09/11/25AWest Virginia47-69
07/11/25HValley Forge91-52
04/11/25AHouston57-75
05/03/25ALoyola Maryland73-77
01/03/25AArmy89-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game73.782.057.0
Allowed / game62.856.276.0
Point differential+10.9+25.8-19.0
Avg total136.4138.2133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lehigh
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game67.279.060.2
Allowed / game71.865.375.6
Point differential-4.5+13.7-15.4
Avg total139.0144.3135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
2 Marshall75271%81.679.7+1.9
3 Texas State96367%73.762.8+10.9
4 James Madison85362%78.175.6+2.5
5 Arkansas State85362%79.481.9-2.5
6 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
7 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
8 Troy95456%88.081.7+6.3
9 Appalachian State84450%69.670.0-0.4
10 Old Dominion83538%75.176.5-1.4
11 Georgia Southern83538%79.883.1-3.4
12 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
13 Georgia State81712%63.174.9-11.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette81712%57.072.8-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 American University74357%85.473.9+11.6
2 Navy94544%73.971.8+2.1
3 Colgate73443%74.978.0-3.1
4 Boston University83538%71.677.1-5.5
5 Army93633%69.779.8-10.1
6 Loyola Maryland82625%73.272.9+0.4
7 Lehigh82625%67.271.8-4.5
8 Bucknell82625%65.976.6-10.8
9 Holy Cross92722%65.377.8-12.4
10 Lafayette71614%69.379.1-9.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Texas State3432874
Lehigh34321278
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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