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Texas vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 88-85
48-33 40-52
Position#135
Record16-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game74.4
Texas 🏆
USA
vs
LSU
USA
Position#230
Record14-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas v LSU
17 Feb 2026
TEXA88
LSU85
16 Dec 2023
TEXA96
LSU85
25 Jan 2020
TEXA67
LSU69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H24/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A31/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-45
46-43
42-37
38-27
29-29
41-45
40-40
40-45
30-37
57-30
42-34
40-54
30-33
49-36
35-31
49-44
37-25
42-43
33-31
52-37
156.4Avg total
81.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.274.4159.6+10.864%
Season at home (16)87.472.0159.4+15.475%
Season away (9)81.278.6159.8+2.744%
Last 10 (10)81.874.6156.4+7.270%
Last 5 (5)81.873.6155.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.873.2142.0-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.680.9162.4+0.750%
vs Weaker (12)92.570.0162.5+22.583%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-52
35-32
38-22
36-53
37-27
41-43
26-38
35-41
37-33
44-52
21-44
45-36
36-35
42-43
37-42
34-41
27-42
35-49
29-35
34-38
152.8Avg total
72.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.775.3156.0+5.456%
Season at home (15)84.974.9159.8+9.967%
Season away (10)74.575.9150.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)72.180.7152.8-8.620%
Last 5 (5)70.882.8153.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.280.8145.9-15.60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.571.3160.8+18.290%
vs Weaker (7)83.174.0157.1+9.171%
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -4.7-4.7
TexasLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A31/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A15/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.673.3+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.233.472.7+5.867%-
Last 30 away (12)37.936.374.2+1.658%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.270.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.430.866.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.838.275.0-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.836.473.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (12)41.631.372.9+10.383%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H29/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.637.073.6-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.037.176.1+1.965%-
Last 30 away (13)33.536.870.2-3.346%-
Last 10 (10)32.637.069.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.039.669.6-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.239.369.5-9.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.233.177.3+11.190%-
vs Weaker (7)37.638.175.7-0.671%-
This opponent (Texas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas wins
1
LSU wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25LSU v Texas58-89
16/12/23Texas v LSU96-85
25/01/20Texas v LSU67-69
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AMissouri85-68
07/02/26HOle Miss79-68
04/02/26HSouth Carolina84-75
31/01/26AOklahoma79-69
29/01/26AAuburn82-88
24/01/26HGeorgia87-67
22/01/26AKentucky80-85
17/01/26HTexas A&M70-74
15/01/26HVanderbilt80-64
11/01/26AAlabama92-88
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ATennessee63-73
11/02/26HArkansas62-91
07/02/26HGeorgia71-83
31/01/26ASouth Carolina92-87 OT
29/01/26HMississippi St.66-80
24/01/26AArkansas81-85
21/01/26AFlorida61-79
17/01/26HMissouri78-70
15/01/26HKentucky74-75
10/01/26AVanderbilt73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %64%75%44%
Points / game85.287.481.2
Allowed / game74.472.078.6
Point differential+10.8+15.4+2.7
Avg total159.6159.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
LSU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeLWLLL67%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %56%67%40%
Points / game80.784.974.5
Allowed / game75.374.975.9
Point differential+5.4+9.9-1.4
Avg total156.0159.8150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2521484%88.473.6+14.8
2 Florida2620677%86.171.1+15.0
3 Arkansas2519676%88.876.5+12.3
4 Tennessee2518772%81.069.3+11.8
5 Alabama2518772%91.882.7+9.1
6 Georgia2517868%90.378.4+12.0
7 Texas A&M2517868%89.878.6+11.2
8 Kentucky2517868%81.672.2+9.5
9 Missouri2517868%80.074.3+5.7
10 Texas2516964%85.274.4+10.8
11 LSU25141156%80.775.3+5.4
12 Auburn25141156%84.079.0+4.9
13 Oklahoma25131252%83.477.7+5.7
14 Mississippi St.25131252%78.077.7+0.3
15 Ole Miss25111444%74.073.7+0.4
16 South Carolina26111542%75.975.9-0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas484088
LSU335285
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