Texas Tech faces Bethune-Cookman in the NCAA on 5 November 2026, with the model ranking Texas Tech as the clear favourite thanks to a 1-0 record, 76.0 points per game and only 42.0 allowed, placing them 77th in the league, versus Bethune-Cookman's 0-1 record, 70.0 points per game and 79.0 allowed, 257th. Texas Tech has a 1-0 home record, 76.0 points and 42.0 allowed at home, and has won two of its last five games, including a 76-42 victory over Jackson State and a 91-71 win over Akron; Bethune-Cookman has won two of its last five, but all three recent results listed are losses: 70-79 to Furman, 67-71 to Prairie View A&M and 77-81 to Florida A&M. The only prior meeting was on 5 November 2024, when Texas Tech defeated Bethune-Cookman 94-61. Pythia projects a 98% chance for Texas Tech to win, 2% for Bethune-Cookman, with a projected score of 87-62 and a total of 149.5 points; the 151.5 over/under line has a 45% chance of going over, and there is a 1% probability of overtime. The last encounter saw Texas Tech dominate, and the model's numbers suggest that dominance will continue.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Texas Tech winWon
97.9%fair 1.02
Best odds1.01
Implied94.4%
Edge+3.5pp
Bethune-Cookman winLost
2.1%fair 48.24
Best odds65.00
Implied5.6%
Edge-3.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Texas Tech under 95.5
80.3%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Won
Texas Tech under 94.5
77.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+8.5pp
Won
Texas Tech under 92.5
70.9%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.42
-
-
+8.4pp
Won
Texas Tech under 96.5
83.0%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Texas Tech under 98.5
87.6%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Texas Tech under 93.5
74.3%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Texas Tech under 99.5
89.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Texas Tech (regulation)
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman over 54.5
78.6%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Texas Tech under 97.5
85.4%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman over 53.5
81.4%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman over 55.5
75.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.32
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Texas Tech win
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 158
70.7%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Under 158.5
71.3%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman over 56.5
72.3%
1.37
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
Under 159
72.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Under 176.5
95.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Texas Tech over 69.5
96.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Texas Tech over 70.5
95.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Under 171.5
91.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Texas Tech over 72.5
92.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Over 124.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Under 174.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Under 161.5
77.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman under 77.5
93.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Texas Tech -7.5
93.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Under 166.5
85.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Texas Tech over 74.5
89.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman under 76.5
92.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Under 169.5
89.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Over 129.5
89.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Over 126.5
92.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Texas Tech over 76.5
85.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Lost
Bethune-Cookman under 74.5
88.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Texas Tech -9.5
90.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman under 75.5
90.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
Under 159.5
73.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Won
Over 131.5
86.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Over 139.5
73.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Lost
Under 164.5
82.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Over 134.5
82.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Lost
Texas Tech over 78.5
80.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Lost
Texas Tech -12.5
85.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman under 72.5
84.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Texas Tech over 79.5
77.8%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Lost
Bethune-Cookman under 73.5
86.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
Texas Tech -18.5
70.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Lost
Texas Tech -17.5
73.6%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Texas Tech over 80.5
74.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Lost
Bethune-Cookman under 70.5
79.3%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman under 68.5
73.1%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-6.5pp
Won
Over 136.5
79.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.5pp
Lost
Bethune-Cookman under 71.5
82.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-6.7pp
Won
Texas Tech -14.5
81.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.3pp
Won
Bethune-Cookman under 69.5
76.3%
1.11
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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