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LSU vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-80
21-44 45-36
Position#230
Record13-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#257
Record11-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · LSU v Mississippi St.
28 Jan 2026
LSU66
MISS80
14 Mar 2024
LSU60
MISS70
24 Feb 2024
LSU67
MISS87
12 Feb 2022
LSU69
MISS65
11 Jan 2020
LSU60
MISS59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-36
28-29
51-56
53-34
41-30
49-32
34-37
38-38
25-50
43-28
38-52
35-32
38-22
36-53
37-27
41-43
26-38
35-41
37-33
44-52
154.2Avg total
77.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.273.5156.7+9.865%
Season at home (12)89.572.5162.0+17.083%
Season away (8)73.874.9148.6-1.138%
Last 10 (10)77.976.3154.2+1.640%
Last 5 (5)73.478.6152.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.978.8143.7-13.80%
vs Similar (12)88.271.6159.8+16.692%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.870.2155.0+14.680%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
48-45
34-30
37-36
49-31
45-25
48-43
38-43
27-27
45-26
39-44
29-48
34-36
48-61
30-27
37-41
33-44
35-44
30-51
26-37
155.5Avg total
76.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.577.7156.2+0.855%
Season at home (13)77.773.2150.8+4.562%
Season away (7)79.986.1166.0-6.343%
Last 10 (10)76.678.9155.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)68.286.6154.8-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.785.2161.8-8.531%
vs Similar (14)79.775.3155.0+4.457%
vs Weaker (3)86.064.3150.3+21.7100%
This opponent (LSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.8-1.8
LSUMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A24/01
NCAA
75.8Avg total
37.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.773.3+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.934.975.8+5.982%-
Last 30 away (13)33.436.770.1-3.346%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.175.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.469.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.637.769.3-6.146%-
vs Similar (12)42.732.875.4+9.983%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.237.678.8+3.680%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H24/01
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.873.0-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.634.269.8+1.350%-
Last 30 away (12)37.240.877.9-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.173.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.473.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.039.975.9-3.931%-
vs Similar (14)35.834.970.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)39.032.771.7+6.367%-
This opponent (LSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
LSU wins
5
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Mississippi St. v LSU91-62
01/03/25Mississippi St. v LSU81-69
14/03/24LSU v Mississippi St.60-70
25/02/24LSU v Mississippi St.67-87
09/02/23Mississippi St. v LSU64-53
13/02/22LSU v Mississippi St.69-65
11/02/21Mississippi St. v LSU80-94
12/01/20LSU v Mississippi St.60-59
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AArkansas81-85
21/01/26AFlorida61-79
17/01/26HMissouri78-70
15/01/26HKentucky74-75
10/01/26AVanderbilt73-84
07/01/26HSouth Carolina68-78
03/01/26ATexas A&M72-75
30/12/25HSouthern Miss90-62
23/12/25HPrairie View A&M104-90
20/12/25HSE Louisiana78-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HVanderbilt56-88
22/01/26ATexas A&M68-88
18/01/26HOle Miss67-68
14/01/26HAlabama82-97
11/01/26AKentucky68-92
08/01/26HOklahoma72-53
03/01/26ATexas101-98 OT
30/12/25HAlabama State94-56
20/12/25HMemphis71-66
17/12/25HLIU Sharks87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL65%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %65%83%38%
Points / game83.289.573.8
Allowed / game73.572.574.9
Point differential+9.8+17.0-1.1
Avg total156.7162.0148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL55%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %55%62%43%
Points / game78.577.779.9
Allowed / game77.773.286.1
Point differential+0.8+4.5-6.3
Avg total156.2150.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %15%15%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2118386%89.673.1+16.5
2 Georgia2016480%93.576.5+16.9
3 Texas A&M2016480%91.876.7+15.1
4 Arkansas2116576%89.377.2+12.0
5 Florida2014670%85.272.2+12.9
6 Alabama2014670%92.081.5+10.5
7 Tennessee1913668%82.269.0+13.2
8 Kentucky2114767%81.270.8+10.4
9 Missouri2114767%80.273.8+6.4
10 LSU2013765%83.273.5+9.8
11 Auburn2013765%85.077.5+7.5
12 Texas2012860%86.074.5+11.5
13 South Carolina2011955%78.373.0+5.3
14 Ole Miss2011955%74.871.2+3.6
15 Mississippi St.2011955%78.577.7+0.8
16 Oklahoma21111052%83.576.2+7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU214566
Mississippi St.443680
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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