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Arkansas vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 85-81
33-37 52-44
Position#36
Record14-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#230
Record13-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arkansas v LSU
26 Jan 2027
ARKA v LSU
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
ARKA85
LSU81
12 Feb 2025
ARKA70
LSU58
06 Mar 2024
ARKA94
LSU83
24 Jan 2023
ARKA60
LSU40
11 Mar 2022
ARKA79
LSU67
02 Mar 2022
ARKA77
LSU76
13 Mar 2021
ARKA71
LSU78
27 Feb 2021
ARKA83
LSU75
04 Mar 2020
ARKA99
LSU90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
108-80
108
80
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H20/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H03/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-49
50-37
60-36
48-44
41-49
44-45
48-28
55-46
37-36
49-39
42-32
52-55
34-49
39-46
50-38
58-36
32-45
44-45
46-35
47-33
174.2Avg total
91.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.876.9166.8+12.974%
Season at home (15)93.274.7167.9+18.587%
Season away (4)77.285.2162.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)91.982.3174.2+9.670%
Last 5 (5)88.882.8171.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.779.5157.2-1.833%
vs Similar (13)85.277.8163.1+7.477%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.574.6165.2+15.982%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-44
42-33
50-36
28-29
51-56
53-34
41-30
49-32
34-37
38-38
25-50
43-28
38-52
35-32
38-22
36-53
37-27
41-43
26-38
35-41
154.2Avg total
78.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.372.8156.2+10.568%
Season at home (12)89.572.5162.0+17.083%
Season away (7)72.773.4146.1-0.743%
Last 10 (10)78.775.5154.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)70.877.2148.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.578.5141.9-15.00%
vs Similar (12)88.271.6159.8+16.692%
vs Weaker (5)84.870.2155.0+14.680%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +3.7+3.7
ArkansasLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/01
NCAA
83.0Avg total
43.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.477.6+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.835.780.5+9.179%-
Last 30 away (11)35.037.572.5-2.555%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.783.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.239.075.2-2.833%-
vs Similar (13)41.638.680.2+3.077%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.532.375.7+11.282%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A21/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
38.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.873.3+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.934.975.8+5.982%-
Last 30 away (13)32.937.069.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.277.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.238.069.2-6.838%-
vs Similar (12)42.732.875.4+9.983%-
vs Weaker (5)41.237.678.8+3.680%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Arkansas wins
4
LSU wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25Arkansas v LSU70-58
15/01/25LSU v Arkansas78-74
07/03/24Arkansas v LSU94-83
03/02/24LSU v Arkansas95-74
25/01/23Arkansas v LSU60-40
29/12/22LSU v Arkansas60-57
11/03/22Arkansas v LSU79-67
03/03/22Arkansas v LSU77-76
15/01/22LSU v Arkansas58-65
13/03/21Arkansas v LSU71-78
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HVanderbilt93-68
17/01/26AGeorgia76-90
15/01/26HSouth Carolina108-74
10/01/26AAuburn73-95
08/01/26AOle Miss94-87
03/01/26HTennessee86-75
30/12/25HJames Madison103-74
20/12/25HHouston85-94
17/12/25HQueens Royals108-80
13/12/25HTexas Tech93-86
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AFlorida61-79
17/01/26HMissouri78-70
15/01/26HKentucky74-75
10/01/26AVanderbilt73-84
07/01/26HSouth Carolina68-78
03/01/26ATexas A&M72-75
30/12/25HSouthern Miss90-62
23/12/25HPrairie View A&M104-90
20/12/25HSE Louisiana78-65
14/12/25HSMU Mustangs89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19154
Win %74%87%25%
Points / game89.893.277.2
Allowed / game76.974.785.2
Point differential+12.9+18.5-8.0
Avg total166.8167.9162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LSU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL68%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %68%83%43%
Points / game83.389.572.7
Allowed / game72.872.573.4
Point differential+10.5+17.0-0.7
Avg total156.2162.0146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%75%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2017385%90.174.0+16.1
2 Georgia2016480%93.576.5+16.9
3 Texas A&M2016480%91.876.7+15.1
4 Arkansas1914574%89.876.9+12.9
5 Alabama1813572%93.182.6+10.6
6 Florida2014670%85.272.2+12.9
7 Kentucky2014670%82.570.3+12.2
8 Missouri2014670%81.073.0+8.1
9 LSU1913668%83.372.8+10.5
10 Tennessee1812667%82.468.8+13.6
11 Auburn2013765%85.077.5+7.5
12 Texas2012860%86.074.5+11.5
13 Oklahoma2011955%83.775.9+7.8
14 South Carolina2011955%78.373.0+5.3
15 Ole Miss2011955%74.871.2+3.6
16 Mississippi St.2011955%78.577.7+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas335285
LSU374481
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