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Texas vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-58
36-26 41-32
Position#112
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game67.2
Texas 🏆
USA
vs
Position#214
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas v Texas State
30 Nov 2023
TEXA77
TEXA58
09 Dec 2020
TEXA74
TEXA53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#40
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H16/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H18/03
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H25/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H26/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
88-56
88
56
+32
H07/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A19/11
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H21/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
40-29
31-23
40-43
42-25
41-46
45-37
36-51
48-17
40-39
39-30
47-29
41-32
39-32
41-38
40-42
33-46
38-35
41-26
45-37
149.7Avg total
80.8Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.067.2149.2+14.883%
Season at home (5)82.264.6146.8+17.680%
Season away (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.868.9149.7+11.980%
Last 5 (5)80.869.4150.2+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar (12)75.170.4145.5+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)76.866.1142.9+10.682%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#111
W
65-36
65
36
+29
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
54-93
54
93
-39
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-14
33-22
37-38
34-30
25-34
33-30
34-38
32-33
40-31
35-34
22-45
32-48
27-25
45-37
20-26
28-33
25-28
42-46
32-27
41-39
130.7Avg total
64.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.070.0135.0-5.043%
Season at home (3)62.365.0127.3-2.733%
Season away (4)67.073.8140.8-6.850%
Last 10 (10)64.965.8130.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)62.870.8133.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.270.3132.6-8.119%
vs Similar (13)68.263.8132.0+4.569%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
TexasTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colgate
#40
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H16/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H18/03
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H25/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H26/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H07/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/11
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H21/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H26/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
40.2Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.568.5+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.230.668.8+7.679%-
Last 30 away (11)32.335.868.1-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.230.670.8+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.473.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.046.079.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (12)33.534.167.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.030.668.6+7.471%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#111
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A02/03
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A06/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A15/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A25/11
NCAA
60.0Avg total
29.4Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.131.361.3-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.630.960.5-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)30.531.662.1-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)29.430.660.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)25.230.255.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.533.662.1-5.112%-
vs Similar (13)31.228.559.7+2.662%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas wins
0
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
10/12/20Texas v Texas State74-53
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HWyoming86-63
21/11/23HUconn71-81
19/11/23ALouisville81-80
16/11/23HRice80-64
11/11/23HDelaware State86-59
07/11/23HIncarnate Word88-56
26/03/23HMiami (FL)81-88
25/03/23HXavier83-71
18/03/23HPenn State71-66
16/03/23HColgate81-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AUT Arlington73-66
22/11/23HSouthern Utah67-74
21/11/23HMcNeese State48-59
18/11/23HUTSA Roadrunners72-62
15/11/23AOklahoma54-93
11/11/23AMiami (Ohio)75-65
07/11/23AUALR66-71
06/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette58-64
04/03/23AMarshall71-68
02/03/23AOld Dominion65-36

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%80%100%
Points / game82.082.281.0
Allowed / game67.264.680.0
Point differential+14.8+17.6+1.0
Avg total149.2146.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game65.062.367.0
Allowed / game70.065.073.8
Point differential-5.0-2.7-6.8
Avg total135.0127.3140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma770100%87.463.6+23.9
2 South Carolina660100%74.763.8+10.8
3 Ole Miss660100%72.264.5+7.7
4 Kentucky76186%94.472.3+22.1
5 Mississippi St.76186%73.460.3+13.1
6 Auburn65183%81.064.8+16.2
7 Texas65183%82.067.2+14.8
8 Missouri86275%74.666.6+8.0
9 Texas A&M86275%75.268.1+7.1
10 Alabama75271%94.976.3+18.6
11 Arkansas85362%80.675.2+5.4
12 Tennessee74357%76.367.0+9.3
13 Florida74357%84.175.7+8.4
14 LSU74357%74.769.0+5.7
15 Georgia74357%70.471.1-0.7
16 Vanderbilt73443%70.374.6-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison770100%90.478.4+12.0
2 Appalachian State75271%77.064.7+12.3
3 Louisiana Lafayette85362%80.672.5+8.1
4 Georgia State63350%77.776.8+0.8
5 Old Dominion63350%68.270.2-2.0
6 Louisiana Monroe63350%67.072.5-5.5
7 South Alabama94544%70.776.9-6.2
8 Troy73443%85.070.6+14.4
9 Southern Miss73443%67.164.1+3.0
10 Texas State73443%65.070.0-5.0
11 Coastal Carolina62433%74.580.2-5.7
12 Marshall62433%74.081.2-7.2
13 Arkansas State72529%75.480.6-5.1
14 Georgia Southern7070%68.185.1-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas364177
Texas State263258
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